Not a Myth of Hindsight

1988

0 Jan 88

Miller’s farewell address

The outgoing chairman Peter Miller told a Lloyd’s audience in his valedictory address in January: "In early December last year, I had to make a speech to an insurance audience in New York. Wishing to describe to them the meaning of ‘demob-happy’ I looked it up in the dictionary of contemporary slang to find it defined as:

‘That state of mind found at the end of a long period of (usually) military service, in which euphoria elevates the pleasurable successes and grosses over the inevitable failures.’

"Immeasurably important as today is to me, and perhaps of some significance even in the long history of the Society, this is not time to put on rose-tinted spectacles. I know that Lloyd’s is a great and successful institution; having travelled as widely as I have over the last four years, I also know the respect in which Lloyd’s is held throughout the world of insurance. It will not stay like this unless we are conscious of our weaknesses as well as our strengths and unless we continue to distinguish between that proper pride in our professional abilities and the making of money by the giving of service on the one hand, and the Greek notion of hubris, that overweening pride bordering on arrogance which comes before the inevitable fall, on the other. As we move forward, let us never forget the lessons of the past, particularly of the past decade.

"There are three things which attract people to buy policies of insurance at Lloyd’s; a competitive price, a strong policy, and a flexible response. As to the first, we have always had a competitive pricing advantage because of low overheads. The costs of a modern building, modern regulation and modern technology all threaten that edge.

"As to the strength of our policy, the enormous increase in the numbers in our membership must give rise to concern as to whether our financial criteria, particularly the deposits are tough enough, and whether all our Names have the right attitude to a risk taking business in which they can lose money as well as make it.

"The third point, the flexibility of our insurance response, our ability, by the provision of insurance, to make commercially possible, that which would otherwise be commercially impossible, is perhaps the most important of the three. Post divestment, the active Underwriter can again be "King at Lloyd’s". It is surely our greatest strength that our active Underwriters remain such for many years; the art of Underwriting is the top of the profession and the art of management, of vital importance though it is, is its servant.

"We have however to ask some questions. How is the new found independence of the Underwriter to be maintained, in the face of the big battalions and outside ownership, even perhaps ownership by insurance company competitors? Above all, how do we avoid that binding legalism which stifles initiatives? How do we answer the fundamental question "What is the duty of care which an Agent as a risk taking business owes to his Principal?" and that question to which part of the answer is of course disclosure must be answered fully and clearly so that active Underwriter and Name alike, know where they stand."

0 Jan 88

Owens Illinois -v- United Insurance Co.

In January of this year a New Jersey trial judge assigned to the case of Owens Illinois -v- United Insurance in ruling on the aetiology of asbestos disease necessary to a decision on a motion for partial summary judgment, stated:

"... that for asbestos related bodily and personal injuries under defendants’ policies of insurance issued to plaintiff, injury in fact occurs at or shortly after inhalation of asbestos fibers, continues during residency up to and including the date of manifestation of asbestos-related disease."

Although the defendants have requested an interlocutory appeal of the partial summary judgment order and discovery continues with respect to scope and trigger of coverage, the foregoing ruling was predicated upon the vast amount of medical information on asbestos diseases submitted to the court regarding the developmental process.

1 Jan 88

In 1988, four fewer underwriting agencies registered at Lloyd’s within the provisions of Byelaw No. 4 of 14 May 1984 than had registered in 1987. There were some amalgamations and take-overs, and some agencies just changed their name; but in the final analysis on 1 January 1988 there were:-

Managing Agencies

68

+ 9

Managing Members’ Agencies

82

- 11

Members’ Agencies

77

- 2

Total

227

- 4

No of Syndicates

376

 

No of Managing Agencies

150

 

6 Jan 88

By letter 6 January 1988, Mr C J M Hardie FCA advises the names of the individuals who have agreed to serve on the Committee of Restitution for BPR Names.

Committee Member

Agency

C J M Hardie FCA

Chairman David Mann Underwriting Agencies Ltd.; Chairman of Alexander Syndicate Management Ltd.; Deputy Chairman of AUA(3) - (PCW run-off)

P Archard FCA

Managing Partner Murray Lawrence

B Kellett

Chairman BPD Kellett & Co

P Moir

Director of Alwen Hough Johnson (Lloyd’s brokers)

J Manser

Board of S.I.B.

B Kellett is a former Chairman of Lloyd’s Underwriters Non-Marine Association (LUNMA). He was elected onto the Council of Lloyd’s in November 1989.

8 Jan 88

A Steering Committee of Members Agents instruct Freshfield to report on the Outhwaite Affair involving Syndicate 317/661.

20 Jan 88

Declaratory Judgment Decisions: Pittsburgh Corning -v- Travelers Indemnity

An asbestos-related property damage case, decided by Judge Giles in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania on January 20, 1988. This case also arose on cross motions for summary judgement.

Judge Giles found that the presence of asbestos in buildings did constitute property damage, as the asbestos became a part of the finished product and resulted in the diminution in the value of the building. However, Judge Giles ruled that discovery of damage was the proper trigger, as he concluded that there was no property damage until the presence of the asbestos material had been discovered and the market value of the property declined.

This decision is not final, as there are other issues outstanding, but Lloyd’s commissioned attorneys anticipate appeals being filed when all issues have been resolved.

1 Feb 88

Business Insurance: Superfund unleashes flurry of coverage suits. Litigation over insurance coverage for government-ordered hazardous waste site clean ups eventually may rival asbestos-related coverage lawsuits in terms of time, expense and complexity, attorneys for policy holders and insurers predict. The attorneys warn that the number of pollution clean-up related coverage disputes can be expected to increase as more companies face the prospect of paying hazardous waste site clean-up costs. The is the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act of 1980... Policy holders have not fared well in several recent coverage decisions involving pollution cases... However, policy holders are not without some victories.

4 Feb 88

Declaratory Judgment Decisions: W R Grace & Co -v- Continental Casualty

An asbestos-related property damage case, decided by Judge Fisher in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, Beaumont Division on February 4, 1988. Grace and other manufacturers had been named as defendants in a consolidated school district action which involved 83 separate school districts. Grace filed a third-party action against its insurers up to the $75m layer who provided primary and excess coverage during the period 1978 - 1984.

Grace settled with the school districts for a total of $47m, and immediately moved for summary judgement against the insurers. This summary judgement motion was filed prior to any of the insurers filing answers, and prior to any significant discovery being permitted. Despite this premature motion by Grace, Judge Fisher ruled in favour of the plaintiff W R Grace on all issues.

Significantly, Judge Fisher ruled that, as the excess carriers had refused to participate with Grace in the settlement, they were bound by the allegations in the underlying complaints. He found that these complaints alleged continuous property damage, and thus all policies in effect from installation to removal were triggered. Judge Fisher permitted Grace to select the policy year against which to assert its claims, and Grace has selected the 1981 - 1982 year. Grace is in the process of entering judgement for the amount of the settlement plus pre-judgement interest and when the judgement is finalised, an appeal to the Fifth Circuit will be filed.

18 Feb 88

Tercentenary Celebrations

On 18 February, Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth The Queen Mother formally initiated Lloyd's Tercentenary celebrations by switching on the 1986 Building illuminations.

Murray Lawrence was in attendance.

Feb 88

Following the passage of the Asbestos Hazards and Emergency Response Act of October 1986 and the mandate from Congress, the EPA released the results of their studies and make it clear that the cost of asbestos abatement in connection with commercial buildings will be substantially greater than with schools. The EPA:-

(1) determined that there are approximately 35,000 school buildings nation-wide containing friable asbestos. It was estimated that the total cost of the AHERA Inspection and Abatement Rule will be in the $3-1bn range. This is the first time that the costs of the asbestos-in-school problem has been quantified and it should be noted that compliance with the EPA Rule is obligatory. The School Districts were given until 12 October 1988 to complete their management plans or to be subject to a $5,000 per day penalty. The implementation of these plans must begin no later than July 1989 and must be completed in a "timely fashion". It is understood that almost all of the primary and secondary schools throughout the country are currently taking steps to comply with these rules; and

(2) concluded that the AHERA school rule requirements would cost more than $51bn if they were applied to the 733,000 commercial buildings with friable asbestos.

26 Feb 88

Continental Insurance Co. -v- Northeastern Pharmaceutical & Chemical Co., 842 F.2d 977, 8th Circuit, 26 February 1988) (en banc). Court held "damages" do not include cleanup costs and other such equitable relief. Court did not address "occurrence" which District Court defined as when injury occurred.

0 Mar 88

Tercentenary Celebrations

In March of 1988, a "Sea Day" was held, by kind permission of Her Majesty The Queen, on board H M Yacht Britannia at Long Beach, Los Angeles. The Chairman, (Murray Lawrence), accompanied by members of Council and Chairmen of Lloyd's Market Associations, acted as hosts for the conference, to which guests were welcomed by His Royal Highness The Duke of York.

The group comprised American insurance brokers, senior representatives from the insurance industry associations and insurance regulators, particularly from States where Lloyd's is heavily represented.

The event was arranged and hosted in conjunction with the British Invisible Exports Council and the Department of Trade and Industry.

1 Mar 88

Eagle-Picher withdrew from the Asbestos Claims Facility. Owens-Corning Fiberglass withdrew on 3 October 1987. Seven producer members - Carey Canada, Celotex, Eagle-Picher, Fibreboard, Owens-Illinois, Pittsburgh-Corning, and H K Porter at various stages gave provisional notices of their intent to terminate their membership.

1 Mar 88

Letter from Slaughter and May addressed to the Council of Lloyd’s

Underwriting Agency Agreements - Working Group Consultative Document

The Neill Report of Inquiry on the Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s considered (inter alia) the legal relationship between Names, member's agents and managing agents and recommended

  1. that the agency agreements should be reviewed in detail from the perspective of the Names, and
  2. that an outside lawyer should be instructed to review the draft agreements emerging from this process from the point of view of the interests of the Names.

The Council of Lloyd’s established a working group on the 4th March 1987 to carry out this review and contemporaneously I was formally appointed to carry out the function of the ‘outside lawyer.’

Accordingly, I am writing to record my views upon the deliberations and conclusions of the Underwriting Agency Agreements Working Group which are contained in the consultative document to be dated March 1988.

I have been present at nearly all of the meetings of the Group and the few that I have not attended have had a representative from my firm present on my behalf. I have been permitted freely to express my views as discussions have developed and have been given every opportunity to argue issues on behalf of .Names. The discussions have been frank and constructive and I believe that there has been a genuine and positive effort to consider, within the framework of the Lloyd’s market, how to give effect to the relevant recommendations of the Neill Report.

So far as I am aware, I have had direct access to all of Lloyd’s internal working papers and advice and I have also received a number of direct representations from Names and have had meetings with them. Indeed, the substance of the observations and criticisms voiced by Names have, in one form or another, been discussed by the Group and these have had a bearing on the outcome of the proposals. I have also been in contact with the Association of Lloyd's Members and have had access to certain of its papers and the legal advice given to it. I have naturally familiarised myself with the earlier recommendations contained in the Cromer and Fisher Reports.

So far as the Consultative Document is concerned

  1. I believe that the proposals for standardising the method by which charges are calculated, which does not mean the charges themselves, will significantly improve the ability of Names to understand the financial implications of their contractual position and allow them to compare the relative performances of different agencies.
  2. There has been an attempt to "temper" the criticisms of the "pay now sue later" provisions of the agency agreements and I believe from the evidence which has been presented that it would not be possible to go further in this regard without undermining the fundamental need to protect the security of Lloyd's policies and the interests of policy holders.
  3. From the point of view of clarity and efficiency there is a great attraction in the suggestion that Names should only have one member's agent for the reasons set out in the Consultative Document. It may well be that the complications of the need for co-ordinating agents and the insistence on the part of some agents of sole agency arrangements will commercially bring this about but I doubt whether a mandatory provision would be perceived by Names as an improvement.
  4. As I have seen it, the greatest difficulty that the Group experienced concerned the implementation of the recommendation that there should be a mandatory deficit clause. This arose largely from a reluctance on the part of those directly involved with the market to interfere with what were perceived as freely negotiated commercial arrangements and partly from the fact that it was not clear from the Neill recommendation what exactly was meant by "mandatory"; equally no precise distinction was drawn between horizontal and vertical deficit clauses which, it is clear, are very different in nature and effect.

There is no doubt that, if the proposals for standardising charging methods are adopted, the financial implications of the agreements for Names should be clear, more easily understood and capable of precise critical evaluation. The result will be that Names will have a better idea of the financial terms being offered to them and will be able to decide whether the inclusion or exclusion of deficit clauses is fair and acceptable.

The drafting of deficit clauses, whether horizontal or vertical, does not present insurmountable difficulties and it would seem desirable, at the very least, that the language of such clauses in a realistic and comprehensible form should be available in the standard agreement, whether used or not. However, it is a policy matter for the Council to decide whether it should be mandatory for Names to have the right to insist upon being offered financial terms which include deficit clauses but the recommendation as regards horizontal clauses is highly persuasive; it would, in my opinion, be construed by Names as a significant improvement. Equally it is easier to see the commercial difficulties that would be presented by a mandatory vertical clause.

(e) I think there is a great deal of confusion over the question of capacity and its ultimate "ownership" and I believe it is a misnomer to talk about capacity being owned either by agents or by Names. It is clear that capacity cannot exist without the consensual agreement of both sides to the underwriting arrangements and I believe that the debate as to ownership is sterile. It would not seem appropriate to impose contractual relationships on unwilling parties.

Subject to these observations, the proposals contained in the consultative document are, in my opinion, fair and reasonable and address the criticisms of the agency agreement contained in chapter 6 of the Neill Report. Subject to the detailed drafting, they should result in a significant improvement in the interests of Names and go a long way to achieving a fair balance in the contractual relationship between Names and their respective members’ and managing agents. It is probably not possible to satisfy all parties and it is, of course, up to each individual Name to decide whether he or she finds the proposed contractual arrangements satisfactory but, within the terms of my remit, I believe that these proposals give effect so far as is practicable to the Neill recommendation and should substantially eliminate the deficiencies highlighted in the Report as existing in the current standard agency agreement.

1 Mar 88

The shares of Archer Group Holdings Plc admitted to the Official List of the London Stock Exchange. Originally acquired for £12m in a management buy-out of seven managed syndicates from Alexander Howden on 31 December 1985, A J Archer & Partners went public through a placing of 5.99m shares at 130p each, representing 26% of the company’s equity, and on that date the agency became a limited company. The prospectus was launched by Phillips & Drew, the prospective price puts the company on a price /earnings ratio of 9.7 on the basis of pre-tax profits of £5.3m for the year ending 30 September 1987. The managing agency is responsible for nine syndicates; its shares traded at 26p above the placing price of 130p. The 20% of issue shares reserves for members’ agents and their Names were three times over-subscribed. (The complete issue represented 26% of the Archer shares). The company later announced pre-tax profits of £144,000 for the six months ending 31 March 1988, compared with £284,000 for the similar period last year.

A J Archer Holdings: Turnover

 

Year Ended

Year Ended

Year Ended

Year Ended

9 Months

Year Ended

 

31 Dec

31 Dec

31 Dec

31 Dec

Ended 30

30 Sept

 

1982

1983

1984

1985

Sept 1986

1987

 

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

1. Agency Salaries

 

1,627

1,108

1,243

1,303

1,075

1,568

2. Profit Commission

741*

2,072

2,402

1,050

3,431

5,010

5,005

868

---

964

818

1,200

1,289

1,224

697

20

47

2

1

106

---

544

79

141

87

82

63

63

923

---

---

---

---

110

235

947

---

---

534

613

620

478

952

---

---

---

---

---

---

270

---

195

345

268

352

485

Total

2,171

3,749

2,836

5,595

7,550

7,490

* Profit Commission for the four years ended 31 December 1985 shown under syndicate 741 relates to the predecessor syndicate 127 being derived from syndicate profits for the four underwriting years 1979 to 1982.

3. Winding Up Fees

 

47

310

119

84

---

63

 

3,845

5,167

4,198

6,982

8,625

9,121

Some £169,522,000, the property of some 3,551 Names, was transferred as a RITC to close the 1982 year of account of Posgate’s Marine Syndicate 127 into the 1983 year of account of the new Archer preferred Marine Syndicate 741, involving only 1,952 Names. This was systematically reduced to provide the profit paid out during the years of account 1983 to 1988, made up in calendar years 1986 to 1991. The RITC set to close the 1988 year of account of Marine Syndicate 741 was £51,246,000. Mr A J Archer retired from underwriting and as Chairman of the Agency and Holding Company on 31 December 1990.

Kenneth Grob in evidence, 6 January 1983, before the DTI appointed Inspectors investigating the Alexander Howden affair:

"And so we decided that we would do what we always did when we had a problem, that is to say, use the reinsurance route. We have been solving our own and other people’s problems for years with reinsurance".

Mr P P A Wright was appointed underwriter of Marine Syndicate 741 on 1 January 1991. The Underwriter’s Report, dated 23 May 1991, for the 1988 year of account states:

"During the eighties, it was possible to wheel and deal, and by use of reinsurance, produce good profits out of unprofitable business".

3 Mar 88

Memorandum K E Randall to S R Merrett and R A G Jackson. Pollution and Asbestos Claims. We are moving slowly towards the production of the 1987 accounts and it is already clear that the reserves for pollution and asbestos have increased significantly beyond the levels I had been expecting. This gives rise to two questions -

1. Why do they come as a shock to me? (i.e. have I not been listening, or have I not been told?)

2. Is the basis of reserving appropriate?... I am not at all happy about the way information on these cases is passed through Merrett Underwriting Agency Management and furthermore, I continue to be concerned that the work of the "market facility" is overseen by underwriters and claims managers with no input from managing agents. (Here I mean agents at large - I am not just referring to MUAM). I recognise that the Lloyd’s underwriter regards his position as unique in the business world and I have therefore thought long and hard before putting my thoughts into this note.

14 Mar 88

Business Insurance: 2 more firms quit Asbestos Claims Facility. ...

claims filed by tyre, steel and sheet metal workers have become the most common type of asbestos injury claims filed. The same producers that paid the largest shares for claims filed by shipyard and insulation workers also became liable for the largest share for the new types of claims. These producers contend that tyre, steel and sheet metal workers were not exposed to their asbestos products...

21 Mar 88

Business Insurance: Save the Facility...

We can’t fault these asbestos producers for pulling out of the Facility. They have good and valid reasons. A new wave of asbestos claimants who are exposed to asbestos not produced by these six companies has hit the facility.

22 Mar 88

U.S. ANTI-TRUST LITIGATION

On 22 March 1988 The Attorneys General of seven states in the United States filed civil anti-trust actions in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California, charging thirty-two defendants, including major US primary insurers and reinsurers, several London reinsurers, two trade associations, eleven Lloyd’s Underwriting Agencies, two Lloyd’s brokers and individuals, including Merrett Underwriting Agencies Management Ltd., and Robin A.G. Jackson with violations of federal and state antitrust laws and other laws. The State of California et al -v- Hartford Fire Insurance Co. et al, Case No. 88-0981, and related cases. Similar complaints were subsequently filed by other State Attorneys General and by private litigants claiming to represent classes of consumers. These latter suits have been filed in a number of different federal courts and in one state court. The complaints allege that certain defendants violated Section I of the Sherman Act and/or the provisions of state statutes by, among other things, agreeing with others to restrict or refuse coverage for certain commercial general liability risks, for certain casualty treaty reinsurance business, for certain umbrella and excess insurance business and for certain property insurance and reinsurance business. Most of the complaints seek injunctive relief and treble damages in an unspecified amount; some of the complaints also seek statutory fines.

Also on March 22, 1988, the State of Texas sued "Merrett Non-Marine Syndicate No. 799" and Robin A.G. Jackson as "agent" and "member" of Syndicate 799, along with U.S. insurers, reinsurers and two trade associations, in state court in Texas, for alleged violations of the Texas Free Enterprise and Antitrust Act of 1983. The State of Texas -v- Insurance Services office, Inc., et al (District Court, Travis County, Texas). The case was subsequently removed to the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, but plaintiff has filed a motion to remand the case to state court. The factual basis for this complaint are similar to, but narrower than, those alleged in the complaints described above. This complaint seeks injunctive relief and civil penalties of $100,000 each against Robin A.G. Jackson and "each individual member of defendant Merrett Non-Marine Syndicate No. 799".

Counsel for the "Merrett" defendants believe they can successfully defend against the claims in these complaints. However, if some or all of the plaintiffs in these actions are successful in their claims for damages, then substantial losses could be involved.

We reserve our position regarding the allocation of costs and claims in the firm belief that any action taken by staff of this Agency in relation to the matters raised in the writs was undertaken with the best interests of syndicate members in mind.

25 Mar 88

International Minerals & Chemical Corp. -v- Liberty Mutual Insurance Co., 522 N.E. 2d 758, 3rd Appellate Court, 25 March 1988. Court found no evidence that discharge, dispersal, release or escape was sudden to exempt from pollution exclusion clause.

31 Mar 88

Declaratory Judgment Decisions: Carey Canada/Celotex Corp. -v- Aetna Casualty & Surety, 1988 WL 169287, District of Columbia District 5th Circuit Court,

An asbestos-related property damage case, decided by Judge Pratt from the District of Columbia District Court on March 31 1988. The Court found coverage and stated: "The court is aware of no case applying the pollution exclusion in the context of asbestos litigation." "The majority, if not all, of the underlying claimants’ seek recovery for damages caused by [the insured’s] product (asbestos) to other property (buildings and buildings materials). In such cases the ‘owned products’ exclusion is simply inapplicable." "[C]ourts which have considered the effect of asbestos on buildings in the context of an insurance coverage dispute have uniformly concluded that property damage was sustained." Court stayed plaintiff’s summary judgement motion pending further discovery. After further discovery, plaintiff’s summary judgement motion was denied in Carey Canada, Inc. -v- California Union, 748 F. Supp. 8, (D.D.C. 1990. There the Court held there was a genuine issue of fact as to whether release of fibres occurs continuously and the insured had not satisfied the burden of proving its loss occurred within the policy period.

The case also arose on cross-motions for summary judgement. Judge Pratt decided that Florida law was applicable, and he further held that decisions on whether asbestos in buildings constituted property damage and trigger of coverage could only be decided in the context of the underlying cases. Judge Pratt accordingly declined to order summary judgement. He ordered the parties to conduct additional limited discovery on these issues, following which a summary judgement order would be issued. There are strong indications in Judge Pratt’s opinion that he considers that asbestos building claims do constitute property damage and that a triple trigger would be applicable.

Judge Pratt found that the own products, sistership and warranty exclusions were not applicable. However, he did find that a further factual record needed to be developed for him to make a decision as to whether the pollution exclusion was applicable.

As this decision is not yet final, no appeal has yet been filed. (As of July 1988).

0 Apr 88

Consultative Document - Underwriting Agency Agreements Working Group

This document is issued by the Council of Lloyd’s as a basis for discussion. The proposals it contains do not necessarily represent the views of the Council. The document has been sent to underwriting agents, Lloyd’s brokers, the market associations and other bodies likely to have an interest in its contents

Summary of the main proposals

16. Managing agents (but not members agents) should cease to charge winding up fees.

  1. A horizontal deficit clause should be included in the Name’s contract with his members agent. However, the Name would be free to accept any alternative remuneration package that the agent may offer.
  2. A vertical deficit clause should not be mandatory, but a line by line deficit clause should be printed in the Name’s agreement with his managing agent and the agent should be empowered to delete it.
  3. The Council should keep the operation of deficit clauses under review.

THE UNDERWRITING AGENCY AGREEMENTS WORKING GROUP

The Council of Lloyd's at its meeting on 4th March 1987 established a working group with the following terms of reference:

(1). To consider the implications of implementing recommendations 17 and 19-27 of the Report of the Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd's ("the Report") and other ancillary matters contained in the Report having a bearing on the contractual arrangements between Names and underwriting agents and between underwriting agents and underwriting agents.

(2). To prepare for submission to the Council of Lloyd's an interim report suitable for wide consultation concerning the following major issues:

  1. the introduction of a direct contractual nexus between indirect Names and their managing agents;
  2. the defining of the different functions and duties of a members agent and of a managing agent
  3. the introduction of a fair and efficient deficit clause and a standard basis for calculating the agents’ charges;
  4. the tempering of the "pay now, sue later" clause.

Initially the group consisted of:

Mr. E.I. Walker-Arnott

Chairman and Nominated Member

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. W.C. Beckett

Solicitor to the Corporation

 

Mr. P.T. Daniels

Lambert Brothers (Underwriting Agencies) Ltd.

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. C.G.V. Davidge

External Member

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. R.E.M. Elborne

External Member

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. J.M. Gordon

Sedgwick Lloyd's Underwriting Agents Ltd.

LUAA

Mr. P.J. Rawlins

R.W. Sturge & Co

LUAA

Mr. D.M. Smith

Chief Advisor, Agency Affairs

 

It subsequently became clear that the work of the group might have an impact on that of another working group established by the Council to deal with Recommendation 18 - the One Agent One Class Rule. The membership of this group was therefore supplemented by some members of the One Agent One Class Working Group.

Mr. M.H. Cockell

M.H. Cockell & Co. Ltd.

Council of Lloyd's

Mrs. I.M.S. Dick

Policy & Operations Development Department

 
 

Member of One Agent One Class Working Group

 

Mr. G.W. Hutton

G.W. Hutton (Underwriting Agency) Ltd.

Council of Lloyd's

 

Chairman of One Agent One Class Working Group

 

Mr. B.W. Pomeroy

Nominated Member

Council of Lloyd's

 

Member of One Agent One Class Working Group

 

joined the working group with effect from 1st July 1987.

An article in the August 1987 newsletter advised Names of the working group's area of work and asked for Names who wished to raise additional points on the underwriting agency agreement to contact the Secretary. Thirty five Names did.

Deficit clauses

6.10 Another aspect of agents' remuneration in connection with which Lloyd's have not introduced standardised provisions in the agency agreement is the aggregating of a Name's syndicate results either over a number of years or in a single year across some or all of the syndicates on which he participates. The usual description of the legal provision enabling bad results to be offset against good ones in determining the overall amount of profit commission paid by a Name to his agent is a deficit clause, which may, as the above definition suggests, be applied either vertically or horizontally. The argument in favour of such an arrangement is that it is unreasonable for a Name to have to pay profit commission in relation to one syndicate when overall, in relation to a single syndicate over a number of years or in relation to all his syndicates. he has made a loss.

6.11 Unlike the register of charges, deficit clauses were not the subject of any commitment in Parliament by Lloyd's. The Fisher report did, however. recommend (paragraph 9.31 ) that they should be made mandatory for every agreement, and on this, as in a number of other areas, the report reinforced a suggestion made previously by the Cromer working party (Report, paragraph 229). Many Names making submissions to us have echoed that view. It is true that the Fisher report noted that further study of the idea was needed. The matter was subsequently included in the consultative document of July 1984 (page 3)on the standard agency agreement. But the presentation of the matter was hardly enthusiastic, and the eventual Agency Agreements Byelaw ( 1 of 1985) as approved by the Council of Lloyd's, expressly excludes a deficit clause whether vertical or horizontal (clause 8(c) of the standard agency agreement - though it is fair to point out that this clause, unlike the rest of the agreement,. may be consensually varied: clause 21)

6.12 The consultative document dismissed horizontal deficit clauses as unsatisfactory, whether implemented across all a Name's syndicates or whether on the more limited basis of groups of syndicates controlled by a single managing agent. In both cases it was argued, though more strongly in the former. the incentive effect of profit commission on individual underwriters would be significantly reduced, if the result of their success with one syndicate could be affected by someone else’s failure. The consultative document expressed a preference for vertical clauses whereby losses by a Name on a particular syndicate could be carried forward for a specified period and offset against the profits arising during that time in calculating the agent's commission. But its final comment was that compulsory deficit clauses might be to the ultimate disadvantage of Names if agents chose to respond by altering their rates and manner of charging their salaries and fees. In this connection we note that Lloyd's have told us that agents are expected to be viable independently of profit commission.

6.13 We find the arguments against compulsory deficit clauses unconvincing. To outsiders it does not appear obvious why a managing agent who operates deficit clauses with his Names should not be able to design a remuneration package for individual underwriters which reflects their own results rather than the results of the agency as a whole. The suggestion that agents would endeavour to reassert the status quo by other means strengthens the view that some regulatory intervention is needed to ensure that Names get a fair deal. No doubt the introduction of deficit clauses would add a measure of complexity to the calculation of profit commission, but the principle that the remuneration of managing agents, and perhaps also members' agents, should reflect the total result for which they were responsible rather than the profitable segments of it seems unexceptionable. We recommend, therefore, that a fair and efficient form of deficit clause should be made mandatory. The Council of Lloyd's should consider whether additional regulatory intervention is needed in order to avoid any covert practices on the part of agents designed to circumvent the operation of deficit clauses.

88

The Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corp. (FSLIC) was required to step in and guarantee up to the promised U.S.$100,000 on each saver’s deposit, following the Savings & Loan Associations (S & L’s) debacle. However, it soon became apparent that it did not have enough money to meet its liabilities. Despite an injection of $10-8bn by Congress in 1987.

11 Apr 88

Memorandum from Randall to Merrett Underwriting Agency Management Directors.

Rumours are beginning to circulate in the market concerning the possibility that the 1985 account of 418/417 may be ‘left open’. It is therefore likely that you will be questioned by staff brokers and so on.

We have not yet reached a point when the Board can take firm decisions (or make announcements) in this matter, because final syndicate trading figures are not available. It is clear, however, that there has been some deterioration in advised reserves for asbestos and pollution claims affecting both 417’s old years and the run-off contracts, but the uncertainty as to the outcome of issues is greater than ever.

The issues still to be debated by the Board include: What is the appropriate level of reserve to be carried for Asbestos Property Damage claims and EPA claims given the conflicting legal decisions so far available? Do the various scenarios produce such wide variations that we cannot properly arrive at a reliable basis for computing the reinsurance to close?

In connection with the run-off contracts, we are continuing our investigations and there appear to be grounds for supposing less than full disclosure by a number of the cedants at the time the policies were written. The reserves already carried on these contracts are very substantial indeed and we must consider whether any failure to inform whether accidental or deliberate, makes it appropriate that contracts should be renegotiated or even rescinded; meanwhile there must remain a question as to whether we have a satisfactory basis for computing the reinsurance to close.

88

Substances hazardous to Health Regulations 1988 COSHH. To ensure that exposure of employees to hazardous substances is prevented or adequately controlled i.e. motor mechanics working in areas involving clutch and brake pads.

Apr 88

The Consultative Document entitled "Underwriting Agency Agreements Working Party" issued by the Council of Lloyd’s as a basis discussion and sent to Underwriting Agents, Lloyd’s Brokers, the Market Associations and other bodies likely to have an interest in its contents.

23 Apr 88

Enchova, Brazil gas-platform explosion. Estimate loss $330m

Apr 88

The Accountancy Age survey of the 1988 auditors who carried out the audits on the 1985 accounts showed that there has been no move in the direction sought by the Neill Committee. The survey based on the Chatset 1985 Lloyd’s League Tables, showed that four firms carried out 81.3% of the audits, compared with 76% for the 1982 year upon which the Neill Committee made their comments. Recommendation 52 of the Neill Report says: "If at the end of five years (that’s at the end of 1991) there is no shift in the distribution of work among recognised auditing firms, Lloyd’s should consider implementing the suggestion made in paragraph 23.27 of the (1979) Fisher Report that there should be a limit on the number of syndicates which may be audited by any one firm".

Lloyd’s Syndicate Auditors. 1988

Firms

Syndicates

   

Percentage of Stamp Capacity

   

Audit Year to close

1986

1987

1988

1986

1987

1988

Year of Account

1983

1984

1985

1983

1984

1985

Ernst & Whinney

75

79

83

29.1

29.8

30.6

Neville Russell

80

83

79

23.5

25.6

26.4

Arthur Young

57

52

49

17.0

16.8

17.1

Littlejohn Frazer

65

60

59

15.1

13.0

13.9

Spicer & Oppenheim

24

23

25

5.7

5.8

3.1

Price Waterhouse

2

4

4

1.1

1.5

1.9

Binder Hamlyn

8

8

8

2.0

2.0

1.8

Pannell Kerr Forster

16

10

11

2.6

1.7

1.8

Arthur Andersen

6

6

5

2.1

2.0

1.7

Peat Marwick McLintock

5

5

5

0.8

0.9

1.0

Deloitte Haskins & Sells

4

3

4

0.9

0.8

0.8

 

342

335

332

100.0

100.0

100.0

Shortfall

76

73

52

     

The Neill Report

418

408

384

     

"Baby" Syndicates

           

0 - 49 Member range

49

40

19

     

50 - 99 Member range

53

34

24

     
 

102

74

43

     

The survey was based on the 1985 Chatset League Tables.

28 Apr 88

Times: Lloyd’s rejects Neill guideline

A working party of Lloyd’s insurance market has turned down one of the key recommendations of the government-backed Neill committee. It is the first substantive Neill recommendation to be rejected.

The committee headed by Sir Patrick Neill QC called for managing agents to share in the losses as well as the profits of their syndicates. But an internal Lloyd’s working party has turned down the proposal.

The Neill report advocated that a fair and efficient form of deficit clause should be made mandatory. This would mean names could offset the profit commission payable to agents on syndicates in profit against their losses on other syndicates. A small number of Lloyd’s agents already operate deficit clauses, but the majority are strongly opposed to mandatory deficit clauses.

The working party, chaired by Mr Edward Walker-Arnott, a nominated member of Lloyd’s and partner at Herbert Smith, the firm of solicitors, has come down against a mandatory deficit clause for managing agents, who run syndicates, but recommended it for members’ agents, who place names on syndicates but do not run them.

The working party has left the option of introducing a deficit clause up to the managing agent, because it believes mandatory clauses could just increase charges to names and could encourage managing agents to try and fudge their results. It also believes its revised agency structure, showing the separation of function between members’ and managing agents, makes the need for a deficit clause less pressing.

The idea of a deficit clause has a long history and was advocated in the Cromer report of 1969 and the Fisher report of 1980. The Neill report admitted that the introduction of a deficit clause would add a measure of complexity to the calculation of the profit commission, but added that "the principle that the remuneration of managing agents, and perhaps also members’ agents, should reflect the total result for which they were responsible rather than the profitable segments of it seems unexceptionable."

A rejection of the idea of deficit clauses will be viewed with dismay by many names, who regarded the deficit clause as one of Neill’s most important recommendations.

The rejection could also create difficulties for Lloyd’s with the Government, which gave Lloyd’s two years from January last year to implement the 70 recommendations in the Neill report.

29 Apr 88

Meeting between Merretts and Ernst & Whinney to discuss RITC. Brief mention was made of the run-off accounts which had been discussed the previous day and SRM confirmed that a similar approach had been adopted across all three syndicates. However, it was noted that significant changes could follow in the reserves for these contracts as a result of highly probable re-negotiations thereof. It was still being considered by the agency that Syndicate 418 1985 Account would not close at 31 December 1987, as it was not realistic to determine a true and fair view on the result because of the impact of uncertainty for the 1985 account Names. Even so, the work being done at this stage would be done as if to a true and fair reporting conclusion and all other business of the syndicate was being assessed on an "as if" closing basis.... On Syndicate 418, SRM indicated that it may well be that information becomes available within the next few weeks which will enable him to determine a more final answer in respect of the run-off contracts and Merretts may wish to consider closing when that information becomes available.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: Sir Kenneth Berrill to resign

Sir Kenneth Berrill, one of the three original nominated members of the Council of Lloyd’s, will resign from the Council on 31 May, coinciding with his resignation from the chairmanship of the Securities and Investments Board (SIB).

Sir Kenneth’s successor at the SIB, Mr. David Walker, will become a nominated member of Council on 1 June 1988 and will serve on the Council of Lloyd’s for a term coexistent with his term as chairman or a deputy chairman of the SIB.

In a tribute to Sir Kenneth’s work on the Council, Mr. Murray Lawrence, Chairman of Lloyd’s, praised Sir Kenneth’s qualities of objectivity, perception and intellect. ‘His comments have always been illuminating and valuable if, at times, unnerving.’ Said Mr. Lawrence, ‘However, that is why we appointed him and why we very much regret his departure. We look forward to welcoming his successor, Mr. David Walker, to the June meeting of Council.’

Replying, Sir Kenneth Berrill said that: ‘The last five and a half years as a nominated member of Council have been among the most rewarding experiences of my life, spent among the nicest group of people I have worked with in the City.’

Mr. David Walker is currently an executive director of the Bank of England and will remain a non-executive director of the bank when he takes up office at the SIB and Lloyd’s.

0 May 88

The Chairman (Murray Lawrence) undertook a tour of the East Coast of the United States and Canada in May, visiting the large broking companies in New York, prior to travelling to Washington where he was entertained to luncheon by Sir Antony Acland, H M Ambassador to the United States and met the Hon James A Baker, Secretary of State for the Treasury.

During the course of his stay in Canada the Chairman met the Minister for Financial Institutions, Mr Pierre Fortier, and addressed a conference organised by the Canadian Club of Montreal. The Chairman also met the Honourable Don Mazankowski, the Deputy Prime Minister of Canada and was entertained to dinner by the Speaker of the Senate, Mr Guy Charboneau.

A reception for Canadian Names was held in Ontario.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: In brief

The St Paul Companies Inc. of Minnesota has announced the formation of Minet .Speciality Management as a US based unit of Minet Holdings PLC. Minet Speciality Management will manage the US wholesale brokerage of the Swett & Crawford Croup and Minet subsidiary Minet International Professional Indemnity.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: In brief

A management buyout agreement was signed last month between senior personnel of brokers Lowndes Lambert and former owners Hill Samuel group. The management buy out is believed to be the first of its kind in the insurance broking industry.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: Indemnity byelaw passed

The Council of Lloyd’s has approved the Council Members (Indemnification) Byelaw (No 2 of 1988). The new byelaw regulates the manner in which the Society may exercise the power conferred by the Lloyd’s Act 1982 to indemnify members of the Council.

This Byelaw makes provision for the Society to grant indemnities to members of Council in respect of claims made against them or costs incurred by them in their capacity as Council members.

The Society will not indemnify a Council member if that member has been found guilty of fraud or dishonesty.

4 May 88

Abbreviated Accounts

For some time we have made clear our concern that Names who may wish to receive a lesser volume of detailed reporting of their syndicate results cannot, under Lloyd’s rules, ask their agents to provide them with an abbreviated report as an alternative to the full accounts.

We believe that it would be possible to provide key information in a sensible way for those Names who prefer this, provided it were clearly understood and accepted that such information would not on its own constitute full disclosure of all relevant information.

This document is an example of the sort of abbreviated syndicate report we have in mind, covering one of our 13 managed syndicates. It is based on information extracted from the full accounts and is aimed at conveying the most salient performance information only. It does not purport to present a complete view of the syndicate’s past and future position. We would envisage producing a similar abbreviated report for each syndicate separately, with the full consolidated document continuing to be available, as an alternative, on request.

We should be most interested to receive Names’ views concerning the usefulness, and content, of this document. Please address any comments to Mrs H R Simms at R W Sturge & Co. or to your own members’ agent.

1988

0 Jan 88

Miller’s farewell address

The outgoing chairman Peter Miller told a Lloyd’s audience in his valedictory address in January: "In early December last year, I had to make a speech to an insurance audience in New York. Wishing to describe to them the meaning of ‘demob-happy’ I looked it up in the dictionary of contemporary slang to find it defined as:

‘That state of mind found at the end of a long period of (usually) military service, in which euphoria elevates the pleasurable successes and grosses over the inevitable failures.’

"Immeasurably important as today is to me, and perhaps of some significance even in the long history of the Society, this is not time to put on rose-tinted spectacles. I know that Lloyd’s is a great and successful institution; having travelled as widely as I have over the last four years, I also know the respect in which Lloyd’s is held throughout the world of insurance. It will not stay like this unless we are conscious of our weaknesses as well as our strengths and unless we continue to distinguish between that proper pride in our professional abilities and the making of money by the giving of service on the one hand, and the Greek notion of hubris, that overweening pride bordering on arrogance which comes before the inevitable fall, on the other. As we move forward, let us never forget the lessons of the past, particularly of the past decade.

"There are three things which attract people to buy policies of insurance at Lloyd’s; a competitive price, a strong policy, and a flexible response. As to the first, we have always had a competitive pricing advantage because of low overheads. The costs of a modern building, modern regulation and modern technology all threaten that edge.

"As to the strength of our policy, the enormous increase in the numbers in our membership must give rise to concern as to whether our financial criteria, particularly the deposits are tough enough, and whether all our Names have the right attitude to a risk taking business in which they can lose money as well as make it.

"The third point, the flexibility of our insurance response, our ability, by the provision of insurance, to make commercially possible, that which would otherwise be commercially impossible, is perhaps the most important of the three. Post divestment, the active Underwriter can again be "King at Lloyd’s". It is surely our greatest strength that our active Underwriters remain such for many years; the art of Underwriting is the top of the profession and the art of management, of vital importance though it is, is its servant.

"We have however to ask some questions. How is the new found independence of the Underwriter to be maintained, in the face of the big battalions and outside ownership, even perhaps ownership by insurance company competitors? Above all, how do we avoid that binding legalism which stifles initiatives? How do we answer the fundamental question "What is the duty of care which an Agent as a risk taking business owes to his Principal?" and that question to which part of the answer is of course disclosure must be answered fully and clearly so that active Underwriter and Name alike, know where they stand."

0 Jan 88

Owens Illinois -v- United Insurance Co.

In January of this year a New Jersey trial judge assigned to the case of Owens Illinois -v- United Insurance in ruling on the aetiology of asbestos disease necessary to a decision on a motion for partial summary judgment, stated:

"... that for asbestos related bodily and personal injuries under defendants’ policies of insurance issued to plaintiff, injury in fact occurs at or shortly after inhalation of asbestos fibers, continues during residency up to and including the date of manifestation of asbestos-related disease."

Although the defendants have requested an interlocutory appeal of the partial summary judgment order and discovery continues with respect to scope and trigger of coverage, the foregoing ruling was predicated upon the vast amount of medical information on asbestos diseases submitted to the court regarding the developmental process.

1 Jan 88

In 1988, four fewer underwriting agencies registered at Lloyd’s within the provisions of Byelaw No. 4 of 14 May 1984 than had registered in 1987. There were some amalgamations and take-overs, and some agencies just changed their name; but in the final analysis on 1 January 1988 there were:-

Managing Agencies

68

+ 9

Managing Members’ Agencies

82

- 11

Members’ Agencies

77

- 2

Total

227

- 4

No of Syndicates

376

 

No of Managing Agencies

150

 

6 Jan 88

By letter 6 January 1988, Mr C J M Hardie FCA advises the names of the individuals who have agreed to serve on the Committee of Restitution for BPR Names.

Committee Member

Agency

C J M Hardie FCA

Chairman David Mann Underwriting Agencies Ltd.; Chairman of Alexander Syndicate Management Ltd.; Deputy Chairman of AUA(3) - (PCW run-off)

P Archard FCA

Managing Partner Murray Lawrence

B Kellett

Chairman BPD Kellett & Co

P Moir

Director of Alwen Hough Johnson (Lloyd’s brokers)

J Manser

Board of S.I.B.

B Kellett is a former Chairman of Lloyd’s Underwriters Non-Marine Association (LUNMA). He was elected onto the Council of Lloyd’s in November 1989.

8 Jan 88

A Steering Committee of Members Agents instruct Freshfield to report on the Outhwaite Affair involving Syndicate 317/661.

20 Jan 88

Declaratory Judgment Decisions: Pittsburgh Corning -v- Travelers Indemnity

An asbestos-related property damage case, decided by Judge Giles in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania on January 20, 1988. This case also arose on cross motions for summary judgement.

Judge Giles found that the presence of asbestos in buildings did constitute property damage, as the asbestos became a part of the finished product and resulted in the diminution in the value of the building. However, Judge Giles ruled that discovery of damage was the proper trigger, as he concluded that there was no property damage until the presence of the asbestos material had been discovered and the market value of the property declined.

This decision is not final, as there are other issues outstanding, but Lloyd’s commissioned attorneys anticipate appeals being filed when all issues have been resolved.

1 Feb 88

Business Insurance: Superfund unleashes flurry of coverage suits. Litigation over insurance coverage for government-ordered hazardous waste site clean ups eventually may rival asbestos-related coverage lawsuits in terms of time, expense and complexity, attorneys for policy holders and insurers predict. The attorneys warn that the number of pollution clean-up related coverage disputes can be expected to increase as more companies face the prospect of paying hazardous waste site clean-up costs. The is the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act of 1980... Policy holders have not fared well in several recent coverage decisions involving pollution cases... However, policy holders are not without some victories.

4 Feb 88

Declaratory Judgment Decisions: W R Grace & Co -v- Continental Casualty

An asbestos-related property damage case, decided by Judge Fisher in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, Beaumont Division on February 4, 1988. Grace and other manufacturers had been named as defendants in a consolidated school district action which involved 83 separate school districts. Grace filed a third-party action against its insurers up to the $75m layer who provided primary and excess coverage during the period 1978 - 1984.

Grace settled with the school districts for a total of $47m, and immediately moved for summary judgement against the insurers. This summary judgement motion was filed prior to any of the insurers filing answers, and prior to any significant discovery being permitted. Despite this premature motion by Grace, Judge Fisher ruled in favour of the plaintiff W R Grace on all issues.

Significantly, Judge Fisher ruled that, as the excess carriers had refused to participate with Grace in the settlement, they were bound by the allegations in the underlying complaints. He found that these complaints alleged continuous property damage, and thus all policies in effect from installation to removal were triggered. Judge Fisher permitted Grace to select the policy year against which to assert its claims, and Grace has selected the 1981 - 1982 year. Grace is in the process of entering judgement for the amount of the settlement plus pre-judgement interest and when the judgement is finalised, an appeal to the Fifth Circuit will be filed.

18 Feb 88

Tercentenary Celebrations

On 18 February, Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth The Queen Mother formally initiated Lloyd's Tercentenary celebrations by switching on the 1986 Building illuminations.

Murray Lawrence was in attendance.

Feb 88

Following the passage of the Asbestos Hazards and Emergency Response Act of October 1986 and the mandate from Congress, the EPA released the results of their studies and make it clear that the cost of asbestos abatement in connection with commercial buildings will be substantially greater than with schools. The EPA:-

(1) determined that there are approximately 35,000 school buildings nation-wide containing friable asbestos. It was estimated that the total cost of the AHERA Inspection and Abatement Rule will be in the $3-1bn range. This is the first time that the costs of the asbestos-in-school problem has been quantified and it should be noted that compliance with the EPA Rule is obligatory. The School Districts were given until 12 October 1988 to complete their management plans or to be subject to a $5,000 per day penalty. The implementation of these plans must begin no later than July 1989 and must be completed in a "timely fashion". It is understood that almost all of the primary and secondary schools throughout the country are currently taking steps to comply with these rules; and

(2) concluded that the AHERA school rule requirements would cost more than $51bn if they were applied to the 733,000 commercial buildings with friable asbestos.

26 Feb 88

Continental Insurance Co. -v- Northeastern Pharmaceutical & Chemical Co., 842 F.2d 977, 8th Circuit, 26 February 1988) (en banc). Court held "damages" do not include cleanup costs and other such equitable relief. Court did not address "occurrence" which District Court defined as when injury occurred.

0 Mar 88

Tercentenary Celebrations

In March of 1988, a "Sea Day" was held, by kind permission of Her Majesty The Queen, on board H M Yacht Britannia at Long Beach, Los Angeles. The Chairman, (Murray Lawrence), accompanied by members of Council and Chairmen of Lloyd's Market Associations, acted as hosts for the conference, to which guests were welcomed by His Royal Highness The Duke of York.

The group comprised American insurance brokers, senior representatives from the insurance industry associations and insurance regulators, particularly from States where Lloyd's is heavily represented.

The event was arranged and hosted in conjunction with the British Invisible Exports Council and the Department of Trade and Industry.

1 Mar 88

Eagle-Picher withdrew from the Asbestos Claims Facility. Owens-Corning Fiberglass withdrew on 3 October 1987. Seven producer members - Carey Canada, Celotex, Eagle-Picher, Fibreboard, Owens-Illinois, Pittsburgh-Corning, and H K Porter at various stages gave provisional notices of their intent to terminate their membership.

1 Mar 88

Letter from Slaughter and May addressed to the Council of Lloyd’s

Underwriting Agency Agreements - Working Group Consultative Document

The Neill Report of Inquiry on the Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s considered (inter alia) the legal relationship between Names, member's agents and managing agents and recommended

  1. that the agency agreements should be reviewed in detail from the perspective of the Names, and
  2. that an outside lawyer should be instructed to review the draft agreements emerging from this process from the point of view of the interests of the Names.

The Council of Lloyd’s established a working group on the 4th March 1987 to carry out this review and contemporaneously I was formally appointed to carry out the function of the ‘outside lawyer.’

Accordingly, I am writing to record my views upon the deliberations and conclusions of the Underwriting Agency Agreements Working Group which are contained in the consultative document to be dated March 1988.

I have been present at nearly all of the meetings of the Group and the few that I have not attended have had a representative from my firm present on my behalf. I have been permitted freely to express my views as discussions have developed and have been given every opportunity to argue issues on behalf of .Names. The discussions have been frank and constructive and I believe that there has been a genuine and positive effort to consider, within the framework of the Lloyd’s market, how to give effect to the relevant recommendations of the Neill Report.

So far as I am aware, I have had direct access to all of Lloyd’s internal working papers and advice and I have also received a number of direct representations from Names and have had meetings with them. Indeed, the substance of the observations and criticisms voiced by Names have, in one form or another, been discussed by the Group and these have had a bearing on the outcome of the proposals. I have also been in contact with the Association of Lloyd's Members and have had access to certain of its papers and the legal advice given to it. I have naturally familiarised myself with the earlier recommendations contained in the Cromer and Fisher Reports.

So far as the Consultative Document is concerned

  1. I believe that the proposals for standardising the method by which charges are calculated, which does not mean the charges themselves, will significantly improve the ability of Names to understand the financial implications of their contractual position and allow them to compare the relative performances of different agencies.
  2. There has been an attempt to "temper" the criticisms of the "pay now sue later" provisions of the agency agreements and I believe from the evidence which has been presented that it would not be possible to go further in this regard without undermining the fundamental need to protect the security of Lloyd's policies and the interests of policy holders.
  3. From the point of view of clarity and efficiency there is a great attraction in the suggestion that Names should only have one member's agent for the reasons set out in the Consultative Document. It may well be that the complications of the need for co-ordinating agents and the insistence on the part of some agents of sole agency arrangements will commercially bring this about but I doubt whether a mandatory provision would be perceived by Names as an improvement.
  4. As I have seen it, the greatest difficulty that the Group experienced concerned the implementation of the recommendation that there should be a mandatory deficit clause. This arose largely from a reluctance on the part of those directly involved with the market to interfere with what were perceived as freely negotiated commercial arrangements and partly from the fact that it was not clear from the Neill recommendation what exactly was meant by "mandatory"; equally no precise distinction was drawn between horizontal and vertical deficit clauses which, it is clear, are very different in nature and effect.

There is no doubt that, if the proposals for standardising charging methods are adopted, the financial implications of the agreements for Names should be clear, more easily understood and capable of precise critical evaluation. The result will be that Names will have a better idea of the financial terms being offered to them and will be able to decide whether the inclusion or exclusion of deficit clauses is fair and acceptable.

The drafting of deficit clauses, whether horizontal or vertical, does not present insurmountable difficulties and it would seem desirable, at the very least, that the language of such clauses in a realistic and comprehensible form should be available in the standard agreement, whether used or not. However, it is a policy matter for the Council to decide whether it should be mandatory for Names to have the right to insist upon being offered financial terms which include deficit clauses but the recommendation as regards horizontal clauses is highly persuasive; it would, in my opinion, be construed by Names as a significant improvement. Equally it is easier to see the commercial difficulties that would be presented by a mandatory vertical clause.

(e) I think there is a great deal of confusion over the question of capacity and its ultimate "ownership" and I believe it is a misnomer to talk about capacity being owned either by agents or by Names. It is clear that capacity cannot exist without the consensual agreement of both sides to the underwriting arrangements and I believe that the debate as to ownership is sterile. It would not seem appropriate to impose contractual relationships on unwilling parties.

Subject to these observations, the proposals contained in the consultative document are, in my opinion, fair and reasonable and address the criticisms of the agency agreement contained in chapter 6 of the Neill Report. Subject to the detailed drafting, they should result in a significant improvement in the interests of Names and go a long way to achieving a fair balance in the contractual relationship between Names and their respective members’ and managing agents. It is probably not possible to satisfy all parties and it is, of course, up to each individual Name to decide whether he or she finds the proposed contractual arrangements satisfactory but, within the terms of my remit, I believe that these proposals give effect so far as is practicable to the Neill recommendation and should substantially eliminate the deficiencies highlighted in the Report as existing in the current standard agency agreement.

1 Mar 88

The shares of Archer Group Holdings Plc admitted to the Official List of the London Stock Exchange. Originally acquired for £12m in a management buy-out of seven managed syndicates from Alexander Howden on 31 December 1985, A J Archer & Partners went public through a placing of 5.99m shares at 130p each, representing 26% of the company’s equity, and on that date the agency became a limited company. The prospectus was launched by Phillips & Drew, the prospective price puts the company on a price /earnings ratio of 9.7 on the basis of pre-tax profits of £5.3m for the year ending 30 September 1987. The managing agency is responsible for nine syndicates; its shares traded at 26p above the placing price of 130p. The 20% of issue shares reserves for members’ agents and their Names were three times over-subscribed. (The complete issue represented 26% of the Archer shares). The company later announced pre-tax profits of £144,000 for the six months ending 31 March 1988, compared with £284,000 for the similar period last year.

A J Archer Holdings: Turnover

 

Year Ended

Year Ended

Year Ended

Year Ended

9 Months

Year Ended

 

31 Dec

31 Dec

31 Dec

31 Dec

Ended 30

30 Sept

 

1982

1983

1984

1985

Sept 1986

1987

 

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

£"000"

1. Agency Salaries

 

1,627

1,108

1,243

1,303

1,075

1,568

2. Profit Commission

741*

2,072

2,402

1,050

3,431

5,010

5,005

868

---

964

818

1,200

1,289

1,224

697

20

47

2

1

106

---

544

79

141

87

82

63

63

923

---

---

---

---

110

235

947

---

---

534

613

620

478

952

---

---

---

---

---

---

270

---

195

345

268

352

485

Total

2,171

3,749

2,836

5,595

7,550

7,490

* Profit Commission for the four years ended 31 December 1985 shown under syndicate 741 relates to the predecessor syndicate 127 being derived from syndicate profits for the four underwriting years 1979 to 1982.

3. Winding Up Fees

 

47

310

119

84

---

63

 

3,845

5,167

4,198

6,982

8,625

9,121

Some £169,522,000, the property of some 3,551 Names, was transferred as a RITC to close the 1982 year of account of Posgate’s Marine Syndicate 127 into the 1983 year of account of the new Archer preferred Marine Syndicate 741, involving only 1,952 Names. This was systematically reduced to provide the profit paid out during the years of account 1983 to 1988, made up in calendar years 1986 to 1991. The RITC set to close the 1988 year of account of Marine Syndicate 741 was £51,246,000. Mr A J Archer retired from underwriting and as Chairman of the Agency and Holding Company on 31 December 1990.

Kenneth Grob in evidence, 6 January 1983, before the DTI appointed Inspectors investigating the Alexander Howden affair:

"And so we decided that we would do what we always did when we had a problem, that is to say, use the reinsurance route. We have been solving our own and other people’s problems for years with reinsurance".

Mr P P A Wright was appointed underwriter of Marine Syndicate 741 on 1 January 1991. The Underwriter’s Report, dated 23 May 1991, for the 1988 year of account states:

"During the eighties, it was possible to wheel and deal, and by use of reinsurance, produce good profits out of unprofitable business".

3 Mar 88

Memorandum K E Randall to S R Merrett and R A G Jackson. Pollution and Asbestos Claims. We are moving slowly towards the production of the 1987 accounts and it is already clear that the reserves for pollution and asbestos have increased significantly beyond the levels I had been expecting. This gives rise to two questions -

1. Why do they come as a shock to me? (i.e. have I not been listening, or have I not been told?)

2. Is the basis of reserving appropriate?... I am not at all happy about the way information on these cases is passed through Merrett Underwriting Agency Management and furthermore, I continue to be concerned that the work of the "market facility" is overseen by underwriters and claims managers with no input from managing agents. (Here I mean agents at large - I am not just referring to MUAM). I recognise that the Lloyd’s underwriter regards his position as unique in the business world and I have therefore thought long and hard before putting my thoughts into this note.

14 Mar 88

Business Insurance: 2 more firms quit Asbestos Claims Facility. ...

claims filed by tyre, steel and sheet metal workers have become the most common type of asbestos injury claims filed. The same producers that paid the largest shares for claims filed by shipyard and insulation workers also became liable for the largest share for the new types of claims. These producers contend that tyre, steel and sheet metal workers were not exposed to their asbestos products...

21 Mar 88

Business Insurance: Save the Facility...

We can’t fault these asbestos producers for pulling out of the Facility. They have good and valid reasons. A new wave of asbestos claimants who are exposed to asbestos not produced by these six companies has hit the facility.

22 Mar 88

U.S. ANTI-TRUST LITIGATION

On 22 March 1988 The Attorneys General of seven states in the United States filed civil anti-trust actions in the United States District Court for the Northern District of California, charging thirty-two defendants, including major US primary insurers and reinsurers, several London reinsurers, two trade associations, eleven Lloyd’s Underwriting Agencies, two Lloyd’s brokers and individuals, including Merrett Underwriting Agencies Management Ltd., and Robin A.G. Jackson with violations of federal and state antitrust laws and other laws. The State of California et al -v- Hartford Fire Insurance Co. et al, Case No. 88-0981, and related cases. Similar complaints were subsequently filed by other State Attorneys General and by private litigants claiming to represent classes of consumers. These latter suits have been filed in a number of different federal courts and in one state court. The complaints allege that certain defendants violated Section I of the Sherman Act and/or the provisions of state statutes by, among other things, agreeing with others to restrict or refuse coverage for certain commercial general liability risks, for certain casualty treaty reinsurance business, for certain umbrella and excess insurance business and for certain property insurance and reinsurance business. Most of the complaints seek injunctive relief and treble damages in an unspecified amount; some of the complaints also seek statutory fines.

Also on March 22, 1988, the State of Texas sued "Merrett Non-Marine Syndicate No. 799" and Robin A.G. Jackson as "agent" and "member" of Syndicate 799, along with U.S. insurers, reinsurers and two trade associations, in state court in Texas, for alleged violations of the Texas Free Enterprise and Antitrust Act of 1983. The State of Texas -v- Insurance Services office, Inc., et al (District Court, Travis County, Texas). The case was subsequently removed to the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, but plaintiff has filed a motion to remand the case to state court. The factual basis for this complaint are similar to, but narrower than, those alleged in the complaints described above. This complaint seeks injunctive relief and civil penalties of $100,000 each against Robin A.G. Jackson and "each individual member of defendant Merrett Non-Marine Syndicate No. 799".

Counsel for the "Merrett" defendants believe they can successfully defend against the claims in these complaints. However, if some or all of the plaintiffs in these actions are successful in their claims for damages, then substantial losses could be involved.

We reserve our position regarding the allocation of costs and claims in the firm belief that any action taken by staff of this Agency in relation to the matters raised in the writs was undertaken with the best interests of syndicate members in mind.

25 Mar 88

International Minerals & Chemical Corp. -v- Liberty Mutual Insurance Co., 522 N.E. 2d 758, 3rd Appellate Court, 25 March 1988. Court found no evidence that discharge, dispersal, release or escape was sudden to exempt from pollution exclusion clause.

31 Mar 88

Declaratory Judgment Decisions: Carey Canada/Celotex Corp. -v- Aetna Casualty & Surety, 1988 WL 169287, District of Columbia District 5th Circuit Court,

An asbestos-related property damage case, decided by Judge Pratt from the District of Columbia District Court on March 31 1988. The Court found coverage and stated: "The court is aware of no case applying the pollution exclusion in the context of asbestos litigation." "The majority, if not all, of the underlying claimants’ seek recovery for damages caused by [the insured’s] product (asbestos) to other property (buildings and buildings materials). In such cases the ‘owned products’ exclusion is simply inapplicable." "[C]ourts which have considered the effect of asbestos on buildings in the context of an insurance coverage dispute have uniformly concluded that property damage was sustained." Court stayed plaintiff’s summary judgement motion pending further discovery. After further discovery, plaintiff’s summary judgement motion was denied in Carey Canada, Inc. -v- California Union, 748 F. Supp. 8, (D.D.C. 1990. There the Court held there was a genuine issue of fact as to whether release of fibres occurs continuously and the insured had not satisfied the burden of proving its loss occurred within the policy period.

The case also arose on cross-motions for summary judgement. Judge Pratt decided that Florida law was applicable, and he further held that decisions on whether asbestos in buildings constituted property damage and trigger of coverage could only be decided in the context of the underlying cases. Judge Pratt accordingly declined to order summary judgement. He ordered the parties to conduct additional limited discovery on these issues, following which a summary judgement order would be issued. There are strong indications in Judge Pratt’s opinion that he considers that asbestos building claims do constitute property damage and that a triple trigger would be applicable.

Judge Pratt found that the own products, sistership and warranty exclusions were not applicable. However, he did find that a further factual record needed to be developed for him to make a decision as to whether the pollution exclusion was applicable.

As this decision is not yet final, no appeal has yet been filed. (As of July 1988).

0 Apr 88

Consultative Document - Underwriting Agency Agreements Working Group

This document is issued by the Council of Lloyd’s as a basis for discussion. The proposals it contains do not necessarily represent the views of the Council. The document has been sent to underwriting agents, Lloyd’s brokers, the market associations and other bodies likely to have an interest in its contents

Summary of the main proposals

16. Managing agents (but not members agents) should cease to charge winding up fees.

  1. A horizontal deficit clause should be included in the Name’s contract with his members agent. However, the Name would be free to accept any alternative remuneration package that the agent may offer.
  2. A vertical deficit clause should not be mandatory, but a line by line deficit clause should be printed in the Name’s agreement with his managing agent and the agent should be empowered to delete it.
  3. The Council should keep the operation of deficit clauses under review.

THE UNDERWRITING AGENCY AGREEMENTS WORKING GROUP

The Council of Lloyd's at its meeting on 4th March 1987 established a working group with the following terms of reference:

(1). To consider the implications of implementing recommendations 17 and 19-27 of the Report of the Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd's ("the Report") and other ancillary matters contained in the Report having a bearing on the contractual arrangements between Names and underwriting agents and between underwriting agents and underwriting agents.

(2). To prepare for submission to the Council of Lloyd's an interim report suitable for wide consultation concerning the following major issues:

  1. the introduction of a direct contractual nexus between indirect Names and their managing agents;
  2. the defining of the different functions and duties of a members agent and of a managing agent
  3. the introduction of a fair and efficient deficit clause and a standard basis for calculating the agents’ charges;
  4. the tempering of the "pay now, sue later" clause.

Initially the group consisted of:

Mr. E.I. Walker-Arnott

Chairman and Nominated Member

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. W.C. Beckett

Solicitor to the Corporation

 

Mr. P.T. Daniels

Lambert Brothers (Underwriting Agencies) Ltd.

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. C.G.V. Davidge

External Member

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. R.E.M. Elborne

External Member

Council of Lloyd's

Mr. J.M. Gordon

Sedgwick Lloyd's Underwriting Agents Ltd.

LUAA

Mr. P.J. Rawlins

R.W. Sturge & Co

LUAA

Mr. D.M. Smith

Chief Advisor, Agency Affairs

 

It subsequently became clear that the work of the group might have an impact on that of another working group established by the Council to deal with Recommendation 18 - the One Agent One Class Rule. The membership of this group was therefore supplemented by some members of the One Agent One Class Working Group.

Mr. M.H. Cockell

M.H. Cockell & Co. Ltd.

Council of Lloyd's

Mrs. I.M.S. Dick

Policy & Operations Development Department

 
 

Member of One Agent One Class Working Group

 

Mr. G.W. Hutton

G.W. Hutton (Underwriting Agency) Ltd.

Council of Lloyd's

 

Chairman of One Agent One Class Working Group

 

Mr. B.W. Pomeroy

Nominated Member

Council of Lloyd's

 

Member of One Agent One Class Working Group

 

joined the working group with effect from 1st July 1987.

An article in the August 1987 newsletter advised Names of the working group's area of work and asked for Names who wished to raise additional points on the underwriting agency agreement to contact the Secretary. Thirty five Names did.

Deficit clauses

6.10 Another aspect of agents' remuneration in connection with which Lloyd's have not introduced standardised provisions in the agency agreement is the aggregating of a Name's syndicate results either over a number of years or in a single year across some or all of the syndicates on which he participates. The usual description of the legal provision enabling bad results to be offset against good ones in determining the overall amount of profit commission paid by a Name to his agent is a deficit clause, which may, as the above definition suggests, be applied either vertically or horizontally. The argument in favour of such an arrangement is that it is unreasonable for a Name to have to pay profit commission in relation to one syndicate when overall, in relation to a single syndicate over a number of years or in relation to all his syndicates. he has made a loss.

6.11 Unlike the register of charges, deficit clauses were not the subject of any commitment in Parliament by Lloyd's. The Fisher report did, however. recommend (paragraph 9.31 ) that they should be made mandatory for every agreement, and on this, as in a number of other areas, the report reinforced a suggestion made previously by the Cromer working party (Report, paragraph 229). Many Names making submissions to us have echoed that view. It is true that the Fisher report noted that further study of the idea was needed. The matter was subsequently included in the consultative document of July 1984 (page 3)on the standard agency agreement. But the presentation of the matter was hardly enthusiastic, and the eventual Agency Agreements Byelaw ( 1 of 1985) as approved by the Council of Lloyd's, expressly excludes a deficit clause whether vertical or horizontal (clause 8(c) of the standard agency agreement - though it is fair to point out that this clause, unlike the rest of the agreement,. may be consensually varied: clause 21)

6.12 The consultative document dismissed horizontal deficit clauses as unsatisfactory, whether implemented across all a Name's syndicates or whether on the more limited basis of groups of syndicates controlled by a single managing agent. In both cases it was argued, though more strongly in the former. the incentive effect of profit commission on individual underwriters would be significantly reduced, if the result of their success with one syndicate could be affected by someone else’s failure. The consultative document expressed a preference for vertical clauses whereby losses by a Name on a particular syndicate could be carried forward for a specified period and offset against the profits arising during that time in calculating the agent's commission. But its final comment was that compulsory deficit clauses might be to the ultimate disadvantage of Names if agents chose to respond by altering their rates and manner of charging their salaries and fees. In this connection we note that Lloyd's have told us that agents are expected to be viable independently of profit commission.

6.13 We find the arguments against compulsory deficit clauses unconvincing. To outsiders it does not appear obvious why a managing agent who operates deficit clauses with his Names should not be able to design a remuneration package for individual underwriters which reflects their own results rather than the results of the agency as a whole. The suggestion that agents would endeavour to reassert the status quo by other means strengthens the view that some regulatory intervention is needed to ensure that Names get a fair deal. No doubt the introduction of deficit clauses would add a measure of complexity to the calculation of profit commission, but the principle that the remuneration of managing agents, and perhaps also members' agents, should reflect the total result for which they were responsible rather than the profitable segments of it seems unexceptionable. We recommend, therefore, that a fair and efficient form of deficit clause should be made mandatory. The Council of Lloyd's should consider whether additional regulatory intervention is needed in order to avoid any covert practices on the part of agents designed to circumvent the operation of deficit clauses.

88

The Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corp. (FSLIC) was required to step in and guarantee up to the promised U.S.$100,000 on each saver’s deposit, following the Savings & Loan Associations (S & L’s) debacle. However, it soon became apparent that it did not have enough money to meet its liabilities. Despite an injection of $10-8bn by Congress in 1987.

11 Apr 88

Memorandum from Randall to Merrett Underwriting Agency Management Directors.

Rumours are beginning to circulate in the market concerning the possibility that the 1985 account of 418/417 may be ‘left open’. It is therefore likely that you will be questioned by staff brokers and so on.

We have not yet reached a point when the Board can take firm decisions (or make announcements) in this matter, because final syndicate trading figures are not available. It is clear, however, that there has been some deterioration in advised reserves for asbestos and pollution claims affecting both 417’s old years and the run-off contracts, but the uncertainty as to the outcome of issues is greater than ever.

The issues still to be debated by the Board include: What is the appropriate level of reserve to be carried for Asbestos Property Damage claims and EPA claims given the conflicting legal decisions so far available? Do the various scenarios produce such wide variations that we cannot properly arrive at a reliable basis for computing the reinsurance to close?

In connection with the run-off contracts, we are continuing our investigations and there appear to be grounds for supposing less than full disclosure by a number of the cedants at the time the policies were written. The reserves already carried on these contracts are very substantial indeed and we must consider whether any failure to inform whether accidental or deliberate, makes it appropriate that contracts should be renegotiated or even rescinded; meanwhile there must remain a question as to whether we have a satisfactory basis for computing the reinsurance to close.

88

Substances hazardous to Health Regulations 1988 COSHH. To ensure that exposure of employees to hazardous substances is prevented or adequately controlled i.e. motor mechanics working in areas involving clutch and brake pads.

Apr 88

The Consultative Document entitled "Underwriting Agency Agreements Working Party" issued by the Council of Lloyd’s as a basis discussion and sent to Underwriting Agents, Lloyd’s Brokers, the Market Associations and other bodies likely to have an interest in its contents.

23 Apr 88

Enchova, Brazil gas-platform explosion. Estimate loss $330m

Apr 88

The Accountancy Age survey of the 1988 auditors who carried out the audits on the 1985 accounts showed that there has been no move in the direction sought by the Neill Committee. The survey based on the Chatset 1985 Lloyd’s League Tables, showed that four firms carried out 81.3% of the audits, compared with 76% for the 1982 year upon which the Neill Committee made their comments. Recommendation 52 of the Neill Report says: "If at the end of five years (that’s at the end of 1991) there is no shift in the distribution of work among recognised auditing firms, Lloyd’s should consider implementing the suggestion made in paragraph 23.27 of the (1979) Fisher Report that there should be a limit on the number of syndicates which may be audited by any one firm".

Lloyd’s Syndicate Auditors. 1988

Firms

Syndicates

   

Percentage of Stamp Capacity

   

Audit Year to close

1986

1987

1988

1986

1987

1988

Year of Account

1983

1984

1985

1983

1984

1985

Ernst & Whinney

75

79

83

29.1

29.8

30.6

Neville Russell

80

83

79

23.5

25.6

26.4

Arthur Young

57

52

49

17.0

16.8

17.1

Littlejohn Frazer

65

60

59

15.1

13.0

13.9

Spicer & Oppenheim

24

23

25

5.7

5.8

3.1

Price Waterhouse

2

4

4

1.1

1.5

1.9

Binder Hamlyn

8

8

8

2.0

2.0

1.8

Pannell Kerr Forster

16

10

11

2.6

1.7

1.8

Arthur Andersen

6

6

5

2.1

2.0

1.7

Peat Marwick McLintock

5

5

5

0.8

0.9

1.0

Deloitte Haskins & Sells

4

3

4

0.9

0.8

0.8

 

342

335

332

100.0

100.0

100.0

Shortfall

76

73

52

     

The Neill Report

418

408

384

     

"Baby" Syndicates

           

0 - 49 Member range

49

40

19

     

50 - 99 Member range

53

34

24

     
 

102

74

43

     

The survey was based on the 1985 Chatset League Tables.

28 Apr 88

Times: Lloyd’s rejects Neill guideline

A working party of Lloyd’s insurance market has turned down one of the key recommendations of the government-backed Neill committee. It is the first substantive Neill recommendation to be rejected.

The committee headed by Sir Patrick Neill QC called for managing agents to share in the losses as well as the profits of their syndicates. But an internal Lloyd’s working party has turned down the proposal.

The Neill report advocated that a fair and efficient form of deficit clause should be made mandatory. This would mean names could offset the profit commission payable to agents on syndicates in profit against their losses on other syndicates. A small number of Lloyd’s agents already operate deficit clauses, but the majority are strongly opposed to mandatory deficit clauses.

The working party, chaired by Mr Edward Walker-Arnott, a nominated member of Lloyd’s and partner at Herbert Smith, the firm of solicitors, has come down against a mandatory deficit clause for managing agents, who run syndicates, but recommended it for members’ agents, who place names on syndicates but do not run them.

The working party has left the option of introducing a deficit clause up to the managing agent, because it believes mandatory clauses could just increase charges to names and could encourage managing agents to try and fudge their results. It also believes its revised agency structure, showing the separation of function between members’ and managing agents, makes the need for a deficit clause less pressing.

The idea of a deficit clause has a long history and was advocated in the Cromer report of 1969 and the Fisher report of 1980. The Neill report admitted that the introduction of a deficit clause would add a measure of complexity to the calculation of the profit commission, but added that "the principle that the remuneration of managing agents, and perhaps also members’ agents, should reflect the total result for which they were responsible rather than the profitable segments of it seems unexceptionable."

A rejection of the idea of deficit clauses will be viewed with dismay by many names, who regarded the deficit clause as one of Neill’s most important recommendations.

The rejection could also create difficulties for Lloyd’s with the Government, which gave Lloyd’s two years from January last year to implement the 70 recommendations in the Neill report.

29 Apr 88

Meeting between Merretts and Ernst & Whinney to discuss RITC. Brief mention was made of the run-off accounts which had been discussed the previous day and SRM confirmed that a similar approach had been adopted across all three syndicates. However, it was noted that significant changes could follow in the reserves for these contracts as a result of highly probable re-negotiations thereof. It was still being considered by the agency that Syndicate 418 1985 Account would not close at 31 December 1987, as it was not realistic to determine a true and fair view on the result because of the impact of uncertainty for the 1985 account Names. Even so, the work being done at this stage would be done as if to a true and fair reporting conclusion and all other business of the syndicate was being assessed on an "as if" closing basis.... On Syndicate 418, SRM indicated that it may well be that information becomes available within the next few weeks which will enable him to determine a more final answer in respect of the run-off contracts and Merretts may wish to consider closing when that information becomes available.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: Sir Kenneth Berrill to resign

Sir Kenneth Berrill, one of the three original nominated members of the Council of Lloyd’s, will resign from the Council on 31 May, coinciding with his resignation from the chairmanship of the Securities and Investments Board (SIB).

Sir Kenneth’s successor at the SIB, Mr. David Walker, will become a nominated member of Council on 1 June 1988 and will serve on the Council of Lloyd’s for a term coexistent with his term as chairman or a deputy chairman of the SIB.

In a tribute to Sir Kenneth’s work on the Council, Mr. Murray Lawrence, Chairman of Lloyd’s, praised Sir Kenneth’s qualities of objectivity, perception and intellect. ‘His comments have always been illuminating and valuable if, at times, unnerving.’ Said Mr. Lawrence, ‘However, that is why we appointed him and why we very much regret his departure. We look forward to welcoming his successor, Mr. David Walker, to the June meeting of Council.’

Replying, Sir Kenneth Berrill said that: ‘The last five and a half years as a nominated member of Council have been among the most rewarding experiences of my life, spent among the nicest group of people I have worked with in the City.’

Mr. David Walker is currently an executive director of the Bank of England and will remain a non-executive director of the bank when he takes up office at the SIB and Lloyd’s.

0 May 88

The Chairman (Murray Lawrence) undertook a tour of the East Coast of the United States and Canada in May, visiting the large broking companies in New York, prior to travelling to Washington where he was entertained to luncheon by Sir Antony Acland, H M Ambassador to the United States and met the Hon James A Baker, Secretary of State for the Treasury.

During the course of his stay in Canada the Chairman met the Minister for Financial Institutions, Mr Pierre Fortier, and addressed a conference organised by the Canadian Club of Montreal. The Chairman also met the Honourable Don Mazankowski, the Deputy Prime Minister of Canada and was entertained to dinner by the Speaker of the Senate, Mr Guy Charboneau.

A reception for Canadian Names was held in Ontario.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: In brief

The St Paul Companies Inc. of Minnesota has announced the formation of Minet .Speciality Management as a US based unit of Minet Holdings PLC. Minet Speciality Management will manage the US wholesale brokerage of the Swett & Crawford Croup and Minet subsidiary Minet International Professional Indemnity.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: In brief

A management buyout agreement was signed last month between senior personnel of brokers Lowndes Lambert and former owners Hill Samuel group. The management buy out is believed to be the first of its kind in the insurance broking industry.

0 May 88

Lloyd’s Newsletter: Indemnity byelaw passed

The Council of Lloyd’s has approved the Council Members (Indemnification) Byelaw (No 2 of 1988). The new byelaw regulates the manner in which the Society may exercise the power conferred by the Lloyd’s Act 1982 to indemnify members of the Council.

This Byelaw makes provision for the Society to grant indemnities to members of Council in respect of claims made against them or costs incurred by them in their capacity as Council members.

The Society will not indemnify a Council member if that member has been found guilty of fraud or dishonesty.

4 May 88

Abbreviated Accounts

For some time we have made clear our concern that Names who may wish to receive a lesser volume of detailed reporting of their syndicate results cannot, under Lloyd’s rules, ask their agents to provide them with an abbreviated report as an alternative to the full accounts.

We believe that it would be possible to provide key information in a sensible way for those Names who prefer this, provided it were clearly understood and accepted that such information would not on its own constitute full disclosure of all relevant information.

This document is an example of the sort of abbreviated syndicate report we have in mind, covering one of our 13 managed syndicates. It is based on information extracted from the full accounts and is aimed at conveying the most salient performance information only. It does not purport to present a complete view of the syndicate’s past and future position. We would envisage producing a similar abbreviated report for each syndicate separately, with the full consolidated document continuing to be available, as an alternative, on request.

We should be most interested to receive Names’ views concerning the usefulness, and content, of this document. Please address any comments to Mrs H R Simms at R W Sturge & Co. or to your own members’ agent.

5 May 88

Corporation of Lloyd’s: Annual Report and Accounts as at 31 December 1987

Statement by Mr. Murray Lawrence - Chairman of Lloyd’s

The occasion of an anniversary provides an opportunity for celebration and commemoration. It is also a time for reflection both of the past and, perhaps more importantly, of the future and the challenges which the future holds.

For our own unique Society, 1988 provides us with just such an occasion since we are celebrating the anniversary of the first recorded reference to Edward Lloyd’s coffee house which occurred in the London Gazette of 18-21 February 1688. Events associated with the celebration of our Tercentenary will continue throughout 1988. The Council is indebted to all those within the Lloyd’s community - underwriters, brokers, underwriting agents and individual members - who have contributed so handsomely through their donations which have firmly established the Lloyd’s of London Tercentenary Foundation as a lasting commemoration of our anniversary. Establishment of the Foundation maintains Lloyd’s long tradition of charitable giving and, in this particular case, will enable Lloyd’s to support deserving programmes of research or study through the endowment of Fellowships.

I am particularly pleased that my predecessor, Peter Miller, to whom our Society owes a huge debt of gratitude over his four years as Chairman, has agreed to serve as Chairman of the Foundation’s Board of Trustees. The enthusiasm, energy and leadership which characterised his period of office in what were particularly taxing and tempestuous years will, I am sure, be of inestimable value in ensuring the success of the Foundation.

The commemoration and celebration of our Tercentenary provides an appropriate focus for our attention this year. I believe that 1988 will be seen to represent a very important benchmark in the development of our Society. Little could the patrons of Lloyd’s coffee house - least of all Edward Lloyd himself have imagined that three centuries later, the ‘coffee house’ would have long been recognised as the hub of the pre-eminent world market for insurance. Lloyd and his patrons were entrepreneurs and innovators. It has been the Society’s good fortune, through the centuries, to have been able to draw on the vision and skills of so many individuals with entrepreneurial flair and innovative spirit, to ensure its continued healthy evolution.

Regulation too has played an important part in the evolution of our Society. During the year impressive progress has been made with the implementation of the recommendations made by the Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s under the chairmanship of Sir Patrick Neill, QC. A detailed account of that progress, and the Council’s approach to regulatory matters in the future, is incorporated elsewhere within this report. Challenges and difficulties of varying degrees have been a feature of the Society’s long history. Our ability to innovate and to exploit opportunities, however, has also ensured Lloyd’s longevity. The announcement in June last year of the provision of electronic networking services to the London insurance market, including Lloyd’s, reflects that quintessential quality.

The introduction of the electronic network in partnership with Lloyd’s Insurance Brokers Committee, the Institute of London Underwriters and the Policy Signing and Accounting Centre, is a visible manifestation of our commitment to ensure the future prosperity of the Society.

The network will serve to increase our competitiveness, improve the flow of premiums and claims monies and help to contain our costs. here can be no doubt that the facility has the potential to alter fundamentally our trading methods.

The impact of the technological revolution was among many market-related issues debated by the Council at a two-day meeting at Brocket Hall in November. Appropriately, the meeting took place against the background of publication of the consultative document on the regulation of Lloyd’s brokers, the much valued selling and servicing arm of the market.

The Council will be concerned to assist the market to identify new business opportunities throughout the world, and the completion of the European internal market by 1992 is clearly foremost in our minds. A free Community market for insurance will act as a potent impetus for our market place. In addition, there may well be a need for change in the traditional methods used for the transaction of some classes of business: the Council will consider these carefully on their merits.

It is equally important that we have regard to the capital base of our Society. The Council believes that deposits and means requirements should be strengthened and, later this year, it will give careful consideration to recommendations arising from a review of this topic and related issues.

Another important development to flow from the Council’s deliberations in November was a recognition of the need to devolve a greater degree of autonomy to the Committee of Lloyd’s, other committees and to senior Corporation managers for the making of decisions than hitherto. This will enable the Council to devote more of its time to the formulation of policy.

The Council appreciates the importance of its role in anticipating future commercial developments and the need to ensure an appropriate level of support services combined with a regulatory fabric which is effective and which enhances - rather than detracts from - the competitiveness of the Lloyd’s market. I believe that these, and other policy developments, will ensure that Lloyd’s provides the highest level of service and security to its customers in an increasingly competitive environment.

In conclusion, as we contemplate the commencement of our fourth century of successful trading and service to society throughout the world, I believe that we can do so with renewed confidence.

It is a confidence based not upon complacency. It is a confidence in the efficacy of a soundly based regulatory framework; a confidence in the collective strength of a vigorous and vital market place; and a confidence that Lloyd’s will continue to lead in meeting the challenge that is the future.

REPORT BY THE COUNCIL ON THE PROGRESS OF REGULATION

PURPOSE OF THE REPORT

The Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s under the chairmanship of Sir Patrick Neill, QC recommended that there should be an annual report to Names which would cover "the progress of regulation at Lloyd’s, in particular so far as it affects the interests of Names." The Council agrees. The Neill Committee stated that the report should be from the nominated members of the Council alone, but the eight nominated members of the Council took the view that it would be preferable, and more in keeping with the spirit and thrust of the Neill Inquiry’s recommendation, if the report was initiated by themselves but had the support of the whole Council. The Council accepts this view and this is, therefore, a report from the Council as a whole. It is hoped that this report by the Council will represent a new and valuable addition to the annual report and accounts of the Corporation.

THE CONTEXT OF THE REPORT OF THE NEILL COMMITTEE OF INQUIRY

Much of the Council’s regulatory activity in 1987 was in hand before the Committee’s report was written, and the prospect of it was welcomed by the Neill Committee - the completion of the process of agent registration; the setting up of the general review department, now working well; the placing on file at Lloyd’s accessible to members of a register of agents’ charges; the publication of a further edition of Membership: The Issues on the implications of membership for present and potential members; and the work under way on broker regulation leading to the publication at the end of the year of a consultative document.

Nevertheless changes in regulation during 1987 were heavily influenced by the report of the Neill Inquiry. The Financial Services Act 1986 had provided a new regulatory framework for the financial services industry and the Secretary of State for Trade and Industry had invited Sir Patrick and his two colleagues to assess how far Lloyd’s provided its members with protection comparable to that proposed for investors under the new legislation and what more should be done to this end. The Committee reported in January 1987. It recognised that Lloyd’s had made commendable progress in the reform of its regulatory machinery under the 1982 Lloyd’s Act and thereby enhanced its standards of regulation. The Committee made some seventy recommendations which would carry forward the process of reform in the light of the new legislation.

The Council of Lloyd’s welcomed the report and immediately set in train an examination of all the recommendations with the intention of securing in the most effective manner and with all possible speed improvements in practices and procedures in the areas identified by the inquiry.

NEILL RECOMMENDATIONS ACCEPTED IN 1987

Of the 70 Neill recommendations, 38 had been accepted by the end of 1987 and work on the remainder was in hand. The major constitutional change, that 12 instead of 16 members of the Council should be elected from the market and eight in place of four should be nominated members who otherwise have no connection with the Society, with eight still elected from the external membership, was accepted immediately on publication of the Neill Inquiry report and was implemented quickly. Committees of the Council are now chaired by nominated or external members in all cases where the Neill Inquiry recommended this. The new arrangements are working well but it is right to note the increased burden which necessarily now falls on the smaller number who are elected from the market and whose role in any self-regulatory system is vital.

Among the other changes made in 1987, a revised Syndicate Accounting Byelaw further developed the information available to members about their underwriting business. A Byelaw amendment required disclosure of commissions paid to those introducing members to Lloyd’s. A cheaper and quicker arbitration procedure for monetary complaints by members against agents was set in place. An Ombudsman system was established to consider any possible cases where members believe that they have been treated unjustly as a result of maladministration by the Council or the Corporation; the Council wishes to record its pleasure that Sir Kenneth Clucas has accepted appointment as the first Lloyd’s Members’ Ombudsman. Some minor changes to Lloyd’s disciplinary procedures were made.

ACTION ON OTHER NEILL RECOMMENDATIONS

Meanwhile, work proceeded on the remaining Neill recommendations which the Council agreed with the Government in April 1987 that they would aim to deal with within two years. The Council approved a consultative document proposing changes relating to the information which should be made available to prospective members. The main features were the continued improvement of Membership: The Issues; a requirement that, as a minimum, new members should see specified information about the agent to whom they intended to entrust their underwriting; use of new "know your client" guidelines; and the maintenance of an information file on agents at Lloyd’s, to which all new and existing members would have access, which would provide information about the performance and policies of all agents on a consistent basis. The aim of the proposals is to ensure that members are in a position to make well-informed choices between different members’ agents.

A second main area addressed by the Neill Committee related to the standard agency agreement. By the end of the year the work on this was well advanced. The Council intends to consult the market, the membership and others on the agreement in mid-1988 with a view to a decision being taken by the end of the year and new agency agreements coming into force in 1990. The Council hopes also to reach a decision at an early date on the recommended Lloyd’s members’ compensation scheme so that this too can begin in 1990: agents’ compulsory errors and omissions insurance, not compulsory under the Securities and Investments Board and Self Regulating Organisations rules, would continue in the meantime and probably thereafter.

Important recommendations concerned with agent registration were considered by Council in the Autumn. These included measures actively to encourage agents to appoint non-executive directors; the provision by agents to members of details of the arrangements for handling their complaints; and the introduction of a procedure for consulting members when agents come up for periodic review. Those most concerned were consulted then and the Council intends to act on these matters in mid 1988. Work went forward on the formulation of a Byelaw to ensure control by the Council of parallel syndicates; this is expected to be the subject of consultation in mid 1988 with decisions reached thereafter.

A further recommendation is designed to ensure that in future those appointed as active underwriters are more fully trained for their task. The Council decided in principle in December, and subsequently confirmed, that there should be a requirement from 1992 for new active underwriters and others to pass examinations to ensure sufficient working knowledge of the law of agency, the principles of insurance as conducted by Lloyd’s and the Lloyd’s regulatory framework. Transitional arrangements will need to be made and new textbooks and courses devised. The Council sees this as an important step in fostering greater understanding between regulator and regulated.

Although not so closely related to the interests of Names, a major piece of regulatory work in the period under review related to the preparation of Byelaws, rules and a code of conduct designed to improve the regulation of Lloyd’s brokers. This matter was the subject of consultation in November, 1987 and the work is expected to be completed by the middle of 1988. Work on the re-registration of Lloyd’s brokers, in the light of the new rules, will then begin.

FUTURE REGULATORY ACTIVITY

The changes being made in the light of the Neill report will complete a series of fundamental changes in the Lloyd’s regulatory system over a period of some 10 years. Thereafter, a continuing responsibility rests on the Council to keep under close review the whole range of Lloyd’s regulatory activities. It needs to balance properly the interests of policy holders, external members and those active in the market, without imposing unnecessary costs on the membership or inhibiting the market’s capacity to innovate. Accordingly, the Council has commissioned a study of the costs incurred by agents in complying with Lloyd’s rules, with the aim of simplifying them where it is possible to do so without reducing their effectiveness. The Council is also examining the possibility that Names should be given the opportunity to decide with their agents whether some of the information supplied to them should be in abbreviated form. In addition to completing the Neill reforms, the Council’s priorities over the next year include a revision of means and deposit requirements with the aim of maintaining the highest standards of security for policy holders. The Council will also be concerned to ensure that the regulatory framework promotes competition within the market place; provides the right safeguards for members; and works to enhance Lloyd’s ability to compete in an international insurance market, by reinforcing the market’s reputation for security, honesty and competence.

CHIEF EXECUTIVE’S REPORT ON CORPORATION ACTIVITIES 1987

For the Corporation of Lloyd’s 1987 was a year of intense effort rewarded by considerable achievement.

The ‘PCW affair’ was brought to a satisfactory conclusion with both offers to affected Names being accepted by over 99 per cent of those involved. We would have been very happy to know at the beginning of 1987 that the year would end in that way.

Much of 1986 was occupied in preparing evidence for the Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s, which was established in that year under the chairmanship of Sir Patrick Neill, QC. As the Council’s report on the progress of regulation makes clear, a great deal of work, by the Council and Corporation in 1987, related to the consideration and implementation of the Inquiry’s 70 recommendations. This work advanced well during the year and is expected to be substantially completed by the end of 1988.

The taxation authorities in the United Kingdom and the USA provided a significant distraction during the year. In the United Kingdom, protracted negotiations led to a revision of the Government’s proposals for the tax treatment of reinsurance to close. The revised arrangements will have effect for the results of the underwriting year 1985; they have been tested on the 1984 results and have proved to be broadly satisfactory. Any subsequent refinements which prove to be necessary will be discussed with the Inland Revenue.

In the USA, the pre-emptory and ill-judged legislation which was introduced in the early Autumn was subsequently abandoned but we are left with a negotiation with the US Treasury and a review of the Closing Agreement which governs taxation arrangements between Lloyd’s and the US Internal Revenue Service. It is too early to say what the result of those discussions will be.

Above all, 1987 was a year in which it became possible for the Council to conclude, at its private conference at Brocket Hall, that it need no longer be as preoccupied as it inevitably was in the past with the development of regulation at Lloyd’s but that it could properly turn a greater degree of its attention to developing the business environment in which the Lloyd’s market operates. There were evident signs of this during the year in the development of information technology services offered to the market. Further progress with Europe and an enhancement of service standards are likely to be two further examples of this process in 1988.

The main topics of the year are dealt with in greater detail elsewhere in this report by my senior colleagues.

Very few of the achievements of 1987 would have been possible without the whole-hearted commitment and dedication of all the employees of the Corporation. Their increasing proficiency and professionalism is reflected, not only in the greater extent to which the Council now delegates to them administrative and procedural decisions previously taken by the Council or its members, but also in the increasingly fruitful relationship between the Corporation and members of the market.

Solicitor to the Corporation

The work of the solicitor’s department during 1987 was dominated by the settlement of the ‘PCW affair’ and for which the detailed negotiation and documentation was both extensive and extremely complicated. The work on this subject was intense up to the time of the main settlement in mid-1987. Thereafter, throughout the remainder of the year there were many supplemental legal issues which required careful attention.

The implementation of the Neill Committee’s recommendations has involved the solicitor’s department in participation in many of the working groups and in the preparation of consultative documents and the drafting of many new or amending byelaws. The legal input has been greatest in relation to broker regulation and the revision of the standard agency agreements. Other work relating to the development and improvement of the Lloyd’s regulatory regime has also increased the legal and advisory work of the department.

There has been a major growth in litigation both in connection with the PCW settlement and otherwise. A greater part was also played by the department in the resolution of various legal problems which confronted the Corporation overseas.

An increase in work of a number of other Corporation departments, particularly in the membership area, has led inevitably to a considerable increase in the day to day advisory work which the department has been called upon to perform. Similarly, advisory work has also been necessary for Corporation services departments.

The department has played a major role in the conduct of various investigations during the year and undertook the preparation and presentation of the disciplinary cases that were heard during the year. In 1987 five disciplinary cases involving 11 defendants were concluded. Penalties imposed included nine periods of suspension ranging from three months to ~8 months, fines totalling £67,500 (reduced to £40,000 after appeal) and censure on nine of the defendants. Lloyd’s Appeal Tribunal heard appeals from four out of the five disciplinary cases, set aside censure imposed on six defendants and quashed some, but not all, of the verdicts against one defendant and, accordingly, reduced his fine.

Property

In the first full year of occupancy, effective management of the new building was a major preoccupation, particularly given the continued demand for additional underwriting space. Underwriting has already expanded into the building’s upper galleries and a substantial portion of the fourth gallery is now occupied for this purpose. Meanwhile, it is encouraging to note that the letting of galleries six to 10 to commercial tenants has been most successful with almost 100 tenants occupying most of the available space. The remaining space on these galleries has been reserved for occupation by tenants during the early part of 1988.

The completion of the main contract for the 1986 building progressed through the year and has been substantially completed with only minor items outstanding. Closed circuit TV was introduced at the end of 1987 to improve the security of the building and a permanent lighting system was installed to illuminate the exterior of the building. During the year the building won two major awards: the Financial Times Architecture at Work Award and the Civic Trust Award.

In the latter half of 1987, a survey was carried out to obtain the views of underwriters and brokers following the first year of trading in the new building. The survey established that the majority of users considered that the building could satisfy the needs of the market but that some modification and enhancements were required to achieve this. Design proposals have been commissioned.

Meanwhile, the refurbishment of the 1958 building continued during the year. The project is being carried out in phases. The last phase, which involves the major part of the construction work, will continue throughout 1988. The refurbished space will be used to accommodate

Corporation departments who are now based in London House. It will also provide additional catering facilities, expansion space for computer equipment and office space for tenants on the fourth and fifth floors.

Personnel and Training

During the year, development of a closer relationship between three departments - personnel, training and career and manpower development - took place based on the introduction of a central personnel computer system. Initially the system is being used to process personnel records and salary review data; eventually it will be extended to pensions, payroll and training. A separate system has been introduced to monitor management development and succession planning throughout the Corporation. These new systems will assist greatly in the monitoring of personnel numbers and in the proper development of the potential of individual employees.

The recruitment of eight graduates as general administrative trainees within the Corporation was an innovation in the year. The graduates embarked upon a specially designed induction programme in September. For their first year they will undertake a series of special projects throughout the Corporation and participate in a variety of training development activities.

During the year the training department was concerned with preparations for the introduction of a mandatory qualification for underwriters and executive directors of members’ and managing agencies. This followed approval of the scheme in principle by the Council. The qualification, to be known as the Lloyd’s Market Certificate, will be accredited by the Chartered Insurance Institute and will be offered for the first time in April 1990.

Public Affairs

Development of a comprehensive communications programme, designed to increase understanding about Lloyd’s and improve general awareness of its activities, continued during the year. Monthly press conferences have enabled press and media representatives to be briefed regularly on the work of the Council. The range of publications produced by the public affairs department has been updated and expanded. Completion of ‘One Lime Street,’ a new documentary film on Lloyd’s, together with a quartet of shorter versions designed to appeal to specific audiences, complement this programme.

Another facet of the programme is represented by the Lloyd’s Exhibition and public viewing gallery, which has established itself as of major interest for visitors to Lloyd’s in particular and to the City in general. In its first 12 months of operation the gallery attracted close to 300,000 visitors from many different countries. Visitors included educational groups, clients of the Lloyds market, existing and potential members and members of the public.

Meanwhile, the re-establishment of Lloyd’s unique collection of memorabilia associated with Lord Nelson was completed in October. Located on the lower ground floor of the new building, the Nelson Collection was formally opened on 21 October 1987 - Trafalgar Day - by Admiral Sir Richard Fitch, KCB, the Second Sea Lord. This properly reflected the continuing links between Lloyd’s and the Royal Navy.

REGULATORY SERVICESGROUP

Membership

The number of members of the Society at the beginning of 1988 was 33,532: this represented an increase of 6.5 per cent compared with a year earlier.

The decision of the Council to move to gross premium underwriting limits in 1988 and to require all members’ means and deposits then to be in line with current requirements, caused many Names to reappraise their underwriting levels for 1988. As a consequence, the number of Names applying for increased limits (8,569 or 27 percent of membership) was the second highest ever. This increase, together with the additional capacity provided by new members, generated an overall increase in market capacity for 1988 of 7.08 percent.

In order to comply with the current requirements some 11,209 and 6,031 members respectively were required to re-prove means and/or provide additional deposits by the end of the year. Underwriting agents and Corporation personnel are to be congratulated on the high level of co-operation and commitment demonstrated in carrying out this formidable task. At the conclusion of the exercise only 76 Names failed to meet the current requirements and therefore had to reduce their level of underwriting in 1988.

Considerable progress was made during 1987 in the development of the new funds management system, this is expected to be fully operational in July 1988. A number of members agents have been linked to the existing systems by way of the Lloyd’s network. This has proved of interest to agents in general who, as a result of a number of seminars arranged by the Corporation, have requested their own direct link.

Work continued on the membership information project, which is expected to be in full operation early in 1989. The completion of these two major systems will complete the first two phases of the Regulatory Services Group data processing systems programme.

Early in 1987, the Council authorised discussions to proceed with the Securities and Exchange Commission in the USA with the aim of establishing the criteria for the admission of US members. These discussions have not vet been finalised: it has been decided, however, that Lloyd’s best interests would be served by applying the accredited investor status test for all US candidates. Consequently, agents have been advised that with immediate effect all US candidates must satisfy this test.

As recommended by Sir Patrick Neill’s Committee of Inquiry, a new Names Interests Committee was established in March 1987, chaired by Sir Kenneth Berrill KCB. During the year, the Committee formulated the byelaws enacted by the Council in December setting up the office of the Lloyd’s Members’ Ombudsman and putting in place a modified arbitration procedure in relation to certain disputes between members and agents. The Committee also took over responsibility, in June, from the former Names’ Advisory Committee for giving advice or assistance to individual members; over the year some 15 such requests were considered.

Regulatory Matters

Much of the regulatory work do ring 1987 has concentrated on the review and implementation of the recommendations of the Neill Committee and is covered in some detail in the Council’s report. In addition there was significant progress in a number of other areas where the implementation and application of earlier reforms continued.

The registration of underwriting agents under Byelaw 4 of 1984 was completed on time in July and with it the divestment of all remaining ownership links between managing agents and Lloyd’s brokers. At the completion of the re-registration programme a total of 234 underwriting agents had been registered comprising 59 managing agents, 80 members’ agents and 95 combined agents.

The general review department was fully established and began work on the review functions envisaged by the Review Powers Byelaw (No. 5 of 1986). Progress was made in developing the resources which, in due course, will enable the department to carry out regular on-site reviews of underwriting agents and brokers on average once every three years. The department will also be available to carry out other studies and, building on experience, is expected to become a valuable source of advice to both the market and the Corporation.

There was a reduction in the number of cases where formal action was taken under the Syndicate Premium Income byelaw (No. 6 of 1984). Although this was partly due to market conditions, the effective functioning of controls at syndicate level was an important factor. Only three directions were issued to underwriting agents by the Committee of Lloyd’s to restrict the level of insurance business underwritten, and the same number of voluntary undertakings were accepted from certain other agents. The Syndicate Premium Income (Amendment) Byelaw issued in May gave effect to the Neill Committee’s recommendation that where a direction to restrict underwriting had been made a full explanation of the circumstances giving rise to the direction should be provided to the underwriting members and members’ agents concerned.

In the case of the individual member, the Council decided that the calculation of premium income in checking compliance with premium income limits should be consistent with that used for syndicate monitoring purposes. The Membership (Amendment No. 3) Byelaw made at the end of the year provides for the Council to control members’ premium income on a year of account rather than on a calendar year basis.

Work began in 1986 on the production of a register of agents’ charges which was completed in July 1987. The register, which makes publicly available information on underwriting agents charges to their Names, has been sent to all underwriting agents and is also available for inspection at Lloyd’s. Extracts from the register can be obtained from Lloyd’s on application.

The Membership (Amendment No. 2) Byelaw (No. 4 of 1987) introduced in March requires the disclosure of any commission, remuneration or benefit given or received in connection with a candidate’s membership of Lloyd’s. The Rota interviews during 1987 required the prospective members to state whether any such payment has been given. The year also saw the implementation of the Neill Committee’s recommendation that the agent should leave the Rota interview for a period to enable the candidate to be questioned alone.

A new syndicate Accounting Byelaw (No. 11 of 1987) was issued in November. This Byelaw came into force in 1988 and implements a number of the recommendations of the Neill Committee as well as other changes considered necessary following a review of the existing rules. The changes will enable members to assess better the stewardship of their underwriting. They include additional disclosure requirements relating to the business underwritten (both actual and anticipated), the investment return, reinsurance ceded, the reinsurance to close and the anticipated outturn on the open underwriting accounts.

Looking ahead, there is clearly much to be done to absorb the administration of the many new Bylaws made in 1987 into the procedures of Council, Committee and Corporation. There will be a similar burden on underwriting agents and the cost implications of the enhanced regulatory structure will receive close attention during the coming year. The reform and the reappraisal of the regulatory framework will continue into 1988; this will include a review of the membership requirements for 1990 and beyond to take account of the effects of inflation and the need to maintain high standards of security. The impact of the changes in broker regulation must also be assessed not least to ensure that the Lloyd’s market remains attractive to insured and the insurer alike.

SYSTEMS & COMMUNICATIONS GROUP

In 1987 the Systems and Communications Group activity centred on the principal task of improving money flows, improving claims services and reducing administrative overheads through the introduction of new technology into Corporation departments and the market.

The objectives were to improve and enhance the range of services and to improve user communications. Several new services have been introduced and performance is regularly reviewed with the market.

The most significant event of the year in the Systems & Communications Group was the announcement and introduction of the first phase of the London Insurance Market Network. The purpose of the network is to dramatically improve the flows of business information between Lloyd’s and the broker community, the Institute of London Underwriters and the Policy Signing and Accounting Centre.

The network will be provided by IBM. Four services are being introduced:

Electronic Data Interchange

This service went live in November and will allow transfer of bulk data from the bureaux directly to the underwriters’ and brokers’ computer system. Several concerns are already using this service in the UK and to the USA.

Electronic Mail

This system allows the transmission of electronic messages between’ participants on an international basis and will facilitate the documentation associated with claims and placings. The system is already in use in the UK and to the USA.

Interactive Enquiry Service

As 1988 progresses it will be possible for members’ agents to communicate directly with the membership department for purposes of solvency and funds management.

Financial Services

It is planned to introduce electronic access to several commercial information databases including shipping information available through Lloyd’s of London Press.

The effect of this major development is to improve business opportunities for the community and to improve Lloyd’s service throughout the world. Although an optional service, the market has welcomed networking and over 1,000 representatives have attended seminars on the use and implications of the new system.

Such has been the impact of technology in the market that demands for new voice and data communications rose by 70 per cent during the year.

Several new systems and enhancements to existing systems were introduced in 1987. After a slow start the slip registration system is now achieving its goals. Flexible settlement was introduced and developments are going in on time in the funds management/membership area. Scheme Canada and a replacement to the ageing direct data entry system, which is at the heart of all Lloyd’s central data processing, are well in hand. New general ledger and personnel management software was successfully put into effect in the Corporation.

The consultancy team which was introduced this year has proved immensely successful. The main purpose is to help market firms, who are new to technology. Over 40 assignments have been completed.

Finance and Market Services

A pilot scheme for the production of Swiss policies was launched in July. Lloyd’s Mandataire Generale in Zurich now prepares policies from details contained in cover notes and from brokers’ slips supplied to the Lloyd’s Policy Signing Office. The objective is to provide policy documentation to assureds within 30 days of inception. Initial results are encouraging and could provide the basis for future initiatives in other countries.

A slip registration scheme was introduced during the year which will allow Lloyd’s Policy Signing Office to issue listings of settlements due or overdue. Initial teething problems are now largely overcome and consideration is being given to further applications.

A flexible settlement system was implemented on 1 September enabling the period between signing a policy at LPSO and settlement to be varied; the scheme has been adopted by the non-marine market.

The advice scheme for outstanding marine claims continued to progress towards becoming the primary source of advice to marine syndicates of outstanding marine claims. The overall total of outstanding claims recorded on the system grew during the year from 16,500 to 31,000 and the number of advice cards provided to syndicates per day increased from 2,300 to 3,400. At the year end 700,000 lines of outstanding claims entries were listed to enable syndicates to determine year end reserves.

During 1987, underwriters became able to transact Italian direct business under the licence granted in 1986 and a General Representative’s office was established in Rome. Negotiations have started with the German insurance supervisory authorities with a view to ascertaining the terms and conditions of a licence for underwriters who wish to become authorised insurers in West Germany.

During the early part of the year the tax department, together with members of the market, were involved in discussions with the Inland Revenue on the proposed reinsurance to close legislation. The final outcome was legislation which better reflects the way in which Lloyd’s underwriters do business. The fiscal focus switched to Washington at the end of 1987, when a proposal that the Closing Agreement be abrogated and syndicates be taxed as companies was passed by the House of Representatives with almost no prior warning. Following a major lobbying and information campaign, in which Lloyd’s received much valuable help from US Names, this legislation, which sought to force underwriters into a mould which they did not fit, was kept off the statute book. The US Treasury, however, was instructed to report to Congress on the question of whether Lloyd’s underwriters were, as a result of the Closing Agreement, at a fiscal advantage to domestic insurers. If so, they are required to renegotiate the agreement by the end of 1989. Discussions on this matter with the US Treasury are in hand.

Substantial progress has been made on the development and introduction of a new financial reporting system for the Corporation. This system will provide a better understanding of the real cost of activities and services and enable more effective financial control to be exercised.

FINANCIAL COMMENTARY

Corporation of Lloyd’s

The consolidated surplus for the year after taxation was £19.8 million, up £7. 2 million on that for 1986.

Operating income rose by £18. 5 million or 15 per cent to £140. 7 million. Subscription income, up £11. 9 million at £72. 2 million, reflected a 20 per cent increase in Lloyd’s market capacity. Entrance fees declined by £0.8 million due to a reduction in the number of new members elected to commence underwriting from 1 January 1988 as compared to the previous year. Room rents rose by £2. 3 million, benefiting from a full year in the new underwriting Room and higher Room rents.

Operating expenditure increased by £15. 4 million or 16 per cent to £113. 5 million. Employee costs rose by £3. 7 million or 10 per cent reflecting adjustments to pay levels and an increase of 4 per cent in numbers, principally in the regulatory area. Premises costs were up £5.7 million, attributable mainly to a full year’s depreciation charge on the new building. Net interest costs fell by £1. 9 million.

A change in accounting policy has meant that the revenue results of Additional Securities Limited are no longer included in the subsidiaries’ figure shown in the consolidated revenue account; appropriate adjustments have been made to prior year figures. The purpose of this company is to provide deposits overseas on behalf of Lloyd’s underwriters in order to comply with local insurance regulations. Its operating costs are funded by those underwriters who benefit from the service. The policy change recognises that any significant deficits would ultimately be recovered from underwriters and any significant surplus would be applied for their benefit.

Capital expenditure in 1987 remained high at £19. 6 million, reflecting costs associated with both the new building and the refurbishment of the 1958 building. The 1986 building project is now almost complete and its final cost, apart from any expenditure agreed as a result of the design study commissioned early in 1988, is expected to be below the previously reported estimate of £191 million.

Borrowings, including finance leases, stood at £100. 8 million at the end of 1987, £22. 9 million down. This was the first downward movement in borrowings since 1979.

After allowing for lower cash balances, there was a net cash inflow during 1987 of £17.0 million. Accumulated reserves rose by £19.5 million to £146.1 million.

The PCW settlement in 1987 brought to an end the involvement of assenting members. The cost to Lloyd’s of £50. 5 million was met by the Central Fund. It was made up of Lloyd’s contribution of £44.0 million and the administrative costs of the settlement including advances of £3.3 million to AUA3 Ltd. carried forward in the 1986 accounts. If the Lloyd’s contribution, together with the underwriting assets of assentors and contributions from assentors and other parties, should prove inadequate to meet the PCW run-off liabilities assumed by Lioncover Insurance Company, the shortfall will be met from Lloyd’s Central Fund.

Lloyd’s of London Press

The adverse trading conditions in the international shipping industry in 1986 seriously affected the company’s financial performance and contributed to the loss of £0. 2 million. The profit in 1987 of £0. 3 million reflects rigorous cost control, the reduction of problems in associated and subsidiary companies, and significant improvements in the profitability of the core publishing and information businesses.

Profitability has continued to improve in the first quarter of 1988.

Toplis and Harding Inc.

The difficult trading conditions experienced in 1986 continued into 1987 with fee income down from $16.4 million to $16.2 million. Significant costs were incurred on reorganisation and the introduction of improved control systems and procedures. These factors have led to a pre-tax loss for the year of $3.2 million (1986 -$2.4 million). The 1988 outlook remains unsatisfactory.

1987 EVENTS

In 1986 the Chairman’s travel programme (Peter Miller) was directed mainly towards Lloyd’s overseas members; in 1987 (Murray Lawrence) the accent was more on the producers of business to the Lloyd’s market.

10 May 88

Daily Telegraph: Digging deeper for Outhwaite

A report on the troubled Outhwaite underwriting syndicates at Lloyd’s has been delayed by at least a week because the conclusions are so finely balanced that Freshfields is reworking its findings. It will say the Outhwaite underwriters were certainly not criminal but it will be highly critical of their judgment.

But the report does not suggest the policies were so foolhardy nor the underwriting so negligent that members should sue. This Friday the 13th, Outhwaite’s latest figures will accompany a demand that names put up a further £30m of cash (it was £10m last year) and Linklaters findings will give little comfort to members considering refusing it.

The outcome at Outhwaite is the key to a collection of battles because it reinsured other syndicates which had been underwriting asbestosis and pollution risks. It refused to pay the claims, saying not all the relevant facts had been disclosed.

Claims are now expected to reach £300m. One case is going to the High Court, several others are in arbitration and large numbers of syndicates are unable to close their accounts as a result. The effects are reverberating around Lloyd’s.

Altogether, over 90 syndicates have at least one year left open, in addition to the normal last three. Many are unconnected with Outhwaite, and their members are in limbo - all they know is they are will be asked to put up more money to cover losses.

"Long-tail" business is part and parcel of Lloyd’s, but these policies cover risks that nobody saw at the time, and still cannot be quantified today. As a result, Lloyd’s members who want to leave are prevented from sealing off their risk. They are locked in to the losses and must go on paying. It was to protect them the report on Outhwaite was commissioned, but that has not produced an answer either.

11 May 88

The Binding Authorities (Amendment) Byelaw (No. 1 of 1988, 11 May 1988)

The byelaw and the Approval of Correspondents (Amendment No 2) Regulation, were made to ensure that certain reinsurance business which did not fall precisely into the existing definition of a ‘binding authority’ was brought within the scope of the byelaw and regulation.

The Binding Authority (Amendment) Regulation was made in order to exclude Lloyd’s brokers’ marine line slips from the need to comply with the provisions of the existing regulation which has proved, in practice, to be inappropriate for this class of business.

11 May 88

The Council Members (Indemnification) Byelaw (No. 2 of 1988)

The new byelaw regulates the manner in which the Society may exercise the power conferred by the Lloyd’s Act 1982 to indemnify members of the Council.

This byelaw makes provision for the Society to grant indemnities to members of the Council in respect of claims made against them or costs incurred by them in their capacity as Council members.

The Society will not indemnify a Council member if that member has been found guilty of fraud or dishonesty.

The Byelaw makes provision for the Society to grant indemnities to Members of the Council in respect of claims made against them in their capacity as Council Members.

Under the provision, Peter Miller would be indemnified against any successful claim in the present round of anti-trust suits in the US, as he is involved in his capacity as former Chairman of Lloyd’s, while fellow Councillor Dick Hazel will not be indemnified as his involvement is in his capacity as a leading Non-Marine Underwriter.

The new Byelaw also eases any personal problems that Councillors could have if litigation such as that brought by Oakley Vaughan Members singles out particular Members of the Council.

11 May 88

The Membership (Amendment No. 4) Byelaw (No 3 of 1988, 11 May 1988)

The amendment requires any Member who is convicted of certain criminal offences to inform the Council. Members convicted of such offences will have their membership revoked unless the Council is satisfied that it should not be revoked.

The rule applies in convictions anywhere in the world, but if ‘the nature and circumstances’ of the conviction can be explained satisfactorily to the Council, then membership may continue.

The listed offences include any offence which brings a custodial sentence of 12 months or more, theft, burglary, blackmail, handling stolen property, forgery, fraud and various degrees of aiding and abetting the listed offences.

12 May 88

Lloyd’s: Circular letter to membership from Murray Lawrence - Deficit Clauses

You will have seen in the April Newsletter a summary of the main proposals contained in the consultative document on Underwriting Agency Agreements. Also reproduced was a letter from me inviting a response from members to the proposals.

While I am very aware that members already receive more paper from Lloyd's than most wish to read and assimilate I cannot over emphasise the importance to members of the changes proposed by the working Group. For this reason we are sending to all members a copy of the complete consultative document. Although the document is a long one it is easy to read and deals with matters which will vitally affect your future relationship with your agent.

The Council has so far taken no decisions on the proposals in the document. In its intent to implement all the recommendation of the Neill Report that relate to the Underwriting Agency Agreement, the Council needs to be sure that the proposals are practicable and meet the wishes of members generally. Feedback from the membership is essential if we are to reach the correct decisions.

In particular, in considering the working party's proposals for the detailed implementation of Neill's broad recommendation on deficit clauses, the. Council would like to hear from as many members as possible on the following points:

Would members prefer:

  • for members' agents to have to offer the ‘horizontalclause - whereby profit commission would be charged on net profits in any year, with losses on any syndicates deducted from profits on others - but be free to offer alternatives, leaving it to the member to choose which alternative he preferred. (As the working party points out, where members' agents offer deficit clause on profit commission it may be that they will feel it necessary to offset the effects of this by some increase in fixed charges.) Or
  • for members’ agents to have to offer the horizontal deficit clause and the be bound to accept it, with no alternatives?

What are members' views on a standardvertical’ deficit clause for managing agents, whereby losses on a syndicate in recent years would be subtracted from profits before profit commission was paid?

  • The working party has proposed that a standard clause should be printed in all agreements but that it should be the managing agent’s option whether or not to offer this type of clause, since there is great uncertainty as to its commercial effects. The working party proposes that the Council would review experience after a number of years to see whether there was a case for requiring agents to offer this type of clause.
  • Would members prefer to see managing agents obliged to offer a vertical deficit clause now?

Deficit clauses have been discussed in general terms within the Lloyd's community many times in recent years, but the working party’s proposals for the first time work them out in detail. They also place them in a new context: clearly defined duties for members’ and managing agents respectively; separate contracts between members and each agent; and separate remuneration for each.

I am certain that the consultation process will result in us identifying the correct way forward. To this end I hope we shall b~ hearing from you with your views.

Should you have any queries please contact Mr. NP Demery, Lloyd's extension 6949. Representations should also be addressed to him as The Secretary, underwriting Agency Agreements working Group, solicitors Department, Lloyd’s, Lime Street, London EC3M 7HA to reach him no later than Friday 29th July 1988.

17 May 88

Lloyd’s List: Outhwaite lashed over the Freshfields procedures

20 May 88

Letter from Merrett Underwriting Agency Management to Members’ Agents and Names re: up-date on closing the open year.

24 May 88

Sturge Internal Memo from P Rawlins to K Leonard and A Jones.

I asked to see Ken Randall today to get detailed background on their decision to leave the 1985 account open.... The sole reason the account is being left open is that they are seeking to re-negotiate 11 run-off contracts written into this syndicate ... They expect the discussions to be completed within the next 6 months or so and, whatever their outcome, they are thereafter planning to close 1985...

30 May 88

Business Insurance: Wellington defections kill Asbestos Claims Facility

.. when the Asbestos Claims Facility was formed, the formula for determining each producer’s share of liability was based on the litigation and settlement history of claims filed by shipyard and insulation workers, which at that time was the most common type of asbestos injury claim. Beginning in early 1987, however, claims filed by tyre, steel and sheet metal workers became the most common type of claim filed... 5 May 88

Corporation of Lloyd’s: Annual Report and Accounts as at 31 December 1987

Statement by Mr. Murray Lawrence - Chairman of Lloyd’s

The occasion of an anniversary provides an opportunity for celebration and commemoration. It is also a time for reflection both of the past and, perhaps more importantly, of the future and the challenges which the future holds.

For our own unique Society, 1988 provides us with just such an occasion since we are celebrating the anniversary of the first recorded reference to Edward Lloyd’s coffee house which occurred in the London Gazette of 18-21 February 1688. Events associated with the celebration of our Tercentenary will continue throughout 1988. The Council is indebted to all those within the Lloyd’s community - underwriters, brokers, underwriting agents and individual members - who have contributed so handsomely through their donations which have firmly established the Lloyd’s of London Tercentenary Foundation as a lasting commemoration of our anniversary. Establishment of the Foundation maintains Lloyd’s long tradition of charitable giving and, in this particular case, will enable Lloyd’s to support deserving programmes of research or study through the endowment of Fellowships.

I am particularly pleased that my predecessor, Peter Miller, to whom our Society owes a huge debt of gratitude over his four years as Chairman, has agreed to serve as Chairman of the Foundation’s Board of Trustees. The enthusiasm, energy and leadership which characterised his period of office in what were particularly taxing and tempestuous years will, I am sure, be of inestimable value in ensuring the success of the Foundation.

The commemoration and celebration of our Tercentenary provides an appropriate focus for our attention this year. I believe that 1988 will be seen to represent a very important benchmark in the development of our Society. Little could the patrons of Lloyd’s coffee house - least of all Edward Lloyd himself have imagined that three centuries later, the ‘coffee house’ would have long been recognised as the hub of the pre-eminent world market for insurance. Lloyd and his patrons were entrepreneurs and innovators. It has been the Society’s good fortune, through the centuries, to have been able to draw on the vision and skills of so many individuals with entrepreneurial flair and innovative spirit, to ensure its continued healthy evolution.

Regulation too has played an important part in the evolution of our Society. During the year impressive progress has been made with the implementation of the recommendations made by the Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s under the chairmanship of Sir Patrick Neill, QC. A detailed account of that progress, and the Council’s approach to regulatory matters in the future, is incorporated elsewhere within this report. Challenges and difficulties of varying degrees have been a feature of the Society’s long history. Our ability to innovate and to exploit opportunities, however, has also ensured Lloyd’s longevity. The announcement in June last year of the provision of electronic networking services to the London insurance market, including Lloyd’s, reflects that quintessential quality.

The introduction of the electronic network in partnership with Lloyd’s Insurance Brokers Committee, the Institute of London Underwriters and the Policy Signing and Accounting Centre, is a visible manifestation of our commitment to ensure the future prosperity of the Society.

The network will serve to increase our competitiveness, improve the flow of premiums and claims monies and help to contain our costs. here can be no doubt that the facility has the potential to alter fundamentally our trading methods.

The impact of the technological revolution was among many market-related issues debated by the Council at a two-day meeting at Brocket Hall in November. Appropriately, the meeting took place against the background of publication of the consultative document on the regulation of Lloyd’s brokers, the much valued selling and servicing arm of the market.

The Council will be concerned to assist the market to identify new business opportunities throughout the world, and the completion of the European internal market by 1992 is clearly foremost in our minds. A free Community market for insurance will act as a potent impetus for our market place. In addition, there may well be a need for change in the traditional methods used for the transaction of some classes of business: the Council will consider these carefully on their merits.

It is equally important that we have regard to the capital base of our Society. The Council believes that deposits and means requirements should be strengthened and, later this year, it will give careful consideration to recommendations arising from a review of this topic and related issues.

Another important development to flow from the Council’s deliberations in November was a recognition of the need to devolve a greater degree of autonomy to the Committee of Lloyd’s, other committees and to senior Corporation managers for the making of decisions than hitherto. This will enable the Council to devote more of its time to the formulation of policy.

The Council appreciates the importance of its role in anticipating future commercial developments and the need to ensure an appropriate level of support services combined with a regulatory fabric which is effective and which enhances - rather than detracts from - the competitiveness of the Lloyd’s market. I believe that these, and other policy developments, will ensure that Lloyd’s provides the highest level of service and security to its customers in an increasingly competitive environment.

In conclusion, as we contemplate the commencement of our fourth century of successful trading and service to society throughout the world, I believe that we can do so with renewed confidence.

It is a confidence based not upon complacency. It is a confidence in the efficacy of a soundly based regulatory framework; a confidence in the collective strength of a vigorous and vital market place; and a confidence that Lloyd’s will continue to lead in meeting the challenge that is the future.

REPORT BY THE COUNCIL ON THE PROGRESS OF REGULATION

PURPOSE OF THE REPORT

The Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s under the chairmanship of Sir Patrick Neill, QC recommended that there should be an annual report to Names which would cover "the progress of regulation at Lloyd’s, in particular so far as it affects the interests of Names." The Council agrees. The Neill Committee stated that the report should be from the nominated members of the Council alone, but the eight nominated members of the Council took the view that it would be preferable, and more in keeping with the spirit and thrust of the Neill Inquiry’s recommendation, if the report was initiated by themselves but had the support of the whole Council. The Council accepts this view and this is, therefore, a report from the Council as a whole. It is hoped that this report by the Council will represent a new and valuable addition to the annual report and accounts of the Corporation.

THE CONTEXT OF THE REPORT OF THE NEILL COMMITTEE OF INQUIRY

Much of the Council’s regulatory activity in 1987 was in hand before the Committee’s report was written, and the prospect of it was welcomed by the Neill Committee - the completion of the process of agent registration; the setting up of the general review department, now working well; the placing on file at Lloyd’s accessible to members of a register of agents’ charges; the publication of a further edition of Membership: The Issues on the implications of membership for present and potential members; and the work under way on broker regulation leading to the publication at the end of the year of a consultative document.

Nevertheless changes in regulation during 1987 were heavily influenced by the report of the Neill Inquiry. The Financial Services Act 1986 had provided a new regulatory framework for the financial services industry and the Secretary of State for Trade and Industry had invited Sir Patrick and his two colleagues to assess how far Lloyd’s provided its members with protection comparable to that proposed for investors under the new legislation and what more should be done to this end. The Committee reported in January 1987. It recognised that Lloyd’s had made commendable progress in the reform of its regulatory machinery under the 1982 Lloyd’s Act and thereby enhanced its standards of regulation. The Committee made some seventy recommendations which would carry forward the process of reform in the light of the new legislation.

The Council of Lloyd’s welcomed the report and immediately set in train an examination of all the recommendations with the intention of securing in the most effective manner and with all possible speed improvements in practices and procedures in the areas identified by the inquiry.

NEILL RECOMMENDATIONS ACCEPTED IN 1987

Of the 70 Neill recommendations, 38 had been accepted by the end of 1987 and work on the remainder was in hand. The major constitutional change, that 12 instead of 16 members of the Council should be elected from the market and eight in place of four should be nominated members who otherwise have no connection with the Society, with eight still elected from the external membership, was accepted immediately on publication of the Neill Inquiry report and was implemented quickly. Committees of the Council are now chaired by nominated or external members in all cases where the Neill Inquiry recommended this. The new arrangements are working well but it is right to note the increased burden which necessarily now falls on the smaller number who are elected from the market and whose role in any self-regulatory system is vital.

Among the other changes made in 1987, a revised Syndicate Accounting Byelaw further developed the information available to members about their underwriting business. A Byelaw amendment required disclosure of commissions paid to those introducing members to Lloyd’s. A cheaper and quicker arbitration procedure for monetary complaints by members against agents was set in place. An Ombudsman system was established to consider any possible cases where members believe that they have been treated unjustly as a result of maladministration by the Council or the Corporation; the Council wishes to record its pleasure that Sir Kenneth Clucas has accepted appointment as the first Lloyd’s Members’ Ombudsman. Some minor changes to Lloyd’s disciplinary procedures were made.

ACTION ON OTHER NEILL RECOMMENDATIONS

Meanwhile, work proceeded on the remaining Neill recommendations which the Council agreed with the Government in April 1987 that they would aim to deal with within two years. The Council approved a consultative document proposing changes relating to the information which should be made available to prospective members. The main features were the continued improvement of Membership: The Issues; a requirement that, as a minimum, new members should see specified information about the agent to whom they intended to entrust their underwriting; use of new "know your client" guidelines; and the maintenance of an information file on agents at Lloyd’s, to which all new and existing members would have access, which would provide information about the performance and policies of all agents on a consistent basis. The aim of the proposals is to ensure that members are in a position to make well-informed choices between different members’ agents.

A second main area addressed by the Neill Committee related to the standard agency agreement. By the end of the year the work on this was well advanced. The Council intends to consult the market, the membership and others on the agreement in mid-1988 with a view to a decision being taken by the end of the year and new agency agreements coming into force in 1990. The Council hopes also to reach a decision at an early date on the recommended Lloyd’s members’ compensation scheme so that this too can begin in 1990: agents’ compulsory errors and omissions insurance, not compulsory under the Securities and Investments Board and Self Regulating Organisations rules, would continue in the meantime and probably thereafter.

Important recommendations concerned with agent registration were considered by Council in the Autumn. These included measures actively to encourage agents to appoint non-executive directors; the provision by agents to members of details of the arrangements for handling their complaints; and the introduction of a procedure for consulting members when agents come up for periodic review. Those most concerned were consulted then and the Council intends to act on these matters in mid 1988. Work went forward on the formulation of a Byelaw to ensure control by the Council of parallel syndicates; this is expected to be the subject of consultation in mid 1988 with decisions reached thereafter.

A further recommendation is designed to ensure that in future those appointed as active underwriters are more fully trained for their task. The Council decided in principle in December, and subsequently confirmed, that there should be a requirement from 1992 for new active underwriters and others to pass examinations to ensure sufficient working knowledge of the law of agency, the principles of insurance as conducted by Lloyd’s and the Lloyd’s regulatory framework. Transitional arrangements will need to be made and new textbooks and courses devised. The Council sees this as an important step in fostering greater understanding between regulator and regulated.

Although not so closely related to the interests of Names, a major piece of regulatory work in the period under review related to the preparation of Byelaws, rules and a code of conduct designed to improve the regulation of Lloyd’s brokers. This matter was the subject of consultation in November, 1987 and the work is expected to be completed by the middle of 1988. Work on the re-registration of Lloyd’s brokers, in the light of the new rules, will then begin.

FUTURE REGULATORY ACTIVITY

The changes being made in the light of the Neill report will complete a series of fundamental changes in the Lloyd’s regulatory system over a period of some 10 years. Thereafter, a continuing responsibility rests on the Council to keep under close review the whole range of Lloyd’s regulatory activities. It needs to balance properly the interests of policy holders, external members and those active in the market, without imposing unnecessary costs on the membership or inhibiting the market’s capacity to innovate. Accordingly, the Council has commissioned a study of the costs incurred by agents in complying with Lloyd’s rules, with the aim of simplifying them where it is possible to do so without reducing their effectiveness. The Council is also examining the possibility that Names should be given the opportunity to decide with their agents whether some of the information supplied to them should be in abbreviated form. In addition to completing the Neill reforms, the Council’s priorities over the next year include a revision of means and deposit requirements with the aim of maintaining the highest standards of security for policy holders. The Council will also be concerned to ensure that the regulatory framework promotes competition within the market place; provides the right safeguards for members; and works to enhance Lloyd’s ability to compete in an international insurance market, by reinforcing the market’s reputation for security, honesty and competence.

CHIEF EXECUTIVE’S REPORT ON CORPORATION ACTIVITIES 1987

For the Corporation of Lloyd’s 1987 was a year of intense effort rewarded by considerable achievement.

The ‘PCW affair’ was brought to a satisfactory conclusion with both offers to affected Names being accepted by over 99 per cent of those involved. We would have been very happy to know at the beginning of 1987 that the year would end in that way.

Much of 1986 was occupied in preparing evidence for the Committee of Inquiry into Regulatory Arrangements at Lloyd’s, which was established in that year under the chairmanship of Sir Patrick Neill, QC. As the Council’s report on the progress of regulation makes clear, a great deal of work, by the Council and Corporation in 1987, related to the consideration and implementation of the Inquiry’s 70 recommendations. This work advanced well during the year and is expected to be substantially completed by the end of 1988.

The taxation authorities in the United Kingdom and the USA provided a significant distraction during the year. In the United Kingdom, protracted negotiations led to a revision of the Government’s proposals for the tax treatment of reinsurance to close. The revised arrangements will have effect for the results of the underwriting year 1985; they have been tested on the 1984 results and have proved to be broadly satisfactory. Any subsequent refinements which prove to be necessary will be discussed with the Inland Revenue.

In the USA, the pre-emptory and ill-judged legislation which was introduced in the early Autumn was subsequently abandoned but we are left with a negotiation with the US Treasury and a review of the Closing Agreement which governs taxation arrangements between Lloyd’s and the US Internal Revenue Service. It is too early to say what the result of those discussions will be.

Above all, 1987 was a year in which it became possible for the Council to conclude, at its private conference at Brocket Hall, that it need no longer be as preoccupied as it inevitably was in the past with the development of regulation at Lloyd’s but that it could properly turn a greater degree of its attention to developing the business environment in which the Lloyd’s market operates. There were evident signs of this during the year in the development of information technology services offered to the market. Further progress with Europe and an enhancement of service standards are likely to be two further examples of this process in 1988.

The main topics of the year are dealt with in greater detail elsewhere in this report by my senior colleagues.

Very few of the achievements of 1987 would have been possible without the whole-hearted commitment and dedication of all the employees of the Corporation. Their increasing proficiency and professionalism is reflected, not only in the greater extent to which the Council now delegates to them administrative and procedural decisions previously taken by the Council or its members, but also in the increasingly fruitful relationship between the Corporation and members of the market.

Solicitor to the Corporation

The work of the solicitor’s department during 1987 was dominated by the settlement of the ‘PCW affair’ and for which the detailed negotiation and documentation was both extensive and extremely complicated. The work on this subject was intense up to the time of the main settlement in mid-1987. Thereafter, throughout the remainder of the year there were many supplemental legal issues which required careful attention.

The implementation of the Neill Committee’s recommendations has involved the solicitor’s department in participation in many of the working groups and in the preparation of consultative documents and the drafting of many new or amending byelaws. The legal input has been greatest in relation to broker regulation and the revision of the standard agency agreements. Other work relating to the development and improvement of the Lloyd’s regulatory regime has also increased the legal and advisory work of the department.

There has been a major growth in litigation both in connection with the PCW settlement and otherwise. A greater part was also played by the department in the resolution of various legal problems which confronted the Corporation overseas.

An increase in work of a number of other Corporation departments, particularly in the membership area, has led inevitably to a considerable increase in the day to day advisory work which the department has been called upon to perform. Similarly, advisory work has also been necessary for Corporation services departments.

The department has played a major role in the conduct of various investigations during the year and undertook the preparation and presentation of the disciplinary cases that were heard during the year. In 1987 five disciplinary cases involving 11 defendants were concluded. Penalties imposed included nine periods of suspension ranging from three months to ~8 months, fines totalling £67,500 (reduced to £40,000 after appeal) and censure on nine of the defendants. Lloyd’s Appeal Tribunal heard appeals from four out of the five disciplinary cases, set aside censure imposed on six defendants and quashed some, but not all, of the verdicts against one defendant and, accordingly, reduced his fine.

Property

In the first full year of occupancy, effective management of the new building was a major preoccupation, particularly given the continued demand for additional underwriting space. Underwriting has already expanded into the building’s upper galleries and a substantial portion of the fourth gallery is now occupied for this purpose. Meanwhile, it is encouraging to note that the letting of galleries six to 10 to commercial tenants has been most successful with almost 100 tenants occupying most of the available space. The remaining space on these galleries has been reserved for occupation by tenants during the early part of 1988.

The completion of the main contract for the 1986 building progressed through the year and has been substantially completed with only minor items outstanding. Closed circuit TV was introduced at the end of 1987 to improve the security of the building and a permanent lighting system was installed to illuminate the exterior of the building. During the year the building won two major awards: the Financial Times Architecture at Work Award and the Civic Trust Award.

In the latter half of 1987, a survey was carried out to obtain the views of underwriters and brokers following the first year of trading in the new building. The survey established that the majority of users considered that the building could satisfy the needs of the market but that some modification and enhancements were required to achieve this. Design proposals have been commissioned.

Meanwhile, the refurbishment of the 1958 building continued during the year. The project is being carried out in phases. The last phase, which involves the major part of the construction work, will continue throughout 1988. The refurbished space will be used to accommodate

Corporation departments who are now based in London House. It will also provide additional catering facilities, expansion space for computer equipment and office space for tenants on the fourth and fifth floors.

Personnel and Training

During the year, development of a closer relationship between three departments - personnel, training and career and manpower development - took place based on the introduction of a central personnel computer system. Initially the system is being used to process personnel records and salary review data; eventually it will be extended to pensions, payroll and training. A separate system has been introduced to monitor management development and succession planning throughout the Corporation. These new systems will assist greatly in the monitoring of personnel numbers and in the proper development of the potential of individual employees.

The recruitment of eight graduates as general administrative trainees within the Corporation was an innovation in the year. The graduates embarked upon a specially designed induction programme in September. For their first year they will undertake a series of special projects throughout the Corporation and participate in a variety of training development activities.

During the year the training department was concerned with preparations for the introduction of a mandatory qualification for underwriters and executive directors of members’ and managing agencies. This followed approval of the scheme in principle by the Council. The qualification, to be known as the Lloyd’s Market Certificate, will be accredited by the Chartered Insurance Institute and will be offered for the first time in April 1990.

Public Affairs

Development of a comprehensive communications programme, designed to increase understanding about Lloyd’s and improve general awareness of its activities, continued during the year. Monthly press conferences have enabled press and media representatives to be briefed regularly on the work of the Council. The range of publications produced by the public affairs department has been updated and expanded. Completion of ‘One Lime Street,’ a new documentary film on Lloyd’s, together with a quartet of shorter versions designed to appeal to specific audiences, complement this programme.

Another facet of the programme is represented by the Lloyd’s Exhibition and public viewing gallery, which has established itself as of major interest for visitors to Lloyd’s in particular and to the City in general. In its first 12 months of operation the gallery attracted close to 300,000 visitors from many different countries. Visitors included educational groups, clients of the Lloyds market, existing and potential members and members of the public.

Meanwhile, the re-establishment of Lloyd’s unique collection of memorabilia associated with Lord Nelson was completed in October. Located on the lower ground floor of the new building, the Nelson Collection was formally opened on 21 October 1987 - Trafalgar Day - by Admiral Sir Richard Fitch, KCB, the Second Sea Lord. This properly reflected the continuing links between Lloyd’s and the Royal Navy.

REGULATORY SERVICESGROUP

Membership

The number of members of the Society at the beginning of 1988 was 33,532: this represented an increase of 6.5 per cent compared with a year earlier.

The decision of the Council to move to gross premium underwriting limits in 1988 and to require all members’ means and deposits then to be in line with current requirements, caused many Names to reappraise their underwriting levels for 1988. As a consequence, the number of Names applying for increased limits (8,569 or 27 percent of membership) was the second highest ever. This increase, together with the additional capacity provided by new members, generated an overall increase in market capacity for 1988 of 7.08 percent.

In order to comply with the current requirements some 11,209 and 6,031 members respectively were required to re-prove means and/or provide additional deposits by the end of the year. Underwriting agents and Corporation personnel are to be congratulated on the high level of co-operation and commitment demonstrated in carrying out this formidable task. At the conclusion of the exercise only 76 Names failed to meet the current requirements and therefore had to reduce their level of underwriting in 1988.

Considerable progress was made during 1987 in the development of the new funds management system, this is expected to be fully operational in July 1988. A number of members agents have been linked to the existing systems by way of the Lloyd’s network. This has proved of interest to agents in general who, as a result of a number of seminars arranged by the Corporation, have requested their own direct link.

Work continued on the membership information project, which is expected to be in full operation early in 1989. The completion of these two major systems will complete the first two phases of the Regulatory Services Group data processing systems programme.

Early in 1987, the Council authorised discussions to proceed with the Securities and Exchange Commission in the USA with the aim of establishing the criteria for the admission of US members. These discussions have not vet been finalised: it has been decided, however, that Lloyd’s best interests would be served by applying the accredited investor status test for all US candidates. Consequently, agents have been advised that with immediate effect all US candidates must satisfy this test.

As recommended by Sir Patrick Neill’s Committee of Inquiry, a new Names Interests Committee was established in March 1987, chaired by Sir Kenneth Berrill KCB. During the year, the Committee formulated the byelaws enacted by the Council in December setting up the office of the Lloyd’s Members’ Ombudsman and putting in place a modified arbitration procedure in relation to certain disputes between members and agents. The Committee also took over responsibility, in June, from the former Names’ Advisory Committee for giving advice or assistance to individual members; over the year some 15 such requests were considered.

Regulatory Matters

Much of the regulatory work do ring 1987 has concentrated on the review and implementation of the recommendations of the Neill Committee and is covered in some detail in the Council’s report. In addition there was significant progress in a number of other areas where the implementation and application of earlier reforms continued.

The registration of underwriting agents under Byelaw 4 of 1984 was completed on time in July and with it the divestment of all remaining ownership links between managing agents and Lloyd’s brokers. At the completion of the re-registration programme a total of 234 underwriting agents had been registered comprising 59 managing agents, 80 members’ agents and 95 combined agents.

The general review department was fully established and began work on the review functions envisaged by the Review Powers Byelaw (No. 5 of 1986). Progress was made in developing the resources which, in due course, will enable the department to carry out regular on-site reviews of underwriting agents and brokers on average once every three years. The department will also be available to carry out other studies and, building on experience, is expected to become a valuable source of advice to both the market and the Corporation.

There was a reduction in the number of cases where formal action was taken under the Syndicate Premium Income byelaw (No. 6 of 1984). Although this was partly due to market conditions, the effective functioning of controls at syndicate level was an important factor. Only three directions were issued to underwriting agents by the Committee of Lloyd’s to restrict the level of insurance business underwritten, and the same number of voluntary undertakings were accepted from certain other agents. The Syndicate Premium Income (Amendment) Byelaw issued in May gave effect to the Neill Committee’s recommendation that where a direction to restrict underwriting had been made a full explanation of the circumstances giving rise to the direction should be provided to the underwriting members and members’ agents concerned.

In the case of the individual member, the Council decided that the calculation of premium income in checking compliance with premium income limits should be consistent with that used for syndicate monitoring purposes. The Membership (Amendment No. 3) Byelaw made at the end of the year provides for the Council to control members’ premium income on a year of account rather than on a calendar year basis.

Work began in 1986 on the production of a register of agents’ charges which was completed in July 1987. The register, which makes publicly available information on underwriting agents charges to their Names, has been sent to all underwriting agents and is also available for inspection at Lloyd’s. Extracts from the register can be obtained from Lloyd’s on application.

The Membership (Amendment No. 2) Byelaw (No. 4 of 1987) introduced in March requires the disclosure of any commission, remuneration or benefit given or received in connection with a candidate’s membership of Lloyd’s. The Rota interviews during 1987 required the prospective members to state whether any such payment has been given. The year also saw the implementation of the Neill Committee’s recommendation that the agent should leave the Rota interview for a period to enable the candidate to be questioned alone.

A new syndicate Accounting Byelaw (No. 11 of 1987) was issued in November. This Byelaw came into force in 1988 and implements a number of the recommendations of the Neill Committee as well as other changes considered necessary following a review of the existing rules. The changes will enable members to assess better the stewardship of their underwriting. They include additional disclosure requirements relating to the business underwritten (both actual and anticipated), the investment return, reinsurance ceded, the reinsurance to close and the anticipated outturn on the open underwriting accounts.

Looking ahead, there is clearly much to be done to absorb the administration of the many new Bylaws made in 1987 into the procedures of Council, Committee and Corporation. There will be a similar burden on underwriting agents and the cost implications of the enhanced regulatory structure will receive close attention during the coming year. The reform and the reappraisal of the regulatory framework will continue into 1988; this will include a review of the membership requirements for 1990 and beyond to take account of the effects of inflation and the need to maintain high standards of security. The impact of the changes in broker regulation must also be assessed not least to ensure that the Lloyd’s market remains attractive to insured and the insurer alike.

SYSTEMS & COMMUNICATIONS GROUP

In 1987 the Systems and Communications Group activity centred on the principal task of improving money flows, improving claims services and reducing administrative overheads through the introduction of new technology into Corporation departments and the market.

The objectives were to improve and enhance the range of services and to improve user communications. Several new services have been introduced and performance is regularly reviewed with the market.

The most significant event of the year in the Systems & Communications Group was the announcement and introduction of the first phase of the London Insurance Market Network. The purpose of the network is to dramatically improve the flows of business information between Lloyd’s and the broker community, the Institute of London Underwriters and the Policy Signing and Accounting Centre.

The network will be provided by IBM. Four services are being introduced:

Electronic Data Interchange

This service went live in November and will allow transfer of bulk data from the bureaux directly to the underwriters’ and brokers’ computer system. Several concerns are already using this service in the UK and to the USA.

Electronic Mail

This system allows the transmission of electronic messages between’ participants on an international basis and will facilitate the documentation associated with claims and placings. The system is already in use in the UK and to the USA.

Interactive Enquiry Service

As 1988 progresses it will be possible for members’ agents to communicate directly with the membership department for purposes of solvency and funds management.

Financial Services

It is planned to introduce electronic access to several commercial information databases including shipping information available through Lloyd’s of London Press.

The effect of this major development is to improve business opportunities for the community and to improve Lloyd’s service throughout the world. Although an optional service, the market has welcomed networking and over 1,000 representatives have attended seminars on the use and implications of the new system.

Such has been the impact of technology in the market that demands for new voice and data communications rose by 70 per cent during the year.

Several new systems and enhancements to existing systems were introduced in 1987. After a slow start the slip registration system is now achieving its goals. Flexible settlement was introduced and developments are going in on time in the funds management/membership area. Scheme Canada and a replacement to the ageing direct data entry system, which is at the heart of all Lloyd’s central data processing, are well in hand. New general ledger and personnel management software was successfully put into effect in the Corporation.

The consultancy team which was introduced this year has proved immensely successful. The main purpose is to help market firms, who are new to technology. Over 40 assignments have been completed.

Finance and Market Services

A pilot scheme for the production of Swiss policies was launched in July. Lloyd’s Mandataire Generale in Zurich now prepares policies from details contained in cover notes and from brokers’ slips supplied to the Lloyd’s Policy Signing Office. The objective is to provide policy documentation to assureds within 30 days of inception. Initial results are encouraging and could provide the basis for future initiatives in other countries.

A slip registration scheme was introduced during the year which will allow Lloyd’s Policy Signing Office to issue listings of settlements due or overdue. Initial teething problems are now largely overcome and consideration is being given to further applications.

A flexible settlement system was implemented on 1 September enabling the period between signing a policy at LPSO and settlement to be varied; the scheme has been adopted by the non-marine market.

The advice scheme for outstanding marine claims continued to progress towards becoming the primary source of advice to marine syndicates of outstanding marine claims. The overall total of outstanding claims recorded on the system grew during the year from 16,500 to 31,000 and the number of advice cards provided to syndicates per day increased from 2,300 to 3,400. At the year end 700,000 lines of outstanding claims entries were listed to enable syndicates to determine year end reserves.

During 1987, underwriters became able to transact Italian direct business under the licence granted in 1986 and a General Representative’s office was established in Rome. Negotiations have started with the German insurance supervisory authorities with a view to ascertaining the terms and conditions of a licence for underwriters who wish to become authorised insurers in West Germany.

During the early part of the year the tax department, together with members of the market, were involved in discussions with the Inland Revenue on the proposed reinsurance to close legislation. The final outcome was legislation which better reflects the way in which Lloyd’s underwriters do business. The fiscal focus switched to Washington at the end of 1987, when a proposal that the Closing Agreement be abrogated and syndicates be taxed as companies was passed by the House of Representatives with almost no prior warning. Following a major lobbying and information campaign, in which Lloyd’s received much valuable help from US Names, this legislation, which sought to force underwriters into a mould which they did not fit, was kept off the statute book. The US Treasury, however, was instructed to report to Congress on the question of whether Lloyd’s underwriters were, as a result of the Closing Agreement, at a fiscal advantage to domestic insurers. If so, they are required to renegotiate the agreement by the end of 1989. Discussions on this matter with the US Treasury are in hand.

Substantial progress has been made on the development and introduction of a new financial reporting system for the Corporation. This system will provide a better understanding of the real cost of activities and services and enable more effective financial control to be exercised.

FINANCIAL COMMENTARY

Corporation of Lloyd’s

The consolidated surplus for the year after taxation was £19.8 million, up £7. 2 million on that for 1986.

Operating income rose by £18. 5 million or 15 per cent to £140. 7 million. Subscription income, up £11. 9 million at £72. 2 million, reflected a 20 per cent increase in Lloyd’s market capacity. Entrance fees declined by £0.8 million due to a reduction in the number of new members elected to commence underwriting from 1 January 1988 as compared to the previous year. Room rents rose by £2. 3 million, benefiting from a full year in the new underwriting Room and higher Room rents.

Operating expenditure increased by £15. 4 million or 16 per cent to £113. 5 million. Employee costs rose by £3. 7 million or 10 per cent reflecting adjustments to pay levels and an increase of 4 per cent in numbers, principally in the regulatory area. Premises costs were up £5.7 million, attributable mainly to a full year’s depreciation charge on the new building. Net interest costs fell by £1. 9 million.

A change in accounting policy has meant that the revenue results of Additional Securities Limited are no longer included in the subsidiaries’ figure shown in the consolidated revenue account; appropriate adjustments have been made to prior year figures. The purpose of this company is to provide deposits overseas on behalf of Lloyd’s underwriters in order to comply with local insurance regulations. Its operating costs are funded by those underwriters who benefit from the service. The policy change recognises that any significant deficits would ultimately be recovered from underwriters and any significant surplus would be applied for their benefit.

Capital expenditure in 1987 remained high at £19. 6 million, reflecting costs associated with both the new building and the refurbishment of the 1958 building. The 1986 building project is now almost complete and its final cost, apart from any expenditure agreed as a result of the design study commissioned early in 1988, is expected to be below the previously reported estimate of £191 million.

Borrowings, including finance leases, stood at £100. 8 million at the end of 1987, £22. 9 million down. This was the first downward movement in borrowings since 1979.

After allowing for lower cash balances, there was a net cash inflow during 1987 of £17.0 million. Accumulated reserves rose by £19.5 million to £146.1 million.

The PCW settlement in 1987 brought to an end the involvement of assenting members. The cost to Lloyd’s of £50. 5 million was met by the Central Fund. It was made up of Lloyd’s contribution of £44.0 million and the administrative costs of the settlement including advances of £3.3 million to AUA3 Ltd. carried forward in the 1986 accounts. If the Lloyd’s contribution, together with the underwriting assets of assentors and contributions from assentors and other parties, should prove inadequate to meet the PCW run-off liabilities assumed by Lioncover Insurance Company, the shortfall will be met from Lloyd’s Central Fund.

Lloyd’s of London Press

The adverse trading conditions in the international shipping industry in 1986 seriously affected the company’s financial performance and contributed to the loss of £0. 2 million. The profit in 1987 of £0. 3 million reflects rigorous cost control, the reduction of problems in associated and subsidiary companies, and significant improvements in the profitability of the core publishing and information businesses.

Profitability has continued to improve in the first quarter of 1988.

Toplis and Harding Inc.

The difficult trading conditions experienced in 1986 continued into 1987 with fee income down from $16.4 million to $16.2 million. Significant costs were incurred on reorganisation and the introduction of improved control systems and procedures. These factors have led to a pre-tax loss for the year of $3.2 million (1986 -$2.4 million). The 1988 outlook remains unsatisfactory.

1987 EVENTS

In 1986 the Chairman’s travel programme (Peter Miller) was directed mainly towards Lloyd’s overseas members; in 1987 (Murray Lawrence) the accent was more on the producers of business to the Lloyd’s market.

10 May 88

Daily Telegraph: Digging deeper for Outhwaite

A report on the troubled Outhwaite underwriting syndicates at Lloyd’s has been delayed by at least a week because the conclusions are so finely balanced that Freshfields is reworking its findings. It will say the Outhwaite underwriters were certainly not criminal but it will be highly critical of their judgment.

But the report does not suggest the policies were so foolhardy nor the underwriting so negligent that members should sue. This Friday the 13th, Outhwaite’s latest figures will accompany a demand that names put up a further £30m of cash (it was £10m last year) and Linklaters findings will give little comfort to members considering refusing it.

The outcome at Outhwaite is the key to a collection of battles because it reinsured other syndicates which had been underwriting asbestosis and pollution risks. It refused to pay the claims, saying not all the relevant facts had been disclosed.

Claims are now expected to reach £300m. One case is going to the High Court, several others are in arbitration and large numbers of syndicates are unable to close their accounts as a result. The effects are reverberating around Lloyd’s.

Altogether, over 90 syndicates have at least one year left open, in addition to the normal last three. Many are unconnected with Outhwaite, and their members are in limbo - all they know is they are will be asked to put up more money to cover losses.

"Long-tail" business is part and parcel of Lloyd’s, but these policies cover risks that nobody saw at the time, and still cannot be quantified today. As a result, Lloyd’s members who want to leave are prevented from sealing off their risk. They are locked in to the losses and must go on paying. It was to protect them the report on Outhwaite was commissioned, but that has not produced an answer either.

11 May 88

The Binding Authorities (Amendment) Byelaw (No. 1 of 1988, 11 May 1988)

The byelaw and the Approval of Correspondents (Amendment No 2) Regulation, were made to ensure that certain reinsurance business which did not fall precisely into the existing definition of a ‘binding authority’ was brought within the scope of the byelaw and regulation.

The Binding Authority (Amendment) Regulation was made in order to exclude Lloyd’s brokers’ marine line slips from the need to comply with the provisions of the existing regulation which has proved, in practice, to be inappropriate for this class of business.

11 May 88

The Council Members (Indemnification) Byelaw (No. 2 of 1988)

The new byelaw regulates the manner in which the Society may exercise the power conferred by the Lloyd’s Act 1982 to indemnify members of the Council.

This byelaw makes provision for the Society to grant indemnities to members of the Council in respect of claims made against them or costs incurred by them in their capacity as Council members.

The Society will not indemnify a Council member if that member has been found guilty of fraud or dishonesty.

The Byelaw makes provision for the Society to grant indemnities to Members of the Council in respect of claims made against them in their capacity as Council Members.

Under the provision, Peter Miller would be indemnified against any successful claim in the present round of anti-trust suits in the US, as he is involved in his capacity as former Chairman of Lloyd’s, while fellow Councillor Dick Hazel will not be indemnified as his involvement is in his capacity as a leading Non-Marine Underwriter.

The new Byelaw also eases any personal problems that Councillors could have if litigation such as that brought by Oakley Vaughan Members singles out particular Members of the Council.

11 May 88

The Membership (Amendment No. 4) Byelaw (No 3 of 1988, 11 May 1988)

The amendment requires any Member who is convicted of certain criminal offences to inform the Council. Members convicted of such offences will have their membership revoked unless the Council is satisfied that it should not be revoked.

The rule applies in convictions anywhere in the world, but if ‘the nature and circumstances’ of the conviction can be explained satisfactorily to the Council, then membership may continue.

The listed offences include any offence which brings a custodial sentence of 12 months or more, theft, burglary, blackmail, handling stolen property, forgery, fraud and various degrees of aiding and abetting the listed offences.

12 May 88

Lloyd’s: Circular letter to membership from Murray Lawrence - Deficit Clauses

You will have seen in the April Newsletter a summary of the main proposals contained in the consultative document on Underwriting Agency Agreements. Also reproduced was a letter from me inviting a response from members to the proposals.

While I am very aware that members already receive more paper from Lloyd's than most wish to read and assimilate I cannot over emphasise the importance to members of the changes proposed by the working Group. For this reason we are sending to all members a copy of the complete consultative document. Although the document is a long one it is easy to read and deals with matters which will vitally affect your future relationship with your agent.

The Council has so far taken no decisions on the proposals in the document. In its intent to implement all the recommendation of the Neill Report that relate to the Underwriting Agency Agreement, the Council needs to be sure that the proposals are practicable and meet the wishes of members generally. Feedback from the membership is essential if we are to reach the correct decisions.

In particular, in considering the working party's proposals for the detailed implementation of Neill's broad recommendation on deficit clauses, the. Council would like to hear from as many members as possible on the following points:

Would members prefer:

  • for members' agents to have to offer the ‘horizontalclause - whereby profit commission would be charged on net profits in any year, with losses on any syndicates deducted from profits on others - but be free to offer alternatives, leaving it to the member to choose which alternative he preferred. (As the working party points out, where members' agents offer deficit clause on profit commission it may be that they will feel it necessary to offset the effects of this by some increase in fixed charges.) Or
  • for members’ agents to have to offer the horizontal deficit clause and the be bound to accept it, with no alternatives?

What are members' views on a standardvertical’ deficit clause for managing agents, whereby losses on a syndicate in recent years would be subtracted from profits before profit commission was paid?

  • The working party has proposed that a standard clause should be printed in all agreements but that it should be the managing agent’s option whether or not to offer this type of clause, since there is great uncertainty as to its commercial effects. The working party proposes that the Council would review experience after a number of years to see whether there was a case for requiring agents to offer this type of clause.
  • Would members prefer to see managing agents obliged to offer a vertical deficit clause now?

Deficit clauses have been discussed in general terms within the Lloyd's community many times in recent years, but the working party’s proposals for the first time work them out in detail. They also place them in a new context: clearly defined duties for members’ and managing agents respectively; separate contracts between members and each agent; and separate remuneration for each.

I am certain that the consultation process will result in us identifying the correct way forward. To this end I hope we shall b~ hearing from you with your views.

Should you have any queries please contact Mr. NP Demery, Lloyd's extension 6949. Representations should also be addressed to him as The Secretary, underwriting Agency Agreements working Group, solicitors Department, Lloyd’s, Lime Street, London EC3M 7HA to reach him no later than Friday 29th July 1988.

17 May 88

Lloyd’s List: Outhwaite lashed over the Freshfields procedures

20 May 88

Letter from Merrett Underwriting Agency Management to Members’ Agents and Names re: up-date on closing the open year.

24 May 88

Sturge Internal Memo from P Rawlins to K Leonard and A Jones.

I asked to see Ken Randall today to get detailed background on their decision to leave the 1985 account open.... The sole reason the account is being left open is that they are seeking to re-negotiate 11 run-off contracts written into this syndicate ... They expect the discussions to be completed within the next 6 months or so and, whatever their outcome, they are thereafter planning to close 1985...

30 May 88

Business Insurance: Wellington defections kill Asbestos Claims Facility

.. when the Asbestos Claims Facility was formed, the formula for determining each producer’s share of liability was based on the litigation and settlement history of claims filed by shipyard and insulation workers, which at that time was the most common type of asbestos injury claim. Beginning in early 1987, however, claims filed by tyre, steel and sheet metal workers became the most common type of claim filed...

8 Jun 88

Underwriting Agents (Amendment) Byelaw (No. 4 of 1988, 8 June 1988).

Through the byelaw the Council accepted recommendations 42, 47, 49 and 50 of the Neill Report. Recommendation 43 was also accepted by the introduction of a new form of undertaking to be provided by shareholders in agency companies.

Recommendation 42, that agents should be encouraged to appoint outside non-executive directors, has been achieved by amending the ‘Two-thirds’ rule requirement in that the Council can now allow exemptions if necessary. Under the ‘two-thirds’ rule, at least two-thirds of the board must be working Members.

Recommendation 47, that agencies identify personnel responsible for particular functions and give details of the arrangements for handling Names’ complaints, has been implemented with a new paragraph introducing the requirements for the compliance officer and the two new explanatory notes which cover the responsibilities of key staff. The procedure for handling complaints is covered by a new paragraph making it a responsibility of the Underwriting Agents Registration Committee (UARC) to consider the adequacy of systems.

Recommendations 49 and 50, that there be a ‘continuous rolling programme for the re-registration of underwriting agents’, that re-registration should be every five years, and that Names be given the opportunity to comment when their, agents were being reviewed, have been implemented in a different form from that laid down by Neill. Agents will not have to re-register, but there will be annual monitoring by the Corporation and quinquennial reviews by the UARC.

10 Jun 88

Tercentenary Celebrations

On 10 June Her Royal Highness The Princess Royal attended a reception at Lloyd's to present the first Lloyd's Tercentenary Foundation Awards and afterwards was guest of honour at Lloyd's Tercentenary Dinner.

 

14 Jun 88

Toplis & Harding (Market Services) Ltd incorporated on 30 March 1983, with the principal purpose of providing services relating to the incidence of asbestos related claims. Certain of the directors appointed on 15 July 1983 are derived from leading Non-Marine Underwriters and Claim Directors of main player Lloyd’s Underwriting Agencies. J Teff, the Janson Green claims Director, was appointed a Director on 14 June 1988. On 30 June 1988, Ernst & Winney were replaced as auditors by Deloitte Haskins & Sells. On 28 October 1986, Toplis & Harding (Asbestos Services) Ltd changed its name to Toplis & Harding Market Services) Ltd.

Directors

Agency

W F Harding

Toplis & Harding (Overseas) Ltd

R A G Jackson

Underwriter, Merrett

C J Ayliffe

Claims Director, Merrett

K R Rayment

Claims Director, Sturge

R L Owen

Toplis & Harding Holdings (U.K.) Ltd

J Teff

Claims Director, Janson Green

Solicitors

 

Denton Hall & Burgin

 

Auditors

 

Touche Ross & Co

to 30 June 1986; Thereafter

Ernst & Whinney

to 30 June 1988; thereafter,

Deloitte Haskins & Sells

which merged to become

Coopers & Lybrand Deloitte

 

20 Jun 88

At the request of the Steering Committee of Members’ agents for Names on Outhwaite Syndicate 317/661 for the 1982 year of account, Freshfield forward their report direct to the Names which, inter alia, states:- At the date of this report 16 of the 51 run-off reinsurances written by Mr Outhwaite have been the subject of litigation or arbitration as a result of Outhwaites’ refusal to pay claims by ceding syndicates. These policies mainly represent the "asbestos tail" of the occasional troubled syndicates placed within Lloyd’s on a "market oblige" basis. Of the 32 policies written between August 1981 and November 1982, Mr Outhwaite led 31, took a 100% line on 13 and at least a 50% line on a further 11. Twenty-five of the policies are unlimited. 7 of the 32 contracts were written into the 1982 year of account by reason of portfolio transfers. Of these seven contracts, 2 were written in August, one in |September, one in November and three in December 1981. The gross premiums earned were $17.6m, and the paid and outstanding claims at 31 December 1987 were $12m and $279m respectively. Winchester Bowring broked 19 of these policies. Other brokers included Morgan Read Coleman and Fieldings, but none had a significant involvement in successfully broking this type of business to Mr Outhwaite. By way of comparison, Mr Outhwaite wrote a total of approximately 10,000 risks into the 1982 account; numerically, the run-off policies formed 0.3% of this total. However, they amounted to some 15% of the total premium and, as at 31 December 1987, some 75% of the total claims incurred for 1982 (on a gross basis including IBNR). It has not been possible to determine how many run-off policies were placed in the Lloyd’s market generally in 1981/2. Certainly, there were some run-off policies placed that did not involve Outhwaites. However, those syndicates, which to our knowledge have also been writing such policies do not appear to have very many on their books and it is clear that Outhwaites took lines on a sizeable majority (perhaps in excess of 80%) of all run-off policies actually placed in that period. It is clear that 661 was the major lead syndicate for run-off business, and that the following market was fairly limited. This has been confirmed to us independently by witnesses other than Outhwaite. The main activity occurred in late 1981 and the early part of 1982. Fewer policies were written towards the end of the year. However, the details of the 11 policies written into 1983 have not been supplied to us. Since these policies do not fall into the 1982 year of account and are outside our Terms of Reference, we have not considered them in detail; nor do we deal specifically with them in our Report. However, we do consider Mr Outhwaite’s decision to cease writing this type of business, and the existence of 1983 contracts is relevant in that context. The 19 policies which fall into the 1982 account by the RITC represent an occasional and apparently haphazard series of transactions by comparison with those written in late 1981 and the early part of 1982. Nevertheless, although they comprised only a few of the many thousands of policies written in each year by Mr Outhwaite gave rise to some $6.7m of gross premium income. As at 31 December 1987, these policies had given rise to paid and outstanding claims of $18m and $37m respectively, totalling $55m. Mr Outhwaite led 16 of the 19 and took a 100% line on 7. Fifteen of the 19 policies are unlimited. According to Outhwaites, these policies had behaved predictably and had not given rise to an unusual level of claims at the time when the contracts were written.

23 Jun 88

Daily Telegraph: Lloyd’s leaps 20pc to £285m profit record

LLOYD’S made record profits of £285m during 1985 - the last year for which accounts have been closed - a 20 p.c. rise on the previous year.

But expansion of membership for the underwriting syndicates has been even faster which means the return for each individual is smaller than in 1984, according to the tables released yesterday by the Association of Lloyd’s Members.

Lloyd’s itself will not be releasing its figures officially until September.

Underwriting profits were £415m, compared with £211m in 1984

But the steep 26 p.c. increase in syndicate expenses pushed the underwriting result into a loss of £59m, against a loss of £166m in 1984.

But this was big enough improvement to offset the 15 p.c. fall in investment income to £343m, with the decline being caused by the change in the pound-dollar exchange rates and more difficult "investment conditions."

The rapid rise in Lloyd’s membership meant that despite the higher profit, the cheque received for a standard £10,000 involvement is £586, compared with £631 for 1984.

"These results are somewhat disappointing in the light of earlier expectations that 1985 would be a much improved year", said Anthony Haynes, chairman of the association.

The total improvement was attributable to the non-marine syndicates which produced a healthy profit after managing only a break-even in 1984.

Profits of marine syndicates declined, motor underwriting slid deeper into the red, and although aviation did well it was slightly off the 1984 peak.

One alarming feature was the growing number of syndicates forced to leave their accounts open even after the standard three year lag. This is normally the result of major disputes or unquantifiable claims.

Another 30 syndicates left the 1985 accounts open which means that at the end of last year 83 syndicates still had open years, some with several open years so there are now 106 underwriting years with unresolved accounts. There are 372 syndicates at Lloyd’s

Mr Haynes pointed out that large proportion of Lloyd’s members must now be left in limbo without knowing the true extent of their liability.

The association’s preliminary tables highlight again how averages at Lloyd’s do not represent individual performance.

Jun 88

The Asbestos Claims Facility in Princeton, New Jersey collapsed in June. Set up in June 1985 and also known as the Wellington Agreement, the Facility was intended to speed up the processing of asbestos related claims and to reduce the liability by reducing the legal costs. The Facility succeeded in that in the ten years prior to its establishment, 6,000 cases were resolved whereas since 1985 there have been approximately 20,000 settlements including Green Card, Pleural Registry and those cases dismissed without prejudice. The main problem was that some enterprising lawyers began to see the possibility of slipping through claims which were only partly the fault of asbestos. The first year the Facility saw conventional asbestos cases being handled, and then claims by tyre workers, metal workers and others began to appear. The main producers, bound by the conventions of the agreement, found themselves contributing the lion’s share of damages which was nothing to do with them.

29 Jun 88

General Meeting of Members of Lloyd’s: Statement by Mr Murray Lawrence, Chairman

The first occasion on which I spoke to you as Chairman was when, as your representative, I presented Lloyd’s Gold Medal to my predecessor, Peter Miller. Today I take the greatest possible pleasure on behalf of you all in congratulating Sir Peter on the award he received in the recent birthday honours. This must be seen not only as a well deserved personal honour but also, and I know that he feels this very strongly, as a recognition of all that we have achieved at Lloyd’s in recent years. We are also delighted that three other members of Council received recognition, Sir Alcon Copisarow, Sir Kenneth Berrill and Mr Eddie Kulukundis.

Our Tercentenary celebrations began earlier this year when the illumination of the Building was switched on by HM The Queen Mother, a charming lady who holds a unique position in the affections of this Society. A wide range of special events have continued since then and I am greatly heartened by the number of societies and clubs within the marketplace which have entered into the spirit of celebration by spontaneously organising their own events. The high spot of the year occurred earlier this month when HRH The Princess Royal honoured the Society by attending the Foundation Dinner held in this Building and presenting the first Fellowships granted by the Lloyd’s of London Tercentenary Foundation. This Foundation follows in Lloyd’s long and distinguished tradition of philanthropy. The response to the appeal to the Market and members for funds has been very encouraging. I am certain that the Foundation and the research which it finances will form a valuable and continuing commemoration of this unique anniversary. The three initial awards made by the Foundation were to research malaria vaccines, to investigate blood-flow in the heart and to continue work on the planning and control of government public spending.

Although we are in the process of celebrating our Tercentenary, it is also a time to take stock. Let me therefore briefly comment on some of the main events since our last General Meeting, and then touch on one or two of the commercial problems which face us in the immediate future before I go on to look at the main questions with which we have to deal if we are to move the market forward with confidence into its next century of successful trading.

The Past Year

Last year happily saw the end of the PCW affair. The PCW offer, itself the outcome of intensive efforts and most complicated negotiations, went unconditional on 19 June 1987 when it had been accepted by 90% of those to whom it had been made. By the end of last year over 99% of the people involved in the offer had accepted it; indeed, there are now only 10 Names, other than those excluded from the offer, who have not done so. I am quite sure that to conclude the PCW affair within the Society in this way was a most important test of our ability and right to regulate ourselves. There is no doubt that the alternative would have been massive and extended litigation in the United Kingdom and perhaps also in the USA with all its attendant damaging press comment.

The Lioncover Insurance Company was established as part of the settlement and this year the company will file its first annual return with the Department of Trade and Industry. The management of AUA 4 and Lioncover are continuing the intensive investigations into the original business written by the 20 syndicates during the years when they were managed by the PCW and RBUA underwriting agencies. It would be premature to attempt to predict the ultimate outcome, but the deterioration in similar business within the market indicates that there will be additional costs to be borne in the future.

At our last General Meeting we were in the middle of negotiations with the Inland Revenue about the tax treatment of reinsurance to close and it was by no means certain what the outcome would be. In the event it was basically successful, at least in a qualified way. We did not get everything we wanted but we did make progress towards a broadly acceptable regime. Although the new rules will first apply to the 1985 account, they have been tested by way of a "dry run" on specimen 1984 account cases and this has helped to anticipate and reduce the likelihood of problems. I well understand the importance of this matter to the market in view, among other things, of the effect of the overhang of asbestosis and pollution claims in the United States and we are closely in touch with the Inland Revenue, with whom our relationships have much improved in the last 12 months. No doubt we shall in due course wish to go back to them and suggest changes in the taxation treatment of reinsurance to close particularly if, as may well be likely, the precise application of that provision in particular circumstances has to be tested on appeal. We shall want to keep very closely in touch with the market about these matters as the negotiations on the 1985 account progress.

In the last year we have had our tax problems in the United States too. Last autumn there were proposals in Congress, as part of the wider attempt to balance the American budget, which would have made radical changes in the US taxation of Lloyd’s Names and syndicates. Fortunately, these proposals which betrayed a deep unfamiliarity with the way in which Lloyd’s operates, did not find a place in the final legislation. Instead the matter was remitted to the US Treasury for further consideration and this is still continuing. We have been given an opportunity to make our representations to the US Treasury and we will do all in our power to avoid the introduction of proposals which, if in anything like their original form, would be immensely damaging to our ability to provide appropriate insurance services in the US.

Since the last General Meeting we have made further substantial progress in implementing the Neill Report, and we intend to tackle before the end of the year the three or four areas which still remain. I do not propose to deal with these in detail today; they will get appropriate publicity elsewhere. There is, however, one thing which I think it important to say. One of the most significant areas which still remains to be dealt with relates to the proposed new Underwriting Agency Agreements. The Council’s position on this matter has been widely misunderstood. I therefore repeat that the Council has not reached a decision about the form of the new Underwriting Agency Agreements and will not do so until it has had an opportunity to consider carefully the results of the widespread consultation, which is now in progress.

The Immediate Future

The market is currently experiencing difficult trading conditions. The improving rates and results of the past few years have encouraged an increase in capacity, not only in Lloyd’s but world-wide, and this has led to pressure on premiums and hence reduced capacity utilisation. There is some reason to believe that the down turn may be shorter and less serious than it has been on some occasions in the recent past, but only time will tell. While it lasts it is being exacerbated by the relative weakness of the dollar, in which we write about 70% of our business, and the volatility of its relationship with sterling. This volatility coupled with the increasingly rapid and violent business cycle have been the main factors causing agents problems when attempting to assess their capacity requirements. Like many other businesses we would benefit from stability of exchange rates especially in relation to the dollar.

Present market conditions, uncomfortable though they may be, are overshadowed by the need to provide for the development of past year claims, some as yet unnotified and unquantified, springing mainly from long tail liability business in the United States.

The deterioration in claims in this area over the past 12 months and the provisions that have had to be made as a result, has reduced in many instances the anticipated profit last year for the 1985 account. They are, in addition, responsible for the two current major problem areas in the market, namely Syndicate No. 317 [Outhwaite] for the 1982 account and No. 553 [Warrilow] for the 1984 account. In the first of these cases I welcome the initiative which certain members’ agents have taken in commissioning an inquiry by distinguished firms of lawyers and accountants, which is now in the hands of the Names. The Council has appointed a leading counsel to examine on behalf of the Names the issues raised in the "Freshfields/Coopers" report. This opinion will be made available to all the Names concerned in the next week or so.

It is important to distinguish between what the Council can and should do and what it cannot and should not do when problems of this type occur. Its primary role in such a situation is to satisfy itself that there is a competent agent managing the affairs of the syndicate on behalf of the Names. Second, the Council can do its best to facilitate, in any appropriate way, the early resolution of outstanding problems. What it must not do is enter the market place and seek to dictate to those with a responsibility to their own Names how normal business claims should be settled. This is particularly the case when those claims are the subject of litigation or arbitration.

In the case of the Warrilow syndicate, the Council, through the Underwriting Agents Registration Committee, is in close touch with the management, from whom they have had full co-operation.

The Longer Term Future

In November last year members of the 1987 and 1988 Councils, together with members of the Chief Executive’s Group, met to consider the future of the Society and the role of the Council. A number of main themes emerged.

The Council

The new Council with its changed composition is working well. This is not and never has been a matter of numbers or constituencies, as some of our critics seem wrongly to have assumed. We now have a Council to which has recently been added four additional highly experienced nominated members, each member of which, from his own particular standpoint and experience, is intent on promoting the welfare of Lloyd’s as a whole.

Last month Sir Kenneth Berrill, who has served as a nominated member since the inception of the Council in 1983, retired and was succeeded by Mr David Walker, the new Chairman of the Securities and Investments Board. I welcome Mr Walker to the Council and I wish to express the very considerable debt of gratitude which we owe to Sir Kenneth who has made a substantial contribution to the work of the Council and the several important committees and working parties that he has chaired over a formative period of years.

Regulation

I have already mentioned that we hope by the end of this year to complete the work on those areas of the Neill Report which have not yet been accepted by the Council. Thereafter, there will be much practical work on implementation and it will, in addition, be necessary to keep the pattern of our regulatory structure up-to-date so that it reflects the needs of a changing market. In this task we shall be greatly assisted by the fact that we already have firmly in place monitoring mechanisms which should tell us not only whether our byelaws are being properly obeyed but also whether they need to be amended in the light of experience.

When the final shape of the post-Neill regulatory system is clear, the Council will be concerned to streamline that system and to ensure that, while being fully effective for its purpose, it is conducted with as little cost as is necessary, both for the Corporation of Lloyd’s and for underwriting agents and brokers. We are already studying the compliance costs which regulation imposes on the market and we believe that progress can be made in simplifying the operation of our regulations and byelaws, particularly with a view to reducing the potentially confusing and I know often irritating volume of information that is presently required to be sent to Names: it is interesting to note that the Department of Trade and Industry has just announced a similar initiative. In this area, as in others, the benefits of having retained our self-governing position are becoming increasingly apparent.

As members may know, there has been a great deal of publicity about the actions alleging violations of the US antitrust laws started a few months ago by a number of US Attorneys General. These actions are directed at a number of United States primary insurers and reinsurers and include allegations against a number of Lloyd’s underwriters and brokers. All the defendants deny any wrong-doing and, following the case management conference held last week before Judge Schwarzer, all the defendants will be filing notices before the Federal Judge seeking to dismiss the actions. As with all legal proceedings, however, this will take time and it is not expected that the case will be heard before the middle of next year.

Future Business

In the last five and a half years the Council of Lloyd’s has, quite understandably, been overwhelmingly preoccupied with the matter of fire-fighting and regulation. Without in any way diminishing the importance we attach to the highest standards of regulation it now seems only natural that the emphasis of our concern should increasingly be placed on the development of the business.

n this respect we welcome recent developments. We have all been encouraged by the adoption only last week of the EEC Services Directive. The Government is to be congratulated on the way in which it has supported the insurance industry in pressing for this particular freedom which, although envisaged by the Treaty of Rome over thirty years ago, has been so long delayed. In considering ways in which our business in Europe can be increased, we have recently appointed a General Representative in Italy and we are exploring the position in Germany, Greece and Sweden. I need hardly say that we wholeheartedly support the Government campaign to raise awareness of the major changes that 1992 will bring and we have every intention of being in a position to take full advantage of those European opportunities as they become available.

It would, however, be prudent to remember that 1992 will bring us threats as well as opportunities; it will not only open up Europe for us, it will increasingly expose us to European competition. We welcome that; but if we are to benefit from it as we intend two things are necessary: both on cost and on service we must become increasingly competitive.

Let me touch briefly on each of these. In the past it has been true that one of the great strengths of the Lloyd’s market has been the edge it had when it came to expenses. The difficulties of recent years and the rapid growth in the Society have undoubtedly eroded some of this advantage. Indeed, in some areas it may already have disappeared, but anyway the situation is drawn uncomfortably to our attention when growth in the market hits a plateau.

The Council has not waited for the present down turn in the market’s results to address this crucial problem, at least in so far as it relates to the costs of the Corporation. A great deal of work has been going on for a year now, including the setting up of Efficiency Working Groups within the Corporation. Later this year the Council will be in a position, within the context of a five year forward view of the likely developments in the market, to apply testing standards to the level of budgetary provision thought appropriate for 1989. It must be recognised that the kind of economies which we will be seeking cannot be found merely by saving candle ends, to use Gladstone’s famous expression. We need a review of our systems and procedures to ensure that the Corporation is not being asked to provide outdated and unnecessarily complicated services in circumstances where simpler and therefore less expensive ones would be entirely appropriate. A review of this kind is designed to produce options on which the Council can make informed decisions. Some of the choices before the Council will undoubtedly be uncomfortable and some of the answers may be radical. Nevertheless, I am sure that it is right that we should test our expenditure in this way if only to reassure the market and the Names that they are paying only for services which they really need. I intend that there will be adequate opportunity for consultation with the market before decisions which affect 1989 are finally taken.

Consultation with the market is currently taking place on the proposals to modify and enhance the new Building which have been put forward by a joint team of Fitch & Co and the Richard Rogers Partnership. I have been impressed by the commitment of time and energy that the market, through the Building Decision Group, has made to reviewing the proposals to ensure that the maximum improvement in access to the Room and the working environment within it is achieved within a reasonable budget.

The lighting of the Building, a long term project to last at least 25 years, was approved by the Council last year and has been achieved within the budget of £1.2 million. This project and other central costs have to be viewed in the context of the generally low level of our central marketing activities. The Council entertainment and other activities of a type which can be compared with some of our competitors’ advertising have, over the years, accounted for an infinitesimal percentage of calendar year premium income. This year, being our Tercentenary, the Council approved an additional budget of up to £1 million to cover all ancillary events and it is currently expected that the final expenditure will be significantly less than this figure.

One further thing needs to be said about costs. It is natural in the market and amongst the membership to focus on the costs of the Corporation. In fact they account for about one-third of total Lloyd’s costs. It follows that we cannot look for a significant improvement in our competitiveness from action taken by the Corporation alone; the market will have to respond with equal vigour in relation to its own costs and remuneration. Salary levels in the City generally have risen in recent years to heights which look increasingly difficult to sustain when business activity declines and Lloyd’s has been no exception to this trend.

Fortunately, some of the new information technology systems now available ought increasingly to reduce the overlap and duplication which now occurs between underwriting agents and the Corporation, particularly in relation to the handling of the affairs of Names. We are already discussing how best to derive benefit from the new computer links and I am sure that the parties to the discussion will approach the matter flexibly and with the intention of securing the maximum overall efficiency for Lloyd’s as a whole.

On the matter of services there is no doubt that we must raise our standards. Some of us who travel the world on behalf of Lloyd’s are now presented with examples of poor service which it is becoming embarrassingly difficult to defend. This is a matter to which we are giving urgent attention, particularly in relation to the settlement of claims and the production of documents.

We shall be helped in this by the growing influence of the London Insurance Market Network which we announced on 10 June last year. The market has reacted very favourably to this and we have high hopes that by the end of 1988 some 80% of our advice card data by volume will be received across the network. Brokers and managing agents are already researching how this new tool will reduce paper flows and time factors in placing business and settling claims and we are rapidly reaching the stage where membership of the network will be an intrinsic element of participation in business at Lloyd’s. I am sure that everyone in the market is giving full consideration to this in the development of their future plans. In this respect we have the advantage that the new Building, whatever the divided views about its aesthetic and environmental merits, will accept information technology on a scale which was quite impossible in its predecessor. We therefore now have a window of opportunity to improve our competitiveness through better service; it is an opportunity which will last for a relatively short period and we let it pass by at our peril. The Committee and the Council, in consultation with the market, will be working hard on this in the months ahead. It will undoubtedly be necessary to make decisions which are not universally popular and which go against traditional business methods which may be dear to the hearts of some individuals and organisations. Nevertheless, once decisions have been made about the best methods of servicing business it will not be possible to accommodate those who wish to diverge except on the basis that they pay a full economic rate for the non-standard services which they require.

Increasingly, one hears people questioning the value of membership of Lloyd’s but these views should be kept in perspective. Those of us who are older will remember the deep gloom and despondency which was rife in the market in the late nineteen sixties and look at the success of the market in the last twenty years! There is, one is told, too much hassle with the tax authorities here and in the United States; there are too many open years; the business is becoming increasingly cyclical; the level of maximum risk is ever rising; and there is a natural tendency to compare the highest risk with the lowest reward. It is said by some that unlimited liability has had its day, although they tend to be less clear when it comes to thinking through the alternatives, let alone the transition from one to the other.

On one thing I believe we must be clear: the world is dramatically changing, at least in terms of the recent past. For at least 260 out of its 300 years Lloyd’s has been an organisation which relied on four simple ingredients for success: underwriting expertise, underwriting profit, low expenses and a secure policy. The economic distortions of the last 40 years, deliberately imposed by successive Governments, have obscured the need for that single minded approach to underwriting profit, a change in attitude which in turn has tended to erode the reliance on the other three pillars of Lloyd’s past success. Grossly excessive rates of personal taxation have obscured the impact of underwriting losses. On the other hand, high levels of inflation and consequently high rates of interest provided impressive rates of return on the premium trust funds, much of it in the form of capital appreciation taxed on a favourable basis.

Progressively over the last 10 years that situation has changed; since the last Budget one can say with some certainty that those days have gone. Interest rates may still remain historically high but in the future a Name will enjoy 60% of his underwriting profits and bear 60% of his underwriting losses, not 2% as he did 10 years ago, and capital gains and income will, for tax purposes, be treated alike. The moral is clear: we are entering a world where there are great rewards for those who can generate true underwriting profit and that is the direction which we must pursue with total single mindedness.

In doing this we now have no option but to put back in their rightful place the other three fundamental factors I have referred to. We must get back to high standards in our original underwriting. In the past some underwriters have become too involved in cash flow underwriting, particularly where there has been the ability to shovel out of the back door - by way of reinsurance - what one has underwritten and in this way, make a satisfactory return but only at reinsurers’ expense. An underwriter’s skill should be to assess the correct rate for carrying a risk, not just whether business can be traded advantageously, perhaps with less than satisfactory security. A move towards gross underwriting integrity will put our underwriters on their mettle and ensure that we concentrate on what really matters, the attraction of new business to the market, rather than being happy endlessly to recycle that which is already there.

I am quite sure that for Lloyd’s the future depends on the things I have mentioned this morning - high underwriting standards; a secure policy; a continuing high standard of regulation, on a cost effective basis; increased competitiveness through reduced costs, both in the Corporation and in the market and by greatly improved levels of service; and on this basis a positive approach to the challenge of the new business which is becoming available to us in Europe, as indeed to all profitable business world-wide. If we add to that our long-standing ability to innovate and to provide insureds with policies which are tailored precisely to their needs, we have little to fear.

I believe that we are making progress on several fronts. This reflects the determination and hard work of the Council and the Corporation staff and the support of the market. Over the past few years the relationships between the Council, its various Committees and the Corporation staff have changed radically, as has the allocation of work. I believe that we now have a satisfactory balance. However, the workload remains substantial and I wish to express both my own personal gratitude, and I know yours too, both to my colleagues on the Council for their hard work and unswerving support and also to the Corporation staff for the splendid work they do on our behalf.

These are difficult and challenging days, but I believe that together we will grasp the opportunities that such times offer and make the necessary adjustments and changes which so often tend to get postponed or overlooked in more comfortable times. I am sure that together we can and will build an exciting and prosperous future.

(Murray Lawrence, making his first statement to a General Meeting of the Society, stressed the need for pursuing underwriting profits, as the new tax structure had further eroded the need to accommodate the taxation requirements of Members.

He said: "Interest rates may still be historically high but in future a Name will enjoy 60% of his underwriting profits and bear 60% of his underwriting losses, not 2% as he did ten years ago, and capital gains and income will, for tax purposes, be treated alike.

"The moral is clear: we are entering a world where there are great rewards for those who can generate true underwriting profit and that is the direction which we must pursue with total single-mindedness."

The speech covered a number of topics, but he did not mention the discussion he had promoted over the proposed deficit clause. He was taken to task by Tom Benyon, a former MP and present chairman of the Warrilow 553 Names’ Committee, about the proposal of the working party on the subject and about the inclusion o f five underwriting agents within the working party. Seeking their opinion on the subject, suggested Benyon, was ‘like asking turkeys their views on Christmas’.

Lawrence replied that since such working parties required people with market expertise, some conflicts of interest were perhaps inevitable.

Lawrence told the meeting that ‘improving rates and results of the past few years have encouraged an increase in capacity, not only in Lloyd’s but world wide, and this led to a pressure on premiums and hence reduced capacity utilisation’).

30 Jun 88

United States Fidelity & Guaranty Co. -v- Murray Ohio Manufacturing Co., 693 F. Supp. 617, Middle District of Tennessee, 30 June 1988. Court found discharge of pollutants was non sudden to relieve insurer of duty to indemnify.

0 Jul 88

In July, the Chairman (Murray Lawrence) attended the Western States Surplus Lines Conference in California and the Texas Surplus Lines Association Conference in New Mexico.

6 Jul 88

Piper Alpha, a north sea drilling rig owned by Occidental Petroleum, Texaco, International Thompson North Sea (20%) and Union Texas Petroleum (20%), implodes killing 165 of its 226 complement of workers. Estimated loss $1.4bn

6 Jul 88

Lloyd’s Brokers Byelaw (No. 5 of 1988, 6 July 1988)

The rules for Lloyd’s brokers were drawn up by the Regulatory Directorate of Lloyd’s following public consultation. Day to day supervision is undertaken by the brokers and correspondents Department, a part of the Regulatory Services Directorate of the Corporation of Lloyd’s. This Directorate reports to Lloyd’s Regulatory Board. The LIBC is not represented per se but there is one Lloyd’s broker amongst the 17 member Board. The costs directly attributed to regulating Lloyd’s brokers are recovered by an annual charge, levied by Lloyd’s on all Lloyd’s brokers. The 1995 budget is some £1.4m. Lloyd’s brokers also fall within the jurisdiction of the Investigations & Disciplinary Committees, both of which report directly to the Council of Lloyd’s.

Some of the principle features of Lloyd’s Broker regulations are as follows:-

Directors

The character and suitability of an applicant’s directors and partners, both individually and collectively, are considered before registration. A compliance officer, who has responsibility for ensuring compliance with Lloyd’s rules and who is usually expected to be a director or partner, must be appointed.

Financial Requirements

An applicant must be adequately capitalised. The amount is assessed individually in the light of the volume and nature of the applicant’s business, its expense base, and any other obligations - for example potential liabilities incurred by virtue of the Marine Insurance Act 1906. Less than £500,000 is unlikely to be considered adequate. Lloyd’s brokers must comply with the requirements on solvency made under the Lloyd’s Brokers Byelaw, which were designed to maintain adequate margins of solvency throughout the financial year.

Professional Indemnity Insurance

All Lloyd’s brokers must maintain professional indemnity insurance in accordance with the Council’s requirements. The minimum required is £3 million, and the maximum is £30 million. The limits are set by reference to brokerage earnings (essentially 4 times UK and 6 times overseas earnings).

Other Factors

Lloyd’s also takes into account:-

1. The ability and willingness of the applicant to supervise, service and account for its activities and responsibilities;

2. The location, adequacy and suitability of employees including the organisational structure and the procedures for employee training; and

3. the location of the applicant’s accounting and other records and the adequacy of its internal control systems.

Code of Practice

The Lloyd’s Code of Practice sets out the standards which must be maintained by the Lloyd’s broker in the relationship with its client. All elements of the IBRC Code of Conduct are incorporated. It confirms that the brokers’ primary duty is to his client and affirms the principle of utmost good faith.

6 Jul 88

Umbrella Arrangements Byelaw (No. 6 of 1988, 6 July 1988).

Lloyd’s Brokers Byelaw and Umbrella Arrangements Byelaw. The byelaw satisfies Recommendation 51 of the Neill Committee that Lloyd’s must introduce without delay arrangements for regulating brokers.

The byelaw was preceded by a consultative document which had provoked considerable discussion. Underwriting’ Agent Stephen Merrett had said: ‘We have fundamental reservations as to whether Lloyd’s is usefully employed in seeking to regulate the international firms of brokers, the vast majority of whose business is not placed at Lloyd’s.

"The debate should therefore include consideration of whether the major initiative on the regulation of brokers would be better handled by either a government agency or an independent self-regulatory body," commented Merrett.

The byelaw sets in motion an exhausting process. The Brokers Department will summon brokers, giving them three months notice, to apply for registration, against a questionnaire which will drive most to go fishing or prune the roses. What is more, carefully worked out financial requirements will ensure that many will remain fishing and pruning roses. Nor will brokers be able to sidle in through ‘umbrellaarrangements, whereby insurance can be placed ad infinitum through non-Lloyd’s brokers. Now any broker seeking ‘umbrella’ access to the market must be seen to be seeking full registration as a Lloyd’s broker within three years. And if he does not get full registration within three years, then he need not re-apply.

What would also seem to be important is that brokers will now be no longer able to hold their superiors to ransom. They cannot walk out of the door, taking their clients with them and putting their plaque on another door, unless they have surrendered some of their worth to another broker prepared to provide the considerable financial backing required by the new rules.

A code of behaviour accompanies the byelaw.

Jul 88

Upon the advice of the Solicitors’ Dept., the Corporation of Lloyd’s disposed of its wholly owned subsidiary, Toplis & Harding Holdings Inc. to a management buy-out consortium. The consideration for the sale, paid in cash, was £4.5m; the sale gave rise to an extraordinary loss of £4.5m. On 1 December 1981, Elborne Mitchell advised that an asbestos computer database had been established in the United States by Mendes & Mount, Attorneys, with the assistance of Alexander Grant, computer consultants, and Toplis & Harding Inc., Chicago.

6 Jul 88

Financial Times: Nader launches attack on Lloyd’s insurance market

6 Jul 88

Times: Nader makes Lloyd’s his new target

6 Jul 88

The Guardian: Nader calls for curbs on Lloyd’s

6 Jul 88

Wall Street Journal: Lloyd’s rates within the US are criticised

15 Jul 88

20th Western States Surplus Lines Conference in Monterey, California attended by Murray Lawrence.

Speaking in July at the 20th Western States Surplus Line Conference in Monterey, California, Murray Lawrence said that a report published by the Center for the Study of Responsive Law, which accused Lloyd’s of dominating world insurance markets, contained inaccuracies. (This was the report initiated by Ralph Nader.)

In response to allegations that Lloyd’s remained "virtually unregulated in the UK and USA" Lawrence said: "Our critics seem to overlook the fact that we are accredited reinsurers throughout the US, eligible excess or surplus line insurers in all jurisdictions as well as being licensed insurers in Illinois, Kentucky and the US Virgin Islands." Lawrence outlined the regulatory reform which has taken place at Lloyd’s since Lloyd’s Act 1982 came into force.

Dealing with suggestions that Lloyd’s three-year accounting system was a ‘tax break; Lawrence said that rather than allow deferment of tax, in recent years the system had the effect of deferring recognition of a loss and therefore payment to members of a tax refund.

Lawrence refuted allegations that Lloyd’s dominated the world’s insurance market and had artificially decreased profits and over-reserved. The market’s profits for 1982-84 which totalled $855 million should be considered against the high risks being run by members of Lloyd’s. The losses of more than $725 million in the general liability field, the area of main concern to Lloyd’s critics, were largely accounted for by the US market. He pointed to Lloyd’s willingness to continue providing liability cover when other insurers had withdrawn from the market.

Later in his speech, Lawrence called for a return to high underwriting standards. In the past some underwriters had become too involved in cash flow underwriting. He said: "A move back towards gross underwriting integrity will put all underwriters on their mettle and ensure that they concentrate on what really matters, the attraction of new business to the market."

Finally, Lawrence spoke of his conviction that Lloyd’s underwriters, together with their broking colleagues and business producers, would continue to oil the wheels of commerce by taking on risks such as satellites, North Sea oil platforms, the Alaskan pipeline and the Channel Tunnel.

He reiterated what has been said many times before about Lloyd’s three year accounting system, regulation and reporting within the US, and the measures taken to improve self-regulation at Lloyd’s itself.

He then gave new figures for Lloyd’s losses for 1985 in the general liability field, with the US being responsible for 75% of those losses. He estimated the loss for US business to be about $544m, with $200m "in respect of having to increase the reserves due to under-reserving of old years". As to the suggestion that Lloyd’s dominated the US reinsurance market, Lawrence pointed out that Lloyd’s premium income of about $2bn was matched by the General Re with $2-5bn, Employers Re with $1-2bn and American Re with $1bn.

20 Jul 88

Report from Lord, Bissell & Brook and Mendes & Mount, attorneys, to underwriters at interest. Re 1988 year end reserves asbestos building claims.

(and advise a figure of U.S. $4bn for asbestos-related property damage indemnity claims, with the caveat that this recommendation does not include any IBNR factor. Advice is given that the EPA has conducted a survey of 3.6m public and commercial buildings, exclusive of buildings owned by states or municipal units, and it has concluded that 20% or 733,000 of these buildings contain friable asbestos).

We wish to submit for Underwriters consideration our annual report to the Market concerning the burgeoning asbestos property damage litigation. Underwriters will recall that in the past one market report has been submitted covering both the bodily injury and the property damage claims. We have concluded that the complexity of reserving for property damage claims, the key developments which have arisen over the past year in the underlying claims and recent U.S. Government studies providing more sophisticated information as to the scope of the problem make it prudent for us to now submit a separate market letter for the asbestos property damage claims.

The reserving philosophy for property damage claims reported in this market letter are the result of lengthy discussions at the annual reserve meeting, attended by Messrs. Mendes & Mount, Lord, Bissell & Brook, the London Market Direct and Reinsurance Claims Committees, and Toplis & Harding (Market Services) Ltd. The philosophy and final recommendations have been presented to the full Asbestos Working Party, who have concurred.

We will in this property damage report briefly review the history of the asbestos building claims as well as the growing asbestos building litigation and the reserving philosophy utilised in our 1987 year-end report. We will outline our reserve basis for 1988 and, finally, we will briefly review recent declaratory actions dealing with coverage for asbestos building claims.

I. History and General Overview of Asbestos Building Claims

The asbestos-related property damage claims have their genesis in the 1980 enactment by the U.S. Congress of the "Asbestos School Hazard Detection and Control Act." Congress in this Act found that the presence in school buildings of "friable" or easily damaged asbestos created an unwarranted hazard to the health of school children and school employees who were exposed to such materials. Under the Act local school authorities were required to inspect for the presence of asbestos within the schools and to notify parents and staff if asbestos was indeed found.

There was initially very little activity under the 1980 Act as it soon became evident that the inspection and the concomitant laboratory testing was very costly. The school districts learned in addition that abatement activities such as removal or encapsulation or replacement of the asbestos material were so expensive that compliance with the Act was not practical.

Subsequently in the early 1980's the first few school property damage cases began to be filed against the manufacturers of the asbestos products installed in the school buildings. More and more cases were filed over the years and now there are more than two hundred of these cases. However, as will be shown later in this report, the number of these cases is not indicative of the dimensions of the problem. Many of the cases in fact are class actions and many others involve hundreds of individual plaintiffs.

In the meantime the U.S. Congress determined that further and more aggressive legislative action was required to deal not only with the school problem but also with the problem of friable asbestos in public and commercial buildings.

We reported last year concerning the Asbestos Hazard Emergency Response Act (AHERA) of October, 1986 wherein the U.S. Congress mandated that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) establish a mandatory and comprehensive regulatory framework of inspection, management planning, operations, maintenance and abatement responses to control Asbestos-Containing Materials (ACM) in schools throughout the land. The AHERA statute also extended the EPA mandate to require it to conduct a study to determine the extent of danger to human health posed by asbestos in public and commercial buildings and the means to respond to such danger. The EPA has now completed certain studies under these statutory mandates. The results of these studies provide useful information reflecting upon the potential cost of these property damage claims.

A. The EPA School Rule

Pursuant to AHERA, the EPA in October, 1987 issued its final "Asbestos-Containing Materials in Schools" rule requiring public and private elementary and secondary schools to implement programs to control ACM in their buildings. The schools and school districts were required to prepare a management plan for inspection, abatement and removal of ACM and to obtain state approval of their asbestos management plans. The rule applied to over 100,000 schools across the country.

The EPA determined that there are approximately 35,000 school buildings nation-wide containing friable asbestos. It was estimated by the EPA that the total cost of the AHERA inspection and abatement rule will be in the $3.1 billion range. This is the first time that the costs of the asbestos-in-school problem has been quantified and it should be noted that compliance with the EPA rule is obligatory.

The school districts were given until October 12, 1988 to complete their management plans or to be subject to a $5,000 per day penalty. The implementation of these plans must begin no later than July, 1989 and must be completed in a "timely fashion". It is our understanding that almost all of the primary and secondary schools throughout the country are currently taking steps to comply with the rules. However, we note that legislation is pending in the U.S. Congress to extend these deadlines by 6-9 months.

(The EPA determined that there are approximately 35,000 school buildings nation-wide (1987 44,000) containing 169,000,000 square feet of friable asbestos (1987 213,000,000). There are believed to be 107,550 schools potentially affected which according to the EPA produces 510,203,786 square feet of friable asbestos. The EPA estimates that the cost of full compliance with the AHERA requirements will be approximately $3bn (1987 - 69% of $9,242,822,210).)

B. The EPA Commercial Buildings Study

The 1986 AHERA statute also required the EPA to conduct a study to determine the dangers posed by asbestos in the 3.2 million public and commercial buildings in the United States. The results of the EPA studies were released in February, 1988 and make it clear that the cost of asbestos abatement in connection with these buildings will be substantially greater than with the schools.

The EPA calculated that roughly 733,000 of the 3.2 million public and commercial buildings in the United States contain some form of friable asbestos and that the asbestos material in some 317,000 buildings shows significant damage. The EPA defines public and commercial buildings to include all buildings other than state and municipal buildings and school buildings or residential buildings with fewer than 10 units. It found that 5% of all commercial and public buildings had sprayed on or troweled on friable asbestos material and 16% of the buildings have asbestos containing pipe and boiler insulation.

The EPA concluded that the AHERA school rule requirements would cost more than $51 billion if they were applied to the 733,000 commercial buildings with friable asbestos. However, the EPA did not recommend the implementation of the school rule requirements for public and commercial buildings at the present time. This was because it found that there are currently an insufficient number of qualified technical and professional contractors and examiners who could deal both with the public building problems as well as with the school problems. The EPA therefore suggested to the U.S. Congress that the public building situation be reviewed in three years when the effectiveness of the AHERA rule for schools can be evaluated. It would then determine whether an inspection rule and Federal regulation of the public and commercial buildings would be required. Most commentators to date have expressed the view that there will be a new wave of federal regulation requiring the abatement of asbestos in public and commercial buildings.

The EPA has indicated it believes appropriate abatement programs in the future for public buildings would cost tens of billions of dollars. Other industry analysts have reached similarly staggering conclusions. We note that Alex Brown & Sons, a leading investment banking firm, projected that asbestos abatement will cost the government and commercial property owners over $l00 billion over the next 25 years. Sitomer and Drexler, a Manhattan firm specialising in asbestos abatement, states that in Manhattan alone over $1 billion will be spent in removal work.

There is no doubt but that enormous costs are going to be incurred in the commercial building field whether or not future federal regulations are promulgated. Many cities have already passed stringent local laws concerning asbestos testing and re-oval. We can advise, for example, that New York City enacted a 1965 law requiring asbestos certified inspectors to approve any commercial building modification, renovation or demolition. Under the New York law only accredited and asbestos trained contractors can handle the asbestos repair or removal. Substantial fines are levied against property owners who do not comply with this law

(The EPA has indicated it believes appropriate abatement programs in the future for public buildings would cost tens of billions of dollars. Other industry analysts have reached similarly staggering conclusions. We note that Alex Brown & Sons, a leading investment banking firm, projected that asbestos abatement will cost the government and commercial property owners over $100bn over the next 25 years. Sitomer & Drexler, a Manhattan firm specialising in asbestos abatement, states that in Manhattan alone over $1bn will spent in removal work.)

Some 39 states now certify and regulate asbestos abatement work. There were only six states that had these laws in 1985.

It is reported that the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey have already commenced a $650 million cleanup of 30 properties including the World Trade Center and the three major airports of the New York metropolitan area. Further, it has been reported that Chase Manhattan Bank intends to sue the original asbestos suppliers and contractors to recover the $110 million it will pay to cleanup its two office towers in the New York financial district.

The threat of these exorbitant costs for asbestos repair and removal has already had a dramatic effect upon the commercial real estate sales market in the United States. It is now commonplace that buyers of commercial buildings require either that there is an abatement of the asbestos problems prior to the sale or deduct such abatement costs from the purchase price. The press has reported that many major property owners have already sustained substantial losses in real estate sales. We note, for example, that Mitsui Real Estate, the Japanese developer that recently bought the Exxon building, successfully reduced the sale price by $90 million because of the asbestos content in the building. We also note a California real estate broker calculates that the asbestos discount can run as high as 40% in the sale of certain commercial buildings.

We understand that most pension funds and real estate investment trusts and insurance companies like the Aetna and Prudential will no longer offer to finance properties with asbestos problems. A survey of 140 institutional lenders in 1987 reveals that 37% will not write mortgages on buildings that contain asbestos and other firms, who do write these mortgages, now require that the borrowers create an approved asbestos control plan with funds placed in escrow to cover the …

(The Port Authority of New York and New Jersey have already commenced a $650m clean up of 30 properties including the World Trade Centre and three major airports of the New York Metropolitan area.)

The asbestos problem has also had a significant effect upon the commercial building rental market. It is reported that large corporate tenants such as IBM, Amoco, AT&T and Chrysler will no longer lease space in buildings that contain asbestos. One survey has concluded that rents for office space in asbestos-containing buildings in major cities have fallen 10 to 15% below those of asbestos free buildings.

We believe that it is inevitable that tremendous economic losses are going to be sustained by major commercial property owners in the next several years. We believe it is equally inevitable that these property owners will attempt to recover their losses from the asbestos manufacturers and suppliers who originally installed their products in the involved buildings.

(We believe that it is inevitable that tremendous economic losses are going to be sustained by major commercial property owners in the next several years. ...)

C. The Underlying Property Damage Lawsuits

Our records are not necessarily complete but we can confirm that as of May, 1988 a total of at least 209 separate asbestos-related property damage lawsuits have been brought against major assureds of the London Market. Our studies reflect that the claimants in all of these lawsuits fall into the following categories:

Schools

67%

Municipal Buildings

6%

Commercial Buildings

13%

Colleges

6%

Public Buildings

8%

Very few of the lawsuits filed to date involve individual claimants. Our records rather indicate that most of the lawsuits have been brought on behalf of multiple claimants as follows:

(Our records arc not necessarily complete but we can confirm that as of May 1988 a total of at least 209 separate asbestos related property damage law suits have been brought against major assureds of the London Market. ... claimants fall into the following categories.)

  1. Class Actions: There have been eight class actions filed as of May, 1988. Two of these have been certified:

1.

Barnwell (all schools nation-wide) and

2.

Detroit (all Michigan schools).

Six other class actions are still pending certification:

3.

Lancaster, Pennsylvania (all Pennsylvania schools);

4.

Clemson University, South Carolina (all colleges and universities);

5.

Kalkus, Pennsylvania (all 3,000 buildings under lease to the U.S. Government);

6.

Evelyn Mullen, California (all California homeowners whose homes were built from 1972 through 1978; Class certification has been denied at appellate level and claimants may not have timely appealed to California Supreme Court);

7.

Sisters of St. Mary, Wisconsin (all hospitals in the United States; appeal from trial court denial of class certification pending) and

8.

Erie, Pennsylvania (all governmental entities in Pennsylvania owning buildings, excluding schools).

2. Cases Brought BY Municipal Entities For All Public Buildings Owned, Including Schools

1.

City of Manchester, New Hampshire;

2.

City of Baltimore, Maryland;

3.

State of Maryland;

4.

District of Columbia;

5.

Commonwealth of Kentucky;

6.

City of Boston;

7.

State of West Virginia;

8.

State of South Carolina;

9.

Cornell, Durand, LaCrosse, Superior, Eau Claire and Chippewa School Districts and county buildings, Wisconsin and

10.

Dutchess County and Dutchess Community College, New York.

3. Cases Involving Only Public Buildings, Not Including Schools:

1.

All public buildings in Pennsylvania;

2.

Baltimore County, Maryland for 365 public buildings;

3.

All public buildings in Virginia;

4.

All public buildings in Minnesota;

5.

Anne Arundel County, Maryland for 600 public buildings;

6.

Collier County, Florida for its Government Center;

7.

Cleveland, Ohio Public Libraries;

8.

City of New York;

9.

Orangeburg County, South Carolina;

10.

Kansas City, Missouri for International Airport and downtown airport buildings;

11.

Enterprise, Alabama;

12.

Port Authority of New York and New Jersey and

13.

New York City Transit Authority.

4. Cases Brought By Universities, Colleges or Seminaries

1.

University System of New Hampshire (5 universities with 150 buildings);

2.

University of Minnesota;

3.

Mercer University, Georgia;

4.

Wesley Theological Seminary, D.C.;

5.

University of South Carolina;

6.

University of Pennsylvania;

7.

University of Miami, Florida;

8.

Clemson University and College of Charleston, South Carolina;

9.

Smith College, Massachusetts;

10

Los Angeles Community College District, California and

11.

Johnson Community College, Kansas.

D. Potential Future Claims

We are unable from the information presently available to estimate the number of asbestos property damage lawsuits that will be filed in the future against the Assureds of the London Market. We have discussed this question with these Assureds but they too are unable to quantify the number of claims that may be anticipated.

(We are unable from the information presently available to estimate the number of asbestos property damage law suits that will filed in the future against the assureds on the London Market. We have discussed the question with these assureds but they too are unable to quantify the number of claims that may be anticipated....)

We do know that U.S. Gypsum Co. has received notice that 98 additional property damage suits will be filed against it including all of the school buildings in San Francisco, California. We can also advise that 40 plus additional Texas school districts have recently filed suit. The claimants in these suits are seeking to have their cases consolidated into the Dayton-Evadale litigation pending before Judge Fisher in the U.S. District Court in Beaumont, Texas.

We can report that notices were sent out to 15,000 public school districts and to approximately 22,000 private schools in the national class action suit in the U.S. District Court in Philadelphia. The schools were given until December 1, 1987 to opt cut of the national class action. Our information is that 1,355 school districts and individual schools opted out of the national class. We do not know how many of these opt outs have filed suit already or how many will file suit in the future.

Very few suits have been brought to date on behalf of commercial property owners. For reasons heretofore described in this report we believe it reasonable to expect that there will be substantial litigation involving this source of claimants. An area of additional concern is that the Attorney Generals of 43 separate states have recently met to consider filing property damage suits on behalf of all state owned buildings in their jurisdiction

II. Review of Property Damage Litigation to Date

We have closely followed developments in the underlying property damage litigation and must report to Underwriters that although there were some early defence victories most of the recent jury and court decisions have been adverse to the asbestos manufacturers. We are now not optimistic that the defence will win a fair percentage of these cases.

(We have closely followed developments in the underlying property damage litigation and must report to underwriters that although there were some early defence victories most of the recent jury and Court decisions have been adverse to the asbestos manufacturers. We are now not optimistic that the defence will win a fair percentage of these cases....)

There are relatively very few plaintiff attorneys controlling most of the nation-wide litigation and their collective experiences during the past few years seem to have taught them how to overcome the defences offered by the manufacturers. Thus U.S. Gypsum won several early cases by offering expert evidence to the effect that the testing of the ambient air in the particular building involved revealed an asbestos fibre content which was so minimal as to be considered safe by U.S. Government OSHA standards. U.S. Gypsum experts in fact testified that these tests showed that it was more dangerous for the inhabitants of the building to walk about in any average American city. The claimants, however, have now learned to counter these arguments by locating witnesses who testify that they or their family members in fact sustained an asbestos-related disease which was caused by their presence in the building involved or in a similar building. The plaintiffs in effect have learned to try these cases as bodily injury cases and have been successful in putting the onus on the defence to come forth with the very difficult proof that the bodily injury was in fact caused by exposure to asbestos elsewhere.

Another factor abetting the claimants in these cases has been their discovery of evidence tending to indicate that certain manufacturers knew about the dangers of asbestos and purposefully concealed this knowledge when they sold their asbestos-containing products. This type of evidence is offered in support of claims for punitive damages and obviously has a deleterious effect upon the defence in the eyes of a jury.

In addition, the defence of product identification has not worked particularly well recently as Claimants' technical experts are now fairly capable of identifying the manufacturers of at least fireproofing and acoustical tile present in the buildings in litigation. The Claimants' attorneys in fact are now foregoing their previous scattershot tactic of naming all potential manufacturers as defendants in these cases. They now are tending to name only defendants whom they can prove placed products in the involved buildings. Nevertheless, we believe it is still very difficult to identify the manufacturer of many of the thermal insulation products found in the boiler rooms of these buildings.

Finally, experience to date does not indicate that the manufacturers will have any great success with their Statute of Limitations or Statutes of Repose defences although we believe that these defences in many instances should prevail as we proceed further in time from the EPA mandate that all schools must have completed an inspection for friable asbestos by 1983.

We also should advise that most courts to date have not accepted the defence theory that these claims are for economic loss and not for property damage. In this regard we note that the Illinois Appellate Court recently reversed an Order of the Circuit Court of Cook County which had held that the lawsuit filed by the City of Chicago Board of Education constituted only a claim for economic loss and thus was a contract rather than a tort claim. The defence will seek to appeal this decision to the Illinois Supreme Court.

III. Review of Trials and Settlements To Date in Underlying Litigation

A. Trials:

We must report that there have been several recent adverse verdicts and judgments entered against London Assureds in the underlying property damage litigation. An award of $2.4 million compensatory and $2 million punitive damages was entered against both W.R. Grace and National Gypsum in the Mercer University (Georgia) case and an award of $4.9 million compensatory and $2 million punitive was returned against W.R. Grace alone in the Greenville City Hall case (South Carolina). A verdict of $533,000 was brought in against National Gypsum in the Athens City Board of Education litigation (Tennessee).

U.S. Gypsum sustained an adverse verdict of $650,000 compensatory and $400,000 punitive damages in the Independence School District case (Missouri) although the punitive award was subsequently reversed on appeal. U.S. Gypsum has also sustained adverse verdicts of $200,000 in the St. Joseph Hospital case (Georgia), $106,107 in the Spartanburg case (South Carolina) and $27,000 in the Greenville (South Carolina) case.

There have been adverse awards entered against Celotex for $134,500 in the Adams Arapahoe (Colorado) case and $300,000 in the St. Joseph Hospital case (Georgia).

There have been some defence victories. National Gypsum and U.S. Gypsum obtained defence verdicts in the Wesley Theological Seminary case (Washington, D.C.) and U.S. Gypsum obtained a verdict in the Mercer University case (Georgia) and in the Anderson County case (Tennessee). The plaintiffs have appealed both the Wesley Theological and the Mercer University cases. We should note that of all the cases won at trial by the defence thus far only the Anderson County case has been affirmed upon appeal.

B. Settlements:

There is no doubt but that the poor results obtained to date and the threat of punitive damages have encouraged both W.R. Grace and National Gypsum to seek compromise settlements in the property damage cases. National Gypsum has entered into a $8.4 million dollar settlement with one attorney to conclude the claims of 155 school districts in 19 states and W.R. Grace to our knowledge has now entered into the following settlements:

Dayton/Evadale (Texas) - 83 school districts:

$47,000,000

30 school districts (Atty. Speights cases):

24,000,000

Greenville, Richland, Amelia and Montgomery School Districts:

2,100,000

Adams Arapahoe School District (Colorado):

6,043,000

Anchorage (Alaska):

12,000,000

Miscellaneous Settlements:

300,000

U.S. Gypsum at present appears more inclined to contest the underlying cases but nevertheless we can advise that it has entered into the following settlements:

Dayton/Evadale (Texas) 83 school districts

$12,500,000

Johnson County (Tennessee)

47,800

Lexington (South Carolina)

675,000

Huntsville (Alabama)

1,359,000

Harley (South Carolina)

3,000

IV. Declaratory Judgment Decisions

There has been some significant activity in the past 12 months in the area of declaratory judgment decisions with regard to coverage for property damage claims. We would point out that all of the five decisions to date are lower court decisions and that there are as yet no appellate decisions on record. All of the five decisions are on appeal or will be appealed at the appropriate time.

The first decision of record was the Lac D'Amiante du Quebec Ltee. v. American Home decision from the District Court for the District of New Jersey, decided by Judge Barry on July 31, 1985. This case involved coverage for both asbestos bodily injury and property damage claims, with the involved insurers being American Home, Midland and Highlands. The parties had stipulated that the underlying claims alleged property damage, and the Judge reached her decision in the context of summary judgment motions.

Judge Barry decided that the triple trigger would apply to bodily injury claims, and, as she considered it would be inconsistent to have a different trigger apply to property damage, she applied the triple trigger rule to the property damage claims as well. Judge Barry found that the asbestos in the buildings deteriorated over the passage of time, resulting in continuous and progressive damage. Judge Barry also decided that the assured was entitled to select the policy which was obligated to make payment, in that liability on the part of the insurers was joint and several.

The case is currently on appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. However, it is not known whether the appellate court will reach all coverage issues in its decision. American Home and Highlands have settled with the assured and Midland, which is in liquidation, has based its appeal primarily on jurisdictional grounds.

The second coverage decision for asbestos building claims is the only state court decision to date. This is the case of U.S.F. & G. v. Wilkin Insulation which was decided by Judge Marovich in the Circuit Court of Cook County, Illinois on August 14, 1987.

Judge Marovich ruled in favour of the insurers on all coverage issues, finding that the presence of asbestos in buildings does not constitute property damage but rather mere economic loss, which is not insurable. Judge Marovich also found that the installation of asbestos in buildings did not constitute an accident or occurrence as the installation was intentional. The Judge went on to rule in favour of the insurers with respect to the pollution exclusion, loss of use exclusion, the work product exclusion, the sistership exclusion and with regard to the fact that the underlying claims sought injunctive relief. This decision is also currently on appeal.

The next decision to be reached arose in the case of Pittsburgh Corning v. Travelers Indemnity, decided by Judge Giles in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania on January 20, 1988. This case also arose on cross motions for summary judgment.

Judge Giles found that the presence of asbestos in buildings did constitute property damage, as the asbestos became a part of the finished product and resulted in the diminution in the value of the building. However, Judge Giles ruled that discovery of damage was the proper trigger, as he concluded that there was no property damage until the presence of the asbestos material had been discovered and the market value of the property declined.

This decision is at present not final as there are other issues outstanding, but we anticipate appeals being filed when all issues have been resolved.

The next case to be decided was W.R. Grace & Co. v. Continental Casualty, decided by Judge Fisher in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Texas, Beaumont Division on February 4, 1988. Grace and other manufacturers had been named as defendants in a consolidated school district action which involved 83 separate school districts. Grace filed a third-party action against its insurers up to the $75 million layer who provided primary and excess coverage during the period 1978-1984.

Grace settled with the school districts for a total of $47 million, and immediately moved for summary judgment against the insurers. This summary judgment motion was filed prior to any of the insurers filing answers, and prior to any significant discovery being permitted. Despite this premature motion by Grace, Judge Fisher ruled in favour of the plaintiff W.R. Grace on all issues.

Significantly, Judge Fisher ruled that, as the excess carriers had refused to participate with Grace in the settlement, they were bound by the allegations in the underlying complaints. He found that these complaints alleged continuous property damage, and thus all policies in effect from installation to removal were triggered. Judge Fisher permitted Grace to select the policy year against which to assert its claims, and Grace has selected the 1961-1982 year. Grace is in the process of entering judgment for the amount of the settlement plus pre-judgment interest and when the judgment is finalised an appeal to the Fifth Circuit will be filed.

The final coverage decision involved Carey Canada/Celotex Corn. v. Aetna Casualty & Surety, decided by Judge Pratt from the District of Columbia District Court on March 31, 1988. The case also arose on cross-motions for summary judgment. Judge Pratt decided that Florida law was applicable, and he further held that decisions on whether asbestos in buildings constituted property damage and trigger of coverage could only be decided in the context of the underlying cases. Judge Pratt accordingly declined to order summary judgment. He ordered the parties to conduct additional limited discovery on these issues, following which a summary judgment order would be issued. There are strong indications in Judge Pratt's opinion that he considers that asbestos building claims do constitute property damage and that ~ triple trigger would be applicable.

Judge Pratt found that the own products, sistership and warranty exclusions were not applicable. However, he did find that a further factual record needed to be developed for him to make a decision as to whether the pollution exclusion was applicable.

As this decision is not yet final, no appeal has yet been filed.

In summary then, there is no clear trend to date in the asbestos building claims declaratory actions. However, it does appear that courts will find that asbestos in buildings constitutes property damage, and the likelihood seems to be that at least some courts will rule that a Keene type rule of coverage will apply in these cases. We will comment further on these developments as these cases move through the appellate courts.

In addition, there are approximately 14 other declaratory actions pending in which coverage for asbestos building claims is at issue. Some of these cases involve the London Market. The only case in which a full trial has been held has been in the California Co-ordinated Proceeding involving the claims against Armstrong World Industries. A decision in this case is imminent and is likely to be widely cited in other declaratory actions.

V. Major Defendants in Property Damage Litigation

There are no definitive studies yet available to indicate which asbestos manufacturers and producers of asbestos building products will bear the greatest exposure in the nation-wide property damage litigation. The cases tried to date have generally involved only manufacturers whose products were sold to buildings in the southern states. It may be that other manufacturers will have substantial exposure for the sale of asbestos containing products to buildings in other areas of the country.

Nevertheless we have learned that National Gypsum and U.S. Gypsum had a substantial share of the asbestos acoustical tile products installed in buildings and particularly school buildings. We can also confirm that W.R. Grace was a prominent vendor of asbestos fireproofing products throughout the country. We are advised that National Gypsum, Celotex and Turner & Newell also were large producers of fireproofing products and that U.S. Mineral Products was a large manufacturer of fireproofing materials in the east and particularly in New York. We are also advised that Pfizer sold a widely used acoustical plaster ceiling product.

We can report that Johns Manville in its bankruptcy proceedings has been sued for $62 billion dollars by 9,031 property damage claimants. However, because of the injunction against litigation in the bankruptcy matter we have been unable to ascertain its particular products involved or the approximate market share of these products.

(We can report that Johns-Manville in its bankruptcy proceedings has been sued for $62,000,000,000 by 9,031 property damage claimants. ...)

VI. 1987 Year-End Reserves

In connection with our 1987 year-end reports, we submitted a combined reserve recommendation for both school buildings and non-school buildings, which include commercial buildings, colleges and universities, hospitals, government-owned buildings and other private and public commercial buildings. Based upon information available at that time, we calculated that approximately 739,425,777 square feet of friable asbestos required removal. We utilised an average removal cost of $12.50 per square foot and calculated the total potential for school and non-school claims at $9,242,822,210.

Underwriters will recall that we considered that the asbestos product manufacturers should have valid defences in certain of these cases and that the insurers would have some success in defending the declaratory judgment coverage actions. Therefore discounted this overall number to a total of $2.5 billion ($2,500,000,000) for reserving purposes.

We then spread the $2.5 billion estimate over the seven major accounts which appeared then to have the greatest exposure, i.e., W.R. Grace, National Gypsum, U.S. Gypsum, Celotex, Keene, Owens Corning and GAF The overall reserves were allocated to each of these accounts on a percentage basis, with the three major defendants, W.R. Grace, U.S. Gypsum and National Gypsum, each being allocated a 20% share and the other major manufacturers being allocated lesser percentage shares.

The amounts allocated to each of these assureds were then spread over the coverage block on a modified triple trigger basis, with higher percentages being allocated to the more current years of coverage. As with other asbestos reserving, no recommendations were made for IBNR: and there was no carry-forward of spill-over if losses exceeded available coverage in a given year as is done with Facility bodily injury reserves.

( ... In view of the IBNR factor and the discounting for possible successful defences both in the underlying and coverage actions we are now recommending a total 1988 reserve for school building claims in the sum of $2bn.)

VII. 1988 Year-End Reserves

While we still do not have sufficient factual data for a complete and accurate projection of reserves, we do have additional details which were not available in prior years. Based upon this information, we are for 1988 purposes analysing the school district claims separately from the non-school claims, and we have arrived at separate reserve recommendations for each category. We also believe that we now have some reasonable information regarding the product involvement of various manufacturers to arrive at separate percentage allocations for various assureds for schools and for non-school claims.

A. School Claims

As noted above, the current estimate provided by the EPA is that approximately 35,000 school buildings contain friable asbestos which will require removal. The total amount of asbestos involved is reported to be approximately 169,000,000 square feet. This represents a reduction from our 1987 year-end projections, when we were dealing with a universe of approximately 110,000 schools.

The EPA estimates that the cost of full compliance with the AHERA requirements will be approximately $3 billion. We consider that there is some IBNR factor in this estimate, as all of the school districts have not filed claims or suits. However, in view of the national school class action, various city and state actions, as well as individual school actions, we do consider that a high percentage of the schools have either filed suits or presented claims against various manufacturers.

We further consider that there continues to be some possibility that the asbestos product manufacturers will prevail in at least some of the underlying claims, and that there is a real possibility that the insurers will prevail in at least some of the declaratory coverage actions.

Thus in view of the IBNR factor and the discounting for possible successful defences both in the underlying and coverage actions we are now recommending a total 1988 reserve for school building claims in sum of $2 billion.

B. Non-School Buildings

We have advised herein that the EPA has conducted a survey of 3.6 million public and commercial buildings, exclusive of buildings owned by states or municipal units, and it has concluded that 20% or 733,000 of these buildings contain friable asbestos. The EPA has concluded that if the non-school buildings were required to comply with the inspection, testing, maintenance and removal requirements of the AHERA school legislation the total cost over a 30 year period would be $51.2 billion.. This figure includes the following cost items

(In view of the IBNR factor and the discounting for possible successful defences both in the underlying and coverage actions we are now recommending a total 1988 reserve for non school building claims in the sum of $2bn. The EPA has concluded that if the 733,000 (20% of 3.6 million public and commercial buildings) non-school buildings were required to comply with the inspection, testing, maintenance and removal requirements of the AHERA school legislation the total cost over a 30 year period would be $51-2bn.)

Page 17 missing

Finally, we would point out that our present estimates do not include a loading for defence expenses. Many of the primary policies for the major defendants contain separate limits of liability for bodily injury and property damage and, as a result, many of the primaries continue to defend their assureds at the present time. However, as primary limits become exhausted in the future it will be necessary for us to include some allowance for defence expenses for the excess layer insurers.

C. Allocation to Assureds

We have reviewed complaints filed against three of the more heavily involved defendants, W.R. Grace, U.S. Gypsum and Celotex, and we have surveyed the frequency with which various manufacturers have been named as defendants. Beyond the top four or five target defendants, the potential liability exposure of the various manufacturers is unknown and therefore impossible to quantify. We have accordingly used the frequency with which the manufacturers have been named as defendants as an indicator of their ultimate potential involvement.

We can advise that a review of the 209 property damage cases in our possession reveals that the following manufacturers have been the most frequently named defendants:

(We have reviewed complaints filed against three of the more heavily involved defendants, W. R. Grace, U. S. Gypsum and Celotex, and have surveyed the frequency with which various manufacturers have been named as defendants. Beyond the top four or five target defendants, the potential liability exposure of the various manufacturers is unknown and, therefore, impossible to quantify. We have accordingly used the most frequency with which the manufacturers have been named as defendants as an indicator of their ultimate potential involvement.

... a review of the 209 property damage cases in the possession of the two firms of Attorneys, Lord, Bissell & Brook and Mendes & Mount reveals that the following manufacturers have been the most frequently named defendants:)

W. R. Grace

190

Nicolet

101

U. S. Gypsum

178

Dana Corp.

100

Celotex

151

H. K. Porter

99

Pfizer

150

Flintkote

98

National Gypsum

129

Combustion-Engineering

94

Owens Corning

118

Pittsburgh-Corning

94

Keene

118

AC&S

93

U. S. Mineral Products

115

Turner & Newall

90

GAF

114

Standard Asbestos

85

Armstrong World

107

Basic, Inc.

73

Eagle-Picher

107

Georgia Pacific

73

Raybestos-Manhattan

104

Proko (RPM)

61

Carey-Canada

102

Kaiser Cement

52

Owens-Illinois

102

ASARCO

27

Fibreboard

101

Vermont Asbestos

11

As the products used in schools differ from those used in commercial buildings, we have established two separate tier rankings, one for defendants potentially involved in school cases and one for defendants potentially involved in the non-school cases. While most assureds are involved with products which are used in both categories of property, the percentages may differ for each category based upon the products involved. We attach as Exhibits A and B our proposed tier ranking for each of these classes of claims.

The total amount allocated to each assured is determined by calculating the assured’s potential involvement in school claims and adding said amount to the potential involvement for non-school claims. For example, W.R. Grace has been allocated a 25% share of school building claims, which would generate a potential involvement of $500,000,000 and a potential involvement in non-school claims of 20% or $400,000,000 for a total potential involvement of $900,000,000.

We will continue to monitor claims against the various manufacturers in order to be able to refine our allocation system in the future. However, as will be noted, we are for 1988 year-end purposes allocating reserves to 30 manufacturers for school buildings and to 27 manufacturers for non-school buildings. It will be recalled that in 1987 we allocated property damage reserves to only seven of the major manufacturers.

D. Allocation to Policy Years

As with our 1987 year-end reserves we are again allocating to policy years on a modified triple trigger approach. While there is as yet no clear appellate authority on the trigger of coverage for property damage claims, we consider that some of the courts will likely adopt a trigger of coverage which would involve all policies from installation to removal of the asbestos-containing material.

As in 1987 we will allocate reserves to policy years commencing with the first effective date of coverage or with the first date of assured’s involvement with an asbestos containing product and with a coverage block ending for all assureds no later than 1983. We are assuming that all building owners should have discovered by 1983 the presence of asbestos-containing materials in their buildings as well as the need to abate the problem.

It is clear that more buildings will be involved in the later years. Therefore we are allocating higher percentages to the later coverage years and lower percentages to the earlier years. For example, for the W.R. Grace account, 10% of the reserves will be allocated to the years 1950 -1960, 30% will be allocated to the years 1960-1972 and the remaining 60% will be allocated to the years 1972 - 1983.

These property damage reserves will be applied in addition to any existing bodily injury reserves and will for present purposes be assumed to attach after the attachment of bodily injury reserves.

We are not carrying forward any "spill-over" as is done with Facility bodily injury claims. Therefore, should the assured be uninsured in a given year, or should policy limits be otherwise exhausted or fully reserved, the amount of reserve attaching to said year will not be carried forward to years where there are limits available.

(As with our 1987 year-end reserves we are again allocating to policy years on a modified triple trigger approach. While there is as yet no clear appellate authority on the trigger of coverage for property damage claims, we consider that some of the courts will likely adopt a trigger of coverage which would involve all policies from installation to removal of the asbestos-containing material.

As in 1987, we will allocate reserves to policy years commencing with the first effective date of coverage or with the first date of assured’s involvement with an asbestos containing product and with a coverage block ending for all assureds no later than 1983. We are assuming that all building owners should have discovered by 1983 the presence of asbestos-containing materials in their buildings as well as the need to abate the problem.

It is clear that more buildings will be involved in the later years. Therefore, we are allocating higher percentages to the later coverage years and lower percentages to the earlier years. For example, for the W. R. Grace account, 10% of the reserves will be allocated for the years 1950 - 1960, 30% will be allocated to the years 1960 - 1972 and the remaining 60% will be allocated to the years 1972 - 1983.

These property damage reserves will be applied in addition to any existing bodily injury reserves and will for present purposes be assumed to attach after the attachment of bodily injury reserves.

We are not carrying forward any "spillage" as is done with Facility bodily injury claims. Therefore, should one assured be uninsured in a given year, or should policy limits be otherwise exhausted or fully reserved, the amount of reserves attaching to said year will not be carried forward to years where there are limits available.)

CONCLUSION

Asbestos property damage claims continue to present a growing problem to the insurance industry. It. is a problem which is at present impossible to accurately quantify. However, EPA projections for both school and. non-school buildings suggest significant. potential damages. There have been more than 200 suits filed by building owners to date and many involve thousands of buildings. While there have been only a limited number of settlements and judgments, the amounts paid are in excess of $100 million.

Insurers have generally not prevailed in the declaratory coverage actions arising out of these building claims. However, there have been some limited successes and we anticipate that future decisions will not all be unfavourable.

On the basis of the foregoing, we are recommending for the Market's year-end reserve purposes a total reserve of $4 billion for property damage indemnity claims, with the caveat that this recommendation does not include any IBNR factor. Our reports on the individual accounts will include an allocation of this overall reserve to the various involved assureds.

We will continue to .keep the Market advised of developments.

(Asbestos property damage claims continue to present a growing problem to the insurance industry. It is a problem which is at present impossible to accurately quantify. However, EPA projections for both school and non-school buildings suggest significant potential damage. There have been more than 200 suits filed by building owners to date and many involve thousands of buildings. While there have been only a limited number of settlements and judgements, the amounts paid are in excess of $100,000,000. Insurers have generally not prevailed in the declaratory coverage actions arising out of these building claims. However, there have been some limited successes and we anticipate that future decisions will not all be unfavourable.

On the basis of the foregoing, we are recommending for the market’s year-end reserve purposes a total reserve of U.S. $4bn for property damage indemnity claims, with the caveat that this recommendation does not include any IBNR factor. Our reports on the individual accounts will include an allocation of this overall reserve to the various involved assureds.)

Exhibit A:

 

Assured Tier Ranking

School Building

 

Non-School Building Claims

 

1.

W. R. Grace

25.0%

 

20.0%

 
 

U. S. Gypsum

20.0%

 

10.0%

 
 

National Gypsum

20.0%

 

10.0%

 
 

Manville

----

65.0%

10.0%

50.0%

11.

Manville

5.0%

 

----

 
 

Celotex

5.0%

 

5.0%

 
 

Pfizer

5.0%

 

----

 
 

Turner & Newall

----

 

5.0%

 
 

U.S. Mineral

----

15.0%

5.0%

15.0%

111.

Owens Corning

1.0 %

 

2.0%

 
 

Keene

1.0%

 

2.0%

 
 

U. S. Mineral

1.0%

 

----

 
 

GAF

1.0%

 

2.0%

 
 

Armstrong

1.0%

 

2.0%

 
 

Eagle Picher

1.0%

 

2.0%

 
 

Raybestos

1.0%

 

----

 
 

Carey Canada

1.0%

 

2.0%

 
 

Owens-Illinois

1.0%

 

2.0%

 
 

H. K. Porter

----

 

2.0%

 
 

Flintkote

----

 

2.0%

 
 

Pittsburgh-Corning

----

9.0%

2.0%

20.0%

1V.

Fibreboard

0.5%

 

1.0%

 
 

Nicolet

0.5%

 

----

 
 

Dana

0.5%

 

----

 
 

H. K. Porter

0.5%

 

----

 
 

Flintkote

0.5%

 

----

 
 

Combustion Engineering

0.5%

 

1.0%

 
 

Pittsburgh-Corning

0.5%

 

----

 
 

AC&S

0.5%

 

1.0%

 
 

Turner & Newall

0.5%

 

----

 
 

Georgia Pacific

0.5%

 

----

 
 

Wilkin Insulation

0.5%

 

----

 
 

Proko

0.5%

 

1.0%

 
 

ASARCO/LAQ

0.5%

 

----

 
 

ASARCO

----

 

1.0%

 
 

Kaiser Cement

0.5%

 

1.0%

 
 

Vermont Asbestos

0.5%

7.5%

----

 
 

Pfizer

----

 

1.0%

 
 

Raybestos

----

 

1.0%

 
 

Standard

----

 

1.0%

 
 

Basic

----

 

1.0%

10.0%

V.

Miscellaneous

3.5%

3.5%

5.0%

5.0%

 

Total

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

88

Approximately 1,750 Members of Lloyd’s decide to resign as at 31 December 1988.

1 Aug 88.

Toplis & Harding (Market Services) Ltd: letter to Insurers at Interest, signed by R A G Jackson.

I wish to advise you that representatives of Mendes & Mount and Lord Bissell & Brook recently attended the annual meeting that takes place with representatives of the Asbestos Working Party to consider the developments that have occurred over the past year in dealing with asbestos related losses and more particularly to determine the reserve philosophy to be adopted for projected reserves for the forthcoming year end. Bearing in mind the difficulties which we have encountered during the course of this year in the Asbestos Claim Facility, you will appreciate that a number of problem areas arise in this regard. Not only has it been necessary to consider the potential financial impact of the seven major Producers departure from the Facility, but in addition the increased defence burden that will now arise on the withdrawing Producers even assuming that the remaining twenty nine Producers succeed in forming a new claims handling organisation. In addition our representatives conducted a full review of the significant problems which now confront the Insurance Industry in regard to potential liabilities arising from Asbestos Property Damage. The outcome of the meetings that took place during the last week in June were considered at a recent meeting of the Asbestos Working Party at which a representative from Mendes & Mount was in attendance. After detailed consideration of the proposed approach recommended by our representatives, both in regard to Bodily Injury and Property Damage, it was concluded that the approach that they propose is realistic in the light of developments. In these circumstances I am now enclosing with this letter detailed reports in regard to Bodily Injury and Property Damage reserves in which our representatives set out at length the considerations that it has been necessary for them to address and the conclusions which they have reached which will form the basis upon which year end reserve projections will be made.

So far as Bodily Injury claims are concerned the Working Party are encouraged to see that there is a noticeable reduction developing in average settlement costs and but for the increased reserve levels necessary to address defence obligations by reason of the dissolution of the Facility it would have been likely that there would have been little movement in year end reserves. Unfortunately the provision necessary to cater for increased defence costs will result in increases coming forward to the Market although as our representatives emphasise, with the changes that have taken place in the generic share formula it is not easy at this stage to measure how these increases will impact on the Market. One feature that should be borne in mind is that reserves will no longer be necessary in regard to Facility Surcharge and to an extent this will offset the increases that are likely to arise.

We have all been aware of the significant increase in activity relating to Asbestos Property Damage and our representatives have now developed greater in-depth detail of the problems. Clearly while the amounts being referred to arising from the EPA study are enormous the significant question is if and to what extent will liability attach to contracts to which we subscribe. We are hopeful that the reserve spreading basis recommended over a larger number of defendants will in the main prove more bearable.

This year’s reserve meeting was advanced by one month in order to provide more time for our representatives to prepare their year end reports and it is still my hope that the final reports will be received no later than mid November. However the Market must appreciate that the current volume being handled involves some fifty direct accounts; in addition the reinsurance involvements are steadily increasing in number and at this year end are likely to be in excess of 400 separate accounts. All year end reports will be reviewed by either the Direct or Reinsurance Claims Committee of the Working Party prior to despatch to the-Market and we will use every effort to ensure that delays are kept to the minimum to ensure speedy receipt by the Market.

Two specific housekeeping matters developed out of the recent meetings. The first of which relates to the unacceptable delays still arising in the London Market in responding to the fees and expenses incurred by our legal representatives. Frankly The Working Party is appalled at the substantial amounts that are due and more particularly the length of time which many had been outstanding. In the main this is a problem created by the failure of Lloyd’s Brokers to process collections in an efficient manner but it is also necessary that we do recognise that these are commitments for which insurers have a direct obligation. There are new schemes being introduced into the Lloyd’s Market which at long last will enable direct payment of fees to be accomplished and it is my intention to ensure that the outstanding obligations we have incurred in connection with the handling of asbestos will be brought within the ambit of these new procedures as soon as practical. In the meantime if any Underwriter or Company is aware of fees being held up will they please take whatever action they can to see our representatives are paid.

The second aspect relates to the processing of these claims through Toplis & Harding (Market Services) Ltd. With the developing volume of reports and the handling of Facility billings, the work load in the Asbestos Department of the Service Company has been steadily increasing and it has been necessary to supplement the staff in order to discharge the Company’s obligations to the Market. This has been particularly essential to ensure that year end reports are dispatched as soon as possible. Inevitably this has created an increase in overheads and problems have not been made easier by the fluctuations in rates of exchange, bearing in mind that so much of the expenses have been billed in U.S. Dollars. You will observe in the attached reports that the 1989 budget necessary for the Company to continue to fulfil the role they play in the overall asbestos problem has now increased to slightly in excess of £600,000. As a result there will be some increase charged across all involved accounts in the next round of billings that are received from our U.S. representatives but in the context of the enormous amounts at stake. I do not feel that they are unreasonable.

May I now turn to the matters to which I referred in my last letter dated 26 May in which I provided to you details of the manner in which it was proposed to address the problems of the Asbestos Claim Facility. The Agreement which was circulated to the Market was subject to a slight amendment and as a result the sign-up dates were moved forward to the 15 June in regard to all parties other than London who were required to make a commitment no later than 30 June. I can now confirm that with the exception of Keene, GAF, H.K. Porter, Liberty Mutual and Reliance, all remaining members of the Facility have subscribed to the Agreement and under the voting procedures in respect to Producer and Insurer membership, the necessary majority has been achieved to enable the Agreement to so forward. Our Board representatives are now involved with our Counsel in dealing with the complex issues that will arise in the dissolution process. Under Delaware law the winding up process will continue for three years during which time the Facility has to address all matters that relate to liabilities incurred prior to the 3 October 1988 date or dissolution. These will arise cut of structured settlements which call for future payments and more particularly in regard to cases which are presently pending on appeal. One of the essential requirements that will be imposed on the Facility is that there be no delay in the payment of sums that ultimately become due to claimants and it may well prove necessary for the Board to recommend to the membership that there be an extension to the present advance system used on monthly Facility billings. Once these aspects have been fully developed I will provide you with details of the implications to the London Market.

Considerable effort is being expended by the Group of Producers who wish to establish a new claims handling organisation and we are advised that their proposals will be provided to the Board no later than the beginning of August. It has yet to be determined whether proposals will contemplate an organisation which insurers will find appealing enough to justify their support. However whether by a new organisation or otherwise, some arrangement must be in place to succeed the existing Facility on its demise on the 3 October 1988 date. With the short time frame available, and if the Asbestos Working Party conclude that the proposals warrant Market consideration, I am hopeful that full details of Producers’ proposals will be distributed no later than the middle of August. Thereafter it would be my intention to call a Market meeting to determine whether there is sufficient support to justify the participation of the London Market and to discuss alternatives should we not be able to support the proposed organisation. I would ask that you note in your diaries that this meeting will probably have to take place on the morning of either Wednesday 31 August or Monday 5 September. I appreciate both dates are still within the holiday season but it is of material importance that you do arrange for a representative from your organisation to attend who has the necessary authority to make a commitment on your behalf if indeed the proposals do justify that consideration.

I apologise for the length of this letter once again but these matters are of considerable significance in relation to this Market’s involvement in the on-going problems that have arisen out of asbestos.

1 Aug 88

Lord, Bissell & Brook and Mendes & Mount report to "Underwriters at Interest" c/- of Toplis & Harding (Market Services) Ltd in relation to the 1988 year end reserves of various Asbestos Accounts.

(and advise that there has been much speculation that some, or possibly all of the remaining 29 members of the Asbestos Claims Facility (ACF) are anxious to restructure the existing organisation to produce a viable claims handling unity. No proposals have been made public to date although we are aware that there appears to be unity within the group on a claims handling philosophy much in line with the original objectives of the Facility. One of the major considerations must inevitably be whether a group which represents only 28% of the former membership will be able to attain the same degree of success as the Facility had in containing settlement levels. Most of the seven major producers express the view that in the outside would, they believe they can reduce the financial outlay presently incurred within the Facility. The Centre for Claims Resolutions, was established on 3 October 1988, by only 22 producer members constituting some 18.8% of the former ACF and 12% of the asbestos industry.)

Historically, shipyards have represented the most significant occupation from which claims arose. Many such exposures arose at a time of the major war effort during World War 2 and it is now becoming clear that by the passage of time, claims from this source have peaked and that we shall continue to see a decline in new cases from shipyard workers as we move into the future. During the same time frame, there has been a noticeable increase in cases emanating from Insulators and particularly those in the construction industry. In addition, new areas have developed from which formerly little claims activity had been seen and this is particular evident in Steel manufacturing and in connection with the use of talc in the moulding of tires in the Rubber Industry.

Although the point has not yet been reached that would require indemnity payments on the claims arising from these new occupational; exposures, certain Producers who have not supplied asbestos products to the rubber and steel industries expressed grave concern that unless generic shares were revised, they would become responsible for a share of indemnity settlements on occupations which had not been taken into consideration in the initial calculations

By way of introduction to the considerations that arise it is, we believe, helpful to record the movement in the number of claims which represent the asbestos universe at annual intervals:-

 

No of Claims

No of claims

Green Card/

 

Year To

Outstanding

Closed

Pleural

Asbestos Universe

1985 March

30,000

     

1985 June

 

6,000

   

1986

     

54,058

1986 December

42,000

     

1987 December

56,861

22,561

6,581

86,003

1988 May

71,161

22,561

6,581

100,303

1988 September

 

23,400

8,200

 

1988 December

     

98,222 Projected

1988 October

73,200

23,400

8,200

104,800

1989 May

62,500

39,801

8,200

110,501

Insofar as the current year is concerned, the universe of claims breaks down as follows:-

Closed claims to December 1987

13,172

Closed claims January-May 1988

3,899

Total closed claims

16,561

Open claims at May 1988

71,161

 

87,722

Projected claims June-December

10,500

 

98,222

We also believe that it will take at least five years to dispose of the 81,661 outstanding claims in so far as the Group of 29 are concerned.

For purpose of comparison, claims processed by Green Cards, Pleural Registry, and those subject to dismissal without prejudice have been excluded from the above figures. The total costs incurred by the Facility to discharge indemnity obligations on 16,561 claims amounted to $1,050,499,572, which sum produces an overall average settlement cost of $63,432. However, it must be borne in mind that the very high settlement cost that it was necessary to incur to dispose of the Texas Class Action did have an adverse impact upon average per case costs, for by extracting Texas from consideration, we observe that the settlement costs to dispose of 15,811 claims totalled $957,499,572, which produces an average per claim figure of $60,559 thus we are satisfied that in the light of the information then available that projection has proven realistic. However, a number of significant developments have come about during the past year which require us to reassess our reserving approach quite apart from the uncertainties that exists as to whether a Facility concept will survive.)

Lord, Bissell & Brook and Mendes & Mount - Re: 1988 Year End Reserves Report to Underwriters at Interest

In keeping with existing practice we submit herewith for Underwriters’ consideration our annual report providing the Market with a summary of developments which have occurred over the past year in the general handling of asbestos-related claims. As in former years we have worked very closely with Lord Bissell & Brook in preparing the following summary and the views, observations and recommendations that are presented represent the combined efforts of our respective firms. It is our collective view that considering the myriad problems that are developing in regard to property damage that the Market’s interests would be better served by our dealing with those matters by way of a separate report and thus the following will only be concerned with the bodily injury aspects of asbestos litigation. It is our understanding that this report and the one relating to property damage will be circulated to the Market under cover of a letter from the Chairman of the Asbestos Working Party which will provide information in regard to any subsequent developments particularly to the extent they may bear upon the observations we make.

It is our intention to deal with the unfortunate events that have led to the demise of the Asbestos Claim Facility and the uncertainties that this creates in endeavouring to provide realistic reserve projections for the purpose of Year End reports. Many complex issues have to be addressed and we shall attempt to provide full explanations of the rationale which forms the basis that we recommend be adopted for reserve projections. Finally we will review:

III.

Toplis & Harding (Market Services) Ltd.,

IV.

Significant Developments In Coverage Litigation Involving Asbestos-Related Bodily Injury Matters, and

V.

Reinsurance Considerations

I. Asbestos Claim Facility

We are aware that the Chairman of the Asbestos Working Party has reported at regular intervals on the many problems that have developed within the Asbestos Claim Facility during the immediately preceding 12 month period. It is our view that the Facility represents the only practical and effective way in which the never before encountered volume of underlying tort claims can be properly adjusted and disposed of in the most expeditious manner to all concerned. The virtual trebling of the outstanding case load since its inception in June 1985 has imposed significant burdens upon the Facility’s operation and had been directly responsible for the dissension which arose from certain of the Producer membership and this has ultimately led to the Board’s decision to dissolve the Facility on or before 3 October 1988. While this may seem inevitable that the substantial liabilities facing all asbestos Producers and its concomitant financial impact, which brought solvency considerations directly into play and would dictate self-serving conclusions, the irony of the situation is that if the Facility was justifiable in 1985 it is even more justifiable today. The fact the Producer imposed restraints prevented the Facility from developing into a true alternative to the tort system as had been its laudable principal objective must not be allowed to dilute the success that the Facility did achieve. It is noteworthy that during the two and a half years in which the Facility has been involved in handling underlying cases, it was instrumental in processing over 90% of the outstanding cases that it assumed control over on the first day of its operation in June 1985. Although the manner in which it was required to operate resulted in defence costs reaching levels claimed to be far too high in the view of many members, when one considers that what with the enormous increase in case filings, defence costs would have been dramatically higher had it not been for the co-ordinated defence mechanism which was provided by the Facility.

We do not propose to develop the many discrete issues that have led to dissolution, except to the extent that those issues now impact upon reserve considerations. The following aspects we consider material:

1. Generic Share

It will be recalled that the generic share formulae used to allocate indemnity and defence cost payments over all Producer members was based upon a confidential extensive review conducted by an independent concern of the historical settlement data of all participants developed up to September 1983. Detailed analysis was made of each Producer’s experience in regard to settlement levels, defence cost obligations and their varying involvement in the occupational source and geographical areas from which claims arose. From the results achieved it was possible to develop a generic share applicable to all claims for each Producerwhich share was comparable to the outlays they would sustain in respect of these matters where they were named defendants. The fact that each Producer before the inception of the Facility conducted independent study of the proposed share allocated to them, and ultimately concluded that it was equitable leads us to conclude that the formulae did reflect the world as it then was.

During the course of 1987 it became apparent that there was developing a gradual change in the occupational source from which new suits were arising.

Historically Shipyards had represented the most significant occupation from which claims arose. Many such exposures rose at a time of the major war effort during World War II and it is now becoming clear that by the passage of time claims from this source have peaked and that we shall continue to-see a decline in new cases from shipyard workers as we move into the future. During the same time frame there has been a noticeable increase in cases emanating from Insulators and particularly those in the Construction Industries. In addition new areas have developed from which formerly little claims activity had been seen and this is particularly evident in Steel manufacturing and in connection with the use of talc in the moulding of tyres in the Rubber Industry.

Although the point has not yet been reached that would require indemnity payments on the claims arising from these new occupational exposures, certain Producers who had not supplied asbestos products to the rubber and steel industries expressed grave concern that unless generic shares were revised, they would become responsible for a share of indemnity settlements on occupations which had not been taken into consideration in the initial calculations. Defence costs did not at that stage raise the same concerns among those Producers for they always had to contend with being named as a defendant in actions where they had not been a supplier. The concerns of Producers were sharply focused when Owens Corning gave notice of withdrawal effective October 1987. As a result two outside consultants were commissioned to conduct a six-month review of trends to determine how best to address the changing sources of new arisings. Their findings were provided in confidence to Board Members in March l988 and confirmed that changes would need to be made to the manner in which future settlements are allocated and that the defence cost allocations would also require some revision to maintain the relationship between Producers most named in the new occupational suits being filed.

To more correctly reflect the evolving environment the consultants considered that it would be necessary to give separate consideration to the outstanding claims which were filed in the following major time frames:

Period 1

Pre- 30 September 1983

Period 2

1 October 1983 - 19 June 1985

Period 3

20 June 1985 - 19 June 1986

Period 4

20 June 1986 - 30 September 1987

Period 5

1 October 1987 onwards

In addition, in reviewing the claim filings during the foregoing periods separate consideration was given to the occupational source from which these matters emanated. The occupational sources fell into the following six categories:

1.

Shipyards

 

2.

Insulation

 
 

a)

Insulator

 

b)

Refinery/Oil

 

c)

Power Plant

 

d)

Chemical Plant

3.

Construction

 
 

a)

Construction

 

b)

Plaster/Sprayer

 

c)

Sheet Metal

4.

Other

 
 

a)

Railroad

 

b)

Plant Worker

 

c)

Friction

 

d)

Maintenance

 

e)

Bystander

 

f)

Others

5.

Rubber

 

6.

Steel

 

From the results thus derived the consultants were able to analyse the involvement of each Producer over the respective periods and to ascertain the extent to which each was involved in supplying asbestos-related products to the occupations concerned. The findings that came out of the study firstly confirmed the correctness of the indemnity shares allocated at the inception of the Facility which had been based upon pre-September 1983 historic data. Bearing in mind that there remain open claims to be addressed on filings made prior to that time, it was their recommendation that the existing allocation continue in respect of indemnity amounts to be incurred in connection with that category of open claims. Secondly, it was determined that there was a change developing in the occupational mix of filings in Period 2 commencing in October 1983 which remained consistent until June 1986, being the cut off point of Period 3. In order fully to reflect the changes that were becoming apparent, the consultants were able to develop a separate generic share for each Producer in each of the first four occupational groups to be applied to future indemnity settlements in respect to claims filed in Periods 2 and 3. Attention was then directed to the gradual change in occupational mix on claims filed in Period 4, representing the time frame June 1986 to September 1987, and again they were able to calculate a revised series of indemnity generic shares for each Producer in each of the first four occupational categories. Since at this stage insufficient data has been developed to provide generic share revisions to claims arising in Period 5, it was the consultants’ recommendation that the shares adopted on Period 4 be continued on an interim basis.

Insofar as the generic shares in respect to defence costs are concerned, the principal consideration relates to the number of times a given Producer is a named defendant in claim filings. Inevitably as the filing pattern has changed, it has resulted in some Producers being named more often than in the past, whereas others have seen a decline. In order to reflect these changes over the Periods involved, revisions have been made to each Producer’s share in respect to defence costs for Periods 2, 3and 4.

Due to the fact that we are in an early stage of discovery in the claims arising from the remaining two occupational categories, namely Rubber and Steel, significant defendants are not yet identified. It is highly questionable whether the claims that are arising will prove to be meritorious and the main emphasis at this stage will be on the defence effort. To determine how best to deal with the allocation of costs that will arise, the consultants reviewed how often each Producer was named in suits filed to date, and after eliminating those Producers named in less than five percent of cases, they identified 22 Producers as being significant. Pending the identification of those Producers who were involved in the supply of asbestos-related products during the course of future discovery, it has been proposed that defence costs be shared on a per capita basis over the 22 Producers involved.

The bottom line of the study is that generic shares with respect to indemnity have become variable, both as to the time of filing and the occupational source from which they arise. Although the Facility as originally constituted will dissolve in October 1988, we are satisfied that the in-depth study carried out by the consultants does provide a reliable guide to the potential indemnity costs a Producer is likely to face in a post-Facility environment when confronted with those lawsuits in which they are a named defendant. This conclusion is material to the considerations that arise in dealing with the projections we recommend later in this report detailed under the heading "a) Indemnity Reserves".

As explained at the beginning of this section of our report, the aforenoted study was undertaken to ensure that no Producer would be required to meet indemnity payments disproportionate to his potential exposure to the diverse areas from which claims arise. The effect of these changes would have given some relief to some of the seven major Producers who had been pressing most strongly for reappraisal. However, the contemplated revisions have also substantially increased the shares originally allotted to some of the smaller Producers, and this is particularly so on certain occupational sources where smaller Producers are becoming very significant participants. This is of particular significance to the London Market subscribing accounts such as

U. S. Gypsum

National Gypsum

in relation to the claims now arising from the Construction Industry, which effectively means that they sustain a significant increase in loss potential from this source.

2. Settlement Activity

The Facility did make significant progress during the past year toward achieving its objective of getting the enormous volume of outstanding cases under control. The fact that this has been achieved during a time in which internal dissension predominated is a tribute to the staff of the Facility acting under the sound leadership of Larry Fitzpatrick in his role as acting Chief Executive Officer, for it is relevant to record that in any given week some 200 cases are scheduled for trial on the various Court dockets.

The dispositions since inception and the per case average payment achieved for both claims involving payments and dismissals with prejudice, is as follows:

YEAR

NUMBER OF CLAIMS

AVERAGE COST

1985

1,150

$ 62,546

1986

5,020

$ 56,632

1987

6,253

$ 63,820

1988 (up to May)

3,388

$ 60,710

Total

15,811

 

Plus Texas

750

$124,000

 

16,561

 

Of equal if not greater significance has been the increased use of Green Cards and the adoption by more States of a Pleural Registry. It will be recalled that these innovative methods deal with cases where the claimant’s present condition does not raise to the level of a compensable case. As such they should not be on the Court calendar at this time. Thus with Court approval the Statute of Limitations is tolled which will enable the claimant to return his case to an active status at some future date should his condition deteriorate due to his past exposure to asbestos. While claims in this category are not to be regarded as closed, it is encouraging to note that to date out of 6,085 Green Cards and Pleural Registry cases shown in the following table, only two cases subsequently developed into active claims:

 

Year

to Date

Inception

to Date

Green Cards

187

1,386

Pleural Registry

2,984

4,699

Dismissed without prejudice

496

496

 

3,667

6,581

One of the significant aspects of the above figures is that whereas since its inception the Facility has processed a total of 23,142 cases, it has to date made payment on less than 70% of that number. Although at this time last year the total number of cases processed by use of Green Cards or Pleural Registry amounted to 1,678 claims, which was not significant in the overall universe of 80,003 cases, with the trend that now appears to be developing, it is our view that an allowance for these cases is justified in our consideration of reserve projection, which will be discussed in greater detail later in this report.

Leaving aside the aberrational effect of the $93,000,000 Texas settlement, an analysis of paid average cost per case continues in the range of $60,000 to $64,000 - it will be recalled that last year end recommendations were based on $64,000 per claim estimate - with the driving force on average cost being the disease mix on claims being settled. Although the figures we record do not reflect it, the Facility has made great strides in resolving cases involving major disabilities such as mesothelioma and lung cancers. Their efforts in this direction have been so successful that their rate of settlement is now far in excess of new cases being reported of like severity. We feel that had the Facility been afforded a further year of operation, it is very probable that all mesothelioma cases would have been brought up to date. Conversely with the average settlement cost of a mesothelioma case ranging from $250,000 to $300,000, it becomes evident that the settlement activity in this area continues to keep average per claim costs overall at a somewhat artificially elevated level, a fact which has relevance in endeavouring to assess the value of the present volume of outstanding claims.

3. New Arisings

when the Facility commenced operations in June 1985, its opening inventory consisted of approximately 25,000 outstanding claims which were then pending against the Producer membership. During the years prior to inception, the new filing pattern was remarkably steady at 500 new claims per month. During 1985 an increase in plaintiff activity was experienced which gradually pushed the new monthly filings up to l,000 cases by the latter half of 1986. This accelerated pace continued during the first half of 1987 and reached a record level when well over 3,000 new claims were filed in the month of August. Thereafter new filings declined with the result that over the past ten months said filings have settled down to a rate of approximately 1,500 new suits per month. When one considers that for the purpose of last year’s reserve calculations, which were formulated in July, the projected new cases for 1987 was 24,000 the forecast held up remarkably well for it transpired that 23,950 cases were actually reported.

While it is still too early to hope that new claims may have peaked, we are nevertheless somewhat encouraged to observe that the rate of filings has not only declined since last year, but also reflects a consistent rate for the last ten months.

4. Surcharge

The Market has been advised by the Chairman of the Asbestos Working Party that the Facility has a potential tax liability of $18,000,000 arising from the 1985 fiscal tax year. The United States Internal Revenue Service seeks to challenge the Facility’s "not-for-profit" status by reason of the fact that the Facility retains part of the surcharge income in order to establish a two-year Operating Fund which was provided for in the terms of the Settlement Agreement. While this issue is now at the appellate stage, the tax advice received by the Facility is that the funds in hand should be used to meet operating costs so as to develop a tax offset. As a first step to achieve this, the Facility Comptroller recommended to the Board that effective 1 March 1988, surcharge levels be reduced from 8% to 3% and this adjustment is reflected in current billings we are advised that the Board reconsidered the position at the July Board Meeting and have adopted a further recommendation that surcharges be eliminatedas and from 1 July 1988. It has yet to be determined what the tax situation will when the Facility ends in October 1988 and, equally significant, what will happen to the balance then remaining in the Operating Fund. In view of these changes we will not be recommending a reservein respect to surchargein our Year End projections.

5. Future Considerations

Almost four years ago, members of this office in conjunction with representatives of Lord Bissell & Brook, and other United States representatives were asked to consider the implications, and benefits, that would inure to the Market by its participation in the Asbestos Claims Facility. The joint view of your advisers was that such an entity was the only way in which Producers and their insurers could confront the tremendous burden being imposed by the burgeoning claims volume and its concomitant financial drain. The progress achieved since that time has more than justified the views that co-ordination in the handling of defence and the settlement of claims would provide economies of scale but, of equal importance, would enable compensation to flow to those meritorious claims that had been waiting years for satisfaction. These views still hold good at the present time and we, therefore, regard the demise of the Facility as contrary to the interests of almost all participants. The unwillingness of the seven major Producers to adopt the sophistication of the revised generic shares is in our view short sighted. However, a number of considerations must now be addressed as we go into the future which can materially impact upon the London Market.

Most of the seven major Producers express the view that in the outside world they believe they can reduce the financial outlay presently incurred within the Facility. It may be that by adopting a more aggressive defence posture some may attain a reduction, although we venture to suggest that this may only be in the short term. The Courts have given a very clear message as to the concerns that arise from the collapse of the Facility, and our major reservation is that the seven Producers that have brought about dissolution may be selected against as cases come up for trial. On those accounts in which the London Market is involved, it is assumed that we shall be required to take on an active role in the future conduct of these matters. If this is the wish of the Market, we shall institute a system which will enable us to monitor handling by Producers’ Counsel to ensure that settlement efforts are pursued where indicated, and that cases are only allowed to go through the Court process where the underlying facts justify that course.

A major consideration for such Producers will be the significant increase in costs they will face by Counsel representation of their interests alone. We understand that discussions are now underway between Producers to develop a basis of Counsel sharing and to work collectively on such matters as interrogatories, medical testimony and depositions. All these areas will result in some economies, although co-operation could become short-lived if there is a resumption in the filing of cross-actions such as was experienced before the advent of the Facility.

It is important to bear in mind that departing Producers do take with them all of the benefits of the coverage provisions of the Asbestos Facility Agreement. The close monitoring of indemnity allocations and the status of accelerated cash flow arising under Signatory/Non-Signatory payments will still be necessary. We would strongly recommend that insurers make it obligatory for departing Producers to process their indemnity payments through the Facility data system as part of the control that will be necessary.

There has been much speculation that some, or possibly all of the remaining 29 members of the Facility are anxious to restructure the existing organisation to produce a viable claims handling entity. No proposals have been made public to date although we are aware that there appears to be unity within the Group on a claims handling philosophy much in line with the original objectives of the Facility. Due to our involvement on behalf of the Market over many years in addressing the asbestos problem, we are aware that defence costs for a smaller Producer are always at a disproportionate level to indemnity obligations, therefore, we can perceive distinct advantages should a new organisation come into being. Naturally the involved Producers are anxious to attract the participation of their insurers, and we understand that the London Facility Board representatives are engaged in discussions on proposals which should be forthcoming shortly from Producers. We understand that Marshall Moriarty of Ropes & Gray is providing legal support to London interests in both the complex matters of dissolution and any new structure that may evolve. It will, therefore, suffice for our present purposes to observe that the London Market’s interests in regard to the 29 Producers is significant and likely to represent some 50% of all insurer involvement.

One of the major considerations must inevitably be whether a groupwhich represents only 28% of the former membership will be able to attain the same degree of success as the Facility had in containing settlement levels. A secondary consideration will be economies that will need to be put in place to reduce substantially the outlay on defence costs for in the absence of some very positive measures the level of defence outlays will remain at their present point which, when related to indemnity settlement levels, would represent a three-fold increase.

Unfortunately, it can also be foreseen that the aggregate defence costs that will be incurred for the involved Producers, if no solution is reached, are likely to be even higher.

II. Year End Reserves

During the week commencing 20 June representatives of this firm and Lord Bissell & Brook attended a six-day meeting with representatives of the Direct and Reinsurance Committees of the Asbestos Working Party to review the developments over the past year and to formulate a basis on which reserves will be structured for the coming year end. Also in attendance at the meeting was a representativeof Toplis & Harding (Market Services), Ltd.

By way of introduction to the considerations that arise it is, we believe, helpful to record the movement in the number of claims which represent the asbestos universe at annual intervals.

Year

1986

1987

1988

No. of Claims

54,058

80,003

98,222

Insofar as the current year is concerned, the universe of claims breaks down as follows:

Closed claims to December 1987

13,172

Closed claims January-May 1988

3,389

Total closed claims

16,561

Open claims at May 1988

71,161

 

87,722

Projected claims June-December

10,500

 

98,222

For purpose of comparison, claims processed by Green Cards, Pleural Registry and those subject to dismissal without prejudice have been excluded from the above figures. The total cost incurred by the Facility to discharge indemnity obligations on 16,561 claims amounted to $1,050,499,572, which sum produces an overall average settlement cost of $63,432. However, it must be borne in mind that the very high settlement cost that it was necessary to incur to dispose of the Texas Class Action did have an adverse impact upon average per case costs, for by extracting Texas from consideration, we observe that the settlement costs to dispose of 15,811 claims totalled $957,499,572, which produces an average per claim figure of $60,559. In our reserve projections for last year we felt it necessary to provide for an average per claim cost of $64,000, thus we are satisfied that in the light of the information then available that projection has proven realistic. However, a number of significant developments have come about during the past year which require us to reassess our reserving approach quite apart from the uncertainties that exist as to whether a Facility concept will survive. The salient features which we have reviewed are as follows.

1. Disease Mix

The statistics which have been provided to us by the Facility now extendover almost three years and are very detailed in their content. We have already made reference to the success achieved in disposing of claims involving mesothelioma, which represent approximately 10% of all claims settled each month. Last year you were advised that claims of this nature accounted for 7% of all outstandings, and as a result of the past year’s activity, the mesothelioma content in pending cases is now downto approximately 3% of the whole. A similar pattern exists in respect to other cancer conditions, which in percentage terms are reducing. This fact, coupled with a less severe disease mix in new filings, has the effect of reducing average settlement levels based on the five basic disease categories that are involved. Although there is a gradual increase in claims alleging asbestosis, experience derived from medical testimony shows that an increasing number of claims in this category are being disputed and ultimately become reclassified into the pleural plaque category.

Changes of this nature have been particularly apparent over the last year and, as will be shown later, has justified lower average costs for projection purposes.

2. Occupational Mix

As a result of the extensive work carried out to calculate revised generic shares, there is available not only the additional capability of relating the occupational source from which claims arise to the whole, but also the relevant disease mix that they produce. The traditional source of claim activity had been Shipyards, which at one time had a significant percentage of claims in the more sever disease categories. That pattern has now changed, and although there are still cancer and mesothelioma claims to be addressed, they represent a much lower percentage than the position that existed last year. By contrast, the increased volume of claims from the construction industry, due to their later development, contain 3.31% mesothelioma in the pending case load. However, a study of the mix in claims falling under the All Other Industries category show a less severe disease mix, with the mesothelioma content representing well under 2%.

These variations in the four major occupational sources have a considerable impact on developing average costs that need to be applied in calculating outstanding reserves.

3. Green Cards/Pleural Registry

With the increase in claims processed by way of Green Cards or the Pleural Registry, which represent some 30% of the whole, it becomes necessary to consider whether a discount should be taken on the total projections in the belief that to some extent this method of handling will continue over the future. It is our conclusion that at this stage only a nominal discount is justified bearing in mind the uncertainties that exist to a Facility environment. We have sufficient confidence in the fact that all defendant Producers, whether or not they are participants in the new structure, will collaborate in seeking to preserve both Green Cards and the Pleural Registry. Unquestionably the Courts have indicated their support in the past and, therefore, indications are promising, but at this stage it is necessary to exercise some caution. A further aspect which cannot be ignored is that claims processed in this manner represent a potential future liability. While we observe that over a period of three years only two claims were subsequently re-activated, it is much too early to assume that little or no activity will occur in future years.

4. Jurisdiction

We have in the past outlined the variations that arise in settlement values for comparable disease conditions in different states. For example, the average settlement level for an asbestosis claim in California is just below $20,000, whereas the cost to dispose of a similar case in Pennsylvania is almost twice that amount. In order to reflect these variations, we have reviewed average cost factors for the eight most significant states which collectively encompass 70% of all pending claims. All remaining states have been aggregated together so that effectively we have produced nine regional groups which we are confident fully reflect the variations that occur from region to region.

5. Post-Facility Considerations

a) Indemnity

With nearly three years experience with the Facility available, there exists a statistical base which renders the task of projecting the potential of outstandings more reliable. Now that the occupational source and the disease categories have been broken out, our confidence level has been raised. Although it now becomes more speculativeas to how each Producer will fare in the face of the impending dissolution of the Facility, we feel it safe to conclude that the latest generic share adjustments do equate with liabilities that will be incurred in respect to the number of outstanding law suits in which each is named. There is the ever present possibility that in negotiating separately with each Producer the plaintiff bar may increase overall settlement levels, we believe that this is so speculative in regard to most Facility Producers that we cannot justify any contingency provision. This consideration could have more impact on the seven major Producers who have precipitated dissolution, for although there are stronger grounds for them to be selected against, we consider it unreasonably cautious to impose reserve loadings in respect to indemnity potential. In this uncertain area our approach is to defer addressing these concerns until such time as we have greater experience on which to make a judgment.

b) Defence Costs

The present uncertainties on how claims will be handled after dissolution creates difficulties in how best to provide reserves in respect to costs that are likely to arise in the handling of the existing case load. It is not possible to look to the experience of the Facility as a reliable guide, bearing in mind that the relationship of expense to indemnity is dramatically different for a 36 Producer member Facility, compared with the 29 members who are attempting to develop a new structure, but who only represent 28% of all indemnity shares. Although the restructuring group aims to reduce the use of outside Counsel with the ultimate objective of no more than a $50,000,000 annual budget, it will take some time to achieve this laudable objective. At the outset, we believe defence outlays will likely continue at or near its present level, which will create a three fold increase until reductions come about. The time and effort expended to date by the 29 Group leads us to conclude that in all likelihood there will be a restructured organisation for the future.

Although desperately anxious to have the support and co-operation of insurers, we believe that some operation will evolve irrespective of insurer participation. This being so, we believe that the reduced defence outlays could take up to five years to be fully implemented, and for the purpose of our projections we have considered the likely expense outlay that will be incurred and compared the product to the likely annual rate at which cases are settled. We consider that it is reasonable to assume that in 1989 some 10,000 cases will be processed when expense to indemnity is at its highest. As the rate of dispositions thereafter is likely to increase, then at the same time economies in defence expenditures will become evident. In this manner we calculate that it will take some five years to dispose of the pending case load at an overall defence cost of $400,000,00 insofar as the Group of 29 are concerned.

Different considerations arise when we address the potential defence exposure for the major seven defecting Producers. Each will now be required to appoint Counsel to represent their own interests in the pending lawsuits wherein they are named. There is the possibility that our best guide as to how these costs will develop may be to look to the relationship of indemnity to expense on cases handled pre-Facility, at which time some expenses were in excess of indemnity expenditures. However, we have ultimately concluded that in the present environment there will develop a much greater degree of co-operation between defendants than was formerly the case, resulting in some reduction to the substantial increase that is now required in this area.

6. Conclusions

a) Indemnity Reserves

Utilising the various assumptions outlined herein above, we have co-operated with representatives of the Asbestos Working Party in commissioning Grant Thornton to carry out a series of computer exercises to calculate reserve bases. The exercise was very detailed and first required an analysis of indemnity settlements over the five Facility periodsalready described, separated into four principal occupational sources and five disease categories over a group of nine regional zones. It was concluded that of the results produced, the most reliable time frame was that provided by Period 3, bearing in mind that Period 3 had the greatest settlement data. Thereafter the average cost derived in each of the 900 variations that were available were applied to the pending volume of outstanding claims, which had been segregated to reflect filing period, occupational source, disease category and jurisdiction. The product of this exercise, broken down over the occupational sources, produced the following average indemnity cost:

Shipyards

$ 50,690

Insulators

$62,090

Construction

$65,778

All Others

$32,255

In order to recognise a nominal reduction so as to allow for Green Cards and Pleural Registry cases as we move into the future, all those participating in the recent reserve meeting reached the conclusion that reserve projections should be based upon the following cost average:

Shipyards

$50,000

Insulators

$62,000

Construction

$65,000

All Others

$32,000

The next step was to consider the breakdown of the present outstanding case load of 71,161 claims into their occupational source and then to allocate the 10,500 projected cases to be filed through December 1988, on a proportional basis. The results ultimately reached are as follows:

Shipyards

31,782

claims x $50,000 =

$1,589,100,000

Insulators

21,541

claims x $62,000 =

$1,335,542,000

Construction

9,390

claims x $65,000 =

$ 610,350,000

All Others

18,948

claims x $32,000 =

$ 606,336,000

 

81,661

 

$4,141,328,000

The above calculations will be adopted as to each Producer for the preparation of worksheets which will produce the year end projections. It is worth mentioning that at this time last year there was an outstanding case load of 63,098 claims, which were reserved at $64,000 per case, producing a total pending reserve of $4,038,272,000. Taking into account settlements that have taken place since that time amounting to $412,331,000, and allowing for an additional 18,000 new claims, the universe has increased by $515,387,000. We have explained in detail the reasons that have contained the expansion overall which results in a smaller increase in indemnity reserves than at one time appeared likely. However, we must caution the Market that when the new generic shares of each Producer are applied to reflect the extent of their involvement in the occupations with which we are concerned, there will be significant differences developed from one account to another. Thus while the overall movement is contained to an 11.3% increase, individual accounts could be less or more than last year in percentage terms.

For those insureds who have not been Facility participants, we shall continue to project reserves based upon historical loss development.

b) Defence Cost Reserves

As already indicated, we have approached the issue of defence costs on the assumption that the 29 Producers will succeed in establishing a claim handling structure, and that by the adoption of a more positive philosophy economies will be realised. We also believe that it will take at least five years to dispose of the 81,661 outstanding claims, and that in each of those years there will be an appreciable reduction in defence costs. In 1989 we are projecting that the defence outlay for the group will be scaled down to $110,000,000, and gradually drop thereafter to $50,000,000 by 1993. On the basis of these projections, it is possible to arrive at an average defence cost reserve per case on the total volume of outstanding cases. However, we are aware that the London Market is now paying indemnity and defence costs for certain of the 29 Producers involved, and we are concerned that adopting an overall average per case will effectively mean that the defence provision would prove inadequate for settlements in 1989 when defence costs will be high. Conversely the opposite would happen for insurers making payments in 1993 when we believe economies will have been attained. In order to overcome this disparity, we have worked with Grant Thornton to project a decreasing defence provision to the projected annual throughput of settlements over the coming five years. The net effect of this exercise has been to impose a higher defence provision on coverages that will be responding in the early part of our time frame. Bearing in mind that the relationship of expense to indemnity will be in the region of 80%, material increases may well develop although it is not possible to gauge the impact that this may have until the worksheets which Grant Thornton is now preparing are completed. Now that the generic share formulae for defence expense has been broken down into occupational source, it is likely that there will be a significant variation from one account to another. One aspect of this approach is that the increases that are inevitable in the near future could have a material impact on policies which meet costs in addition to limits.

It has been necessary to give individual consideration to defence costs that will be incurred for each of the seven major Producers. Apart from pre-Facility experience, we are guided somewhat by their individual approach towards either a disposing settlement posture or an aggressive defence mode. For example, we consider that Owens Corning Fiberglas will continue to seek early settlement of their cases, and for this reason we believe that a 15% loading on indemnity will be adequate to address their potential obligationfor future defence costs. Pittsburgh Corning on the other hand, will be aggressive in their defence of pending cases, and to reflect this fact, we believe it necessary to consider the occupational source on which the main defence effort will be expended by the involved Producers, apart from Owens Corning. We have finally concluded that it is necessary to provide for a 100% defence cost provisionin respect to claims arising from Construction and All Other industries, and a 50% provision in respect of Shipyard and Insulator claims. Bearing in mind the minor involvement arising in respect to Carey Canada, which to some extent involves coverage afforded to Celotex, we have not addressed this account separately.

The above provisions are being factored into the Grant Thornton worksheets, and although the final figures are not yet available, it is apparent that accounts such as Pittsburgh Corning and Celotex will reflect a significant increase. With respect to Eagle-Picher, as all coverage has now been exhausted, the Market will not be affected. Fiberboard’s remaining coverage is in the Domestic Market and is being disputed, but if found to be applicable, the impact of the increase would come by way of inward reinsurance.

Finally, we must emphasise that in reaching the within conclusions, our judgment was based on the best available information on likely future developments in a Facility-style claim operation. In the event that the present discussions break down and each Producer is forced to provide for its own defence, it is more likely than not that defence costs will rise. We are grateful for all the preparatory work performed by representativesof the Asbestos Working Party and for the professional support of Grant Thornton, which has been of inestimable value in the considerations necessary to develop our reserve projections in a changed environment.

As in previous years, we wish to emphasise that year end reserves derived from the above approach relate solely to the disposition of the pending case load of 81,661 outstanding claims. No allowance has been made for any Incurred But Not Reported, which we have always regarded as requiring the attention of individual insurers. In the face of the many uncertainties that exist, it is not possible to provide any reliable indication as to how the asbestos problem is likely to develop over future years. We are somewhat encouraged by the recent fall off in new filings being reported and also by the indication that the disease mix is less severe. However, as the potential financial impact has increased over the years, many Producers are becoming increasingly concerned at the likely exhaustion of their insurance asset. When this fact is combined with the reserves which we feel it prudent to recommend in respect to Property Damage, as detailed in our separate report, we have no doubt that for many there will ultimately be total exhaustion on an incurred basis of all available insurance limits.

III. Toplis & Harding (Market Services) Ltd.

As the Market is aware, Toplis & Harding has provided and will be called upon to continue to provide essential services in disseminating reports in both a timely and efficient manner while at the same time preserving the all important attorney/ client relationship necessary during this era of proliferating coverage disputes. In addition that office has and will continue to service the Market’s ever growing needs as underlyings exhaust and the Market is up-front and must respond to insured’s demand for indemnity. Of equal importance it will continue to be the source of funding requests presented by Wellington Signatories for as stated earlier in this report, it will be necessary to continue to monitor Signatory/Non-Signatory allocations of loss/expense payments so as to keep the Market current with respect to the accelerated cash flow position.

This ever expanding demand for service has necessitated an increase in staff with a concomitant increase in expense which, as in the past, must be provided for in our annual operating budget projections for the forthcoming year.

In addition to the ordinary budgetary considerations, this year end we also had to allow for the increased cost incurred in applying the sophisticated approach necessary to a state-of-the-art reserving brought about by the inter-relationship of geographical-disease-occupation-time frame considerations earlier discussed, the application of which would not have been possible without the assistance of the outside consultants.

As with prior years, the intention is to spread the operating costs over both the Direct and Reinsurance Markets on a basis which takes into consideration the projected work effort that will be necessary to service the account in question. Thus of the budget for 1989, which is estimated at $1,175,000, $2,000 will be applied to each of the 400 Reinsurance accounts, with the balance applied to the Direct accounts on a tiered basis as follows:

 

First Tier:

   
 

Armstrong Cork

$40,000

 
 

U. S. Gypsum

$40,000

 
 

GAF

$40,000

 
 

W. R. Grace

$40,000

 
 

National Gypsum

$40,000

 
 

Pittsburgh Corning

$40,000

 
 

Turner & Newall

$40,000

$280,000

 

Second Tier:

   
 

H. K. Porter

$10,000

 
 

Keene

$10,000

 
 

Celotex

$10,000

 
 

Flintkote

$10,000

 
 

ASARCO

$10,000

$ 50,000

 

Third Tier:

   
 

Babcock & Wilcox

$ 3,000

 
 

Owens Corning

$ 3,000

 
 

Pfizer

$ 3,000

 
 

Bell

$ 3,000

 
 

Dana

$ 3,000

 
 

Amchem

$ 3,000

 
 

General Dynamics

$ 3,000

 
 

Union Carbide

$ 3,000

 
 

Westinghouse

$ 3,000

 
 

Advocate Mines

$ 3,000

 
 

Cities Service

$ 3,000

 
 

Uniroyal

$ 3,000

 
 

Combustion Engineering

$ 3,000

 
 

Dresser

$ 3,000

 
 

Garlock

$ 3,000

$ 45,000

 

Total

 

$375,000

It is anticipated that billings for the above Direct accounts will be prepared so as to be received in London during September 1988.

IV. Significant Developments In Coverage Litigation Involving Asbestos Related Bodily Injury Matters

Last year end we reported on the tentative decision of Judge Ira Brown in the California Co-ordinated Action. At this writing since the case is still at trial in later phases, the decision is not yet final and will not become such, and thus appealable, until all phases are completed. We would not, however, anticipate Judge Brown making any major changes in the original decision which, as Underwriters will recall, in substance held that all insurers during the injurious process from first exposure to either death or filing of suit, whichever occurs first, are responsible for defence and indemnity. Judge Brown did not impose an obligation upon an insured to respond for any uninsured years and what is more allowedthat the insured could select the year or years required to respond.

Since that time there have been no major asbestos bodily injury coverage decisions.

In January of this year a New Jersey trial judge assigned to the case of Owens Illinois -v- United Insurance in ruling on the aetiology of asbestos disease necessary to a decision on a motion for partial summary judgment, stated:

 

"... that for asbestos related bodily and personal injuries under defendants’ policies of insurance issued to plaintiff, injury in fact occurs at or shortly after inhalation of asbestos fibers, continues during residency up to and including the date of manifestation of asbestos-related disease."

Although the defendants have requested an interlocutory appeal of the partial summary judgment order and discovery continues with respect to scope and trigger of coverage, the foregoing ruling was predicated upon the vast amount of medical information on asbestos diseases submitted to the court regarding the developmental process.

In light of the foregoing and other landmark coverage decisions which have thus far been handed down in these vigorously contested cases, it is our view that any argument as to when "bodily injury, sickness or disease" occurs in an asbestos setting is henceforth foreclosed.

V. Reinsurance Considerations

A matter of concern to many London Reinsurers is the appropriate reserves to be carried, if any, under reinsurance contracts that lack aggregate extension clause wordings. Several London Reinsureds have requested reimbursement of their asbestos bodily injury claim costs paid on an aggregate basis but for which no aggregate recovery is indicated by the reinsurance contract wording.

We would propose to offer no reserve recommendation to Underwriters at year-end 1988 for those asbestos accounts under which an aggregate extension clause is absent from the London reinsurance contract wording.

We should advise, however, that this issue has not been presented to an American court for resolution as yet and thus we cannot forecast with any certainty the judicial treatment. That a particular reinsurance contract wording would receive. We recognise the possibility that certain common cause or batch clause wordings for example ultimately may be construed by a United States court as permitting recovery by a Reinsured on an aggregate basis despite the absence of an explicit aggregate extension clause in the contract. Because we cannot readily predict how a court would construe these various contract provisions we propose to advise Underwriters of their potential exposure in these instances. We believe that a potential exposure advice is warranted in recognition of the likelihood that certain Reinsureds without aggregate wordings in their contracts with Underwriters nonetheless eventually may pursue legal recourse to recover the substantial losses they have sustained with their asbestos assureds.

4 Aug 88

Letter to Fellow Names from The Outhwaite 1982 Names Association

As you may know from either your Member's Agent or, indeed, reports in the National Press, The Corporation of Lloyd's commissioned Mr. Stewart Boyd QC, a highly respected and senior member of the Commercial Bar, to review the Freshfields' and Coopers & Lybrand's report from the Names’ point of view. His report has been circulated to all Names and you should, by now, have received a copy. I urge you to read the whole report of Mr Boyd with great care and attention, containing as it does a number of matters of considerable interest to Names. My purpose in writing to you is to draw your attention to two specific segments of Mr. Boyd's opinion. The first appears as paragraph 3(c) on page 3 and reads:-

"I have been asked to express an opinion on two limited aspects of the problems which confront the Names. It is not my function to advise the Names about their legal position generally, nor to advise them what to do about it. This Opinion must therefore not be taken as a substitute for independent, legal or financial advice on all matters of concern to the Names. The Enquiry Report discloses a state of affairs which should lead any Name who has not already done so to give urgent consideration to obtaining independent advice on his legal and financial position at the earliest opportunity - either on his own account or together with other Names in a similar position."

In a matter of this nature, the fees of lawyers and accountants will be considerable and I suspect beyond the means of many Names or at least beyond and above the level at which any Name could comfortably bear them on an individual basis.

There is one further and very important reason for joining the Association rather than instructing your own lawyers and accountants. The advantages of a collective approach are that Names can afford to explore every possibility. In so doing we will attract the recognition and respect that our Case deserves.

I would also like to draw your attention to paragraph 2 on page 6 of Mr. Boyd's report where he states:-

"It should be noted that the question which I have been asked is not whether I agree with the conclusions reached by Freshfields, but simply whether they addressed the issues adequately."

Two points arise. First, Mr Boyd was prevented by his instructions from the Council of Lloyds from expressing his own opinion and it is therefore impossible to conclude from his report (as The Times of Saturday, 30th July felt able so to do) that "action on Outhwaite not likely to succeed.’"

Second, if there is any indication in Mr Boyd's report of his own views on the merits of the Names' claims it must be contained in his express advice that Names should take immediately their own independent legal and financial advice.

A significant number of Names have already joined the Association. I am aware, however, that some Names have not received my letter of 28th June, 1988, containing the minutes of the public meeting held on 15th June, 1988, and the invitation to join the Association. On a personal basis I believe every Name has only two realistic courses of action open to him or her, you can either ignore Mr. Boyd's advice or you can join the Association. Please therefore forgive me for enclosing another application form.

7 Aug 88

Sunday Telegraph: Outhwaite Names in new claims row

Names on Lloyd’s insurance syndicates run by asbestosis-hit underwriter Richard Outhwaite are strongly questioning some of the claims that have been brought against him. An audit report by accountant Ernst & Whinney on syndicate 570, run by former Lloyd’s Deputy Chairman Michael Cockell, one of the biggest Outhwaite claimants, has been subpoenaed as evidence before the Lloyd’s Arbitration Committee.

Angry names argue it shows that nearly $5m of outstanding losses used to establish claims under a "run-off" policy with Outhwaite’s syndicate 661 had already been reinsured - and paid out on - elsewhere.

Run-off policies protect underwriters against future losses arising under old policies. Outhwaite wrote cover relating to years prior to 1970 for syndicate 570, which had provided professional indemnity cover to solicitors under the £30 m a year Law Society scheme and asbestosis cover.

He agreed to pay unlimited losses over $12m. And syndicate 570 included the £5m losses at issue in reaching that limit. But these losses had been reinsured under a different policy through another Lloyd’s broker and placed with Japanese companies - which had paid out.

Ernst & Whinney concludes that "the amount of information available to us as auditors cannot be considered as satisfactory on an ongoing basis. It is important that we understand what business the underwriter is accepting and how he is protecting the account".

"The use of block reserves and "funny" out-standings must also be clearly understood by the auditors". (M H Cockell was the Underwriter of Non-Marine syndicate 570, 347, managed by Willis Faber & Dumas).

19 Aug 88

Lloyd’s Global Report and Accounts at 31 December 1987 - 1985 Year of account - signed by Ernst & Whinney, Chartered Accountants.

31 Aug 88

United States Fidelity & Guaranty Co. -v- Star Fire Coals, Inc., 856 F.2d 31, 6th Circuit 31 August 1988. Court held determination of "sudden and accidental" focuses on discharge of pollutants, not on damages suffered by pollutants.

31 Aug 88

Center for Claims Resolution

Considerable effort is being expended by the Group of Producers who wish to establish a new claims handling organisation and we are advised that their proposals will be provided to the Board no later than the beginning of August. It has yet to be determined whether proposals will contemplate an organisation which insurers will find appealing enough to justify their support. However whether by a new organisation or otherwise, some arrangement must be in place to succeed the existing Facility on its demise on the 3 October 1988 date. With the short time frame available, and if the Asbestos Working Party conclude that the proposals warrant Market consideration, I am hopeful that full details of Producers’ proposals will be distributed no later than the middle of August. Thereafter it would be my intention to call a Market meeting to determine whether there is sufficient support to justify the participation of the London Market and to discuss alternatives should we not be able to support the proposed organisation. I would ask that you note in your diaries that this meeting will probably have to take place on the morning of either Wednesday 31 August or Monday 5 September. I appreciate both dates are still within the holiday season but it is of material importance that you do arrange for a representative from your organisation to attend who has the necessary authority to make a commitment on your behalf if indeed the proposals do justify that consideration.

0 Sep 88

Global Report and Accounts 1987 - signed by Ernst & Young on 19 August 1988 - 1985 Year of Account - Chairman’s statement - Statement by Mr Murray Lawrence

Over the past twelve months, two events have served to emphasise the vital role played by insurance and by the Lloyd’s market in particular.

The devastation created by the storm of October 1987 which cut a swathe across southern England and Western Europe is being described as the world’s largest insured loss, estimated to be 3 billion US dollars. More recently, in July this year, the dangers inherent in offshore oil production were brought into stark focus by the explosion which destroyed the North Sea oil production platform, Piper Alpha, involving tragic loss of life.

Both events were grim reminders of the force and unpredictability of nature and of the pivotal role played by insurers - none more so than underwriters at Lloyd’s - in providing the protection that assureds require and without which progress and enterprise or even normal daily life, is not possible.

In the aftermath of such disasters assureds should reflect upon the financial strength and security which has been an abiding feature of the Lloyd’s market for so many years, appreciate its value anti recognise that it can be provided only at an economic price. Market forces will, of course, work in the same direction and I am in no doubt that among the consequences of these events will be reductions in reinsurance market capacity and an upward revision of premium levels. It is far too early for predictions to be made, but I sense that marine and non-marine underwriters will be looking for revisions in the current weak rates when they have an opportunity to make a detailed assessment of recent claims experience in their respective classes of business. This should have a beneficial effect on future profitability.

It is, however, with the 1985 closed year of account, rather than the future that we are presently concerned. A year ago, my predecessor, Sir Peter Miller, was able to report an overall profit for the Lloyd’s market of £278.8 million for the 1984 year of account, under the Lloyd’s three year accounting regime. At that time he was cautiously optimistic that the 1985 year of account would show an improvement on that figure. Unfortunately, that has not proved to be so. The overall result for the market for 1985 is a profit amounting to £211 million. But this overall statement of the result does less than justice to some underlying trends which are encouraging.

As I said in my speech to the Annual General Meeting of Lloyd’s, lower personal tax rates in the United Kingdom, together with the new treatment of capital gains means that we must increasingly look for underlying profit and rely less on the income and capital appreciation which flow from the investment of premium trust funds. 1985 showed a healthy trend in that direction. The underwriting profit increased by some £53 million, from £137 million to £190 million. This result was achieved despite the serious deterioration of back years and the relative weakness of the US dollar coupled with exchange rate volatility which made it more difficult to plan the efficient utilisation of capacity ahead of time. The increase in underwriting results was more than offset by a reduction of £81 million in gross investment return, due primarily to lower interest rates throughout the period, and by an increase of £45 million in syndicate expanses. Nevertheless, although the overall result is down there is a very real sense in which the profits are of a higher quality than in 1984.

The deterioration in the claims experience over the past twelve months, together with the need to provide for the development of past year claims, especially in relation to long tail liability business in the United States, have particularly affected the 1985 account results. This emphasises the crucial need to provide for future liabilities by way of full and appropriate reinsurance to close at the end of each year. The same problems are also reflected in the number of syndicates with years of account left open at the end of 1987. At the end of December 1987 there were 76 syndicates with a total of 120 years of account left open. Problems associated with asbestosis and pollution risks, together with other US liability business appear to account for the vast majority of the run-off years. To have so many syndicate years left open must be considered unacceptable to underwriters, members and agents alike. Consideration is, therefore, being given by the Council of Lloyd’s to ways of dealing with this problem.

The overall result for the 1985 year masks an unevenness between the experience of the four major markets which are described in detail by the chairmen of the respective market associations elsewhere within this report. In that connection, it is pleasing to note the expected improvement in the results of the motor market in 1986 and beyond: the upturn is earlier than we anticipated and is particularly welcome since that market has traditionally been second only to the marine market in its profitability. In the motor market although an overall loss of £36 million was recorded in 1985, premium rate increases which were introduced in the two following years and, to a more limited extent in the current year, should have a positive effect when these years are closed.

The difficulties associated with long tail liability business highlighted by the Chairman of the Non-Marine Association has resulted in both an underwriting loss and an overall loss. This business is now, however, being written at rates that better reflect the present climate and with policy wordings appropriate to the changed circumstances.

The marine market continued to perform well in 1985 in terms of profitability arising from pure underwriting in respect of both the hull and cargo accounts. With their colleagues in the non-marine market, marine underwriters face exchange rate problems with the US dollar which are compounding excessive over-capacity. The significant additions to capacity against the background of the continuing decline in the shipping industry have led to unwelcome reductions in rates which are hound to be reflected in the performance of the marine market in 1987 and beyond.

The aviation market reported a record profit, both on pure underwriting and overall, which looks set to be maintained in 1986 although market conditions suggest that the results of current years will be less satisfactory.

This year, in the interests of presenting a clear and comprehensive picture of the Lloyd’s market, further refinements have been made to the information contained in this report. Gross premium, gross claims and the gross investment returns have been shown for the first time in the underwriting accounts and analysed between each class of business. Furthermore , the profit commissions charged by underwriting agents are given in the notes to the accounts, and details of the security underlying Lloyd’s policies, which are of particular interest to the market clients, have been revised.

These innovations are in line with a continuing programme of improvement in the scope of information provided in the global accounts and this will be maintained. Next year , for example, it is hoped that it will be possible to produce an overall result for Lloyd’s before taxation but after deduction of personal expenses charged to Names.

It is clear that Lloyd's faces an abundance of opportunities in the years ahead, opportunities which underwriters and brokers will undoubtedly seek to exploit to develop the business of the market and to continue to provide a satisfactory return to members of the Society. At a time of substantial under utilisation of capacity and in the current competitive market conditions, it is all too easy to become obsessively preoccupied with the problems of the day, rather than with actively planning the future. It may well be that in the current year only 60 to 70 per cent of the market’s premium income capacity will be used: inevitably market forces are playing their part in adjusting the market’s capacity and this is reflected both in the level of resignations and in the reluctance of managing agents to accept any increased capacity. In this climate member’s agents are, quite properly, not progressing applications from the many potential new members who are in touch with them.

Membership of Lloyd’s, however, should be regarded as a long-term commitment, and the fact that most Names do indeed take this view is evidenced by the fact that in recent years two-thirds of increased capacity has come from existing Members. In addition, of course, membership of Lloyd’s represents a second return on the capital of a Name.

I am, therefore, optimistic for the future of Lloyd’s market place. My grounds for optimism are many. I believe that the comprehensive use of information technology will increasingly play a crucial role in enabling our underwriters and brokers to exploit the many opportunities that will undoubtedly present themselves and I am greatly encouraged by the impact which the London Insurance Market Network has already had upon the market place.

I believe that there is growing appreciation by the community of the need for costs to be contained to ensure that the market’s competitive edge is sharply honed but this will have to be translated into action: certainly Lloyd's traditional price competitiveness will be an even more vital ingredient in its success in a period of considerable change.

The implementation of the freedom of services directive within the European Community, so long promised and so long delayed, will soon be a reality. Again I am encouraged by the determined and pragmatic approach being adopted by underwriters and brokers to developing new business from within the EEC and to building upon our existing client base in key markets. I am confident that the proven security of the Lloyd’s policy will be attractive to many new European clients. The development of our business in Europe will take time but once achieved will serve to increase yet further our contribution to the country’s balance of payments. The Government’s invisible earnings statistics for 1987 recorded a 5 per cent fall in the City’s net overseas earnings but Lloyd’s and its brokers increased their contribution by 1. 35 per cent from £2. 36 billion to £2. 39 billion, against the general trend. This represents more than one quarter of the City’s total overseas earnings and in difficult circumstances it is an eloquent testimony both to the importance of the role which Lloyd’s continues to play in the world’s insurance markets and in the success of the United Kingdom economy and also to the world-wide reputation of the Lloyd’s policy.

Marine

The 1985 account has closed with an acceptably good result with the hull account returning £140 million overall profit and the cargo account £52 million overall profit. Underwriting profits were £156 million and £57 million respectively. Expressed as a percentage of net premium income the overall profit of 17. 1 per cent is one with which the marine market can be justifiably pleased.

While there has been a fairly significant decrease in the profit on the hull account where the figure has dropped from roughly 25 per cent to 17 per cent, this has been offset by the profit on the cargo account which, at 18 per cent, stands at roughly nine percentage points better than the 1984 account when it was closed.

Even within the satisfactory figures, however, there are clear warnings of factors which will combine to ensure that the result from 1987 onwards will be much less satisfactory. While current indications are still that the 1986 account will prove to be profitable, I anticipate that from 1987 onwards the trend will be towards a sharp decline in the results. Our returns for 1985 have shown how the fall in the value of the US dollar has proved to be a major contributory cause of a substantial drop, in sterling terms, in premium income. There is a corresponding decrease in the incoming reinsurance to close from the 1984 account, and this has ultimately resulted in a reduction in the market’s investment returns. While other factors, such as the long-standing decline in the shipping industry, have contributed to the reduction, any long term weakness in the dollar will continue to have considerable adverse effects upon our premium fund.

Another area where the global figures contain a warning is that of our expense ratio - expenses, subscriptions and levies - has increased from 7. 5 per cent of net premium income in 1984 to 9. 5 per cent in 1985. It is clear that the advantage which Lloyd’s used to enjoy over its major competitors in terms of its low expense ratios, is gradually being eroded, particularly, one suspects, as the market starts fully to bear the cost of self-regulation.

It is traditional to address individual sectors of the account with a view to assessing the commercial climate governing each class. This year; the marine market has been facing problems in all areas of trading and the analysis of individual sections might seem, therefore, to be superfluous. My predecessor’s statements and my own comments last year warned of the dangers inherent in excessive capacity and to a large extent these predictions have proved entirely justified by events.

The competition from within the market has been particularly severe without the added effect of foreign market competition, and this has led to rating levels in all areas of business being lower than could be justified by experience. The increase in the capacity in the reinsurance market has been marked in the first half of the year.

This adverse commercial climate has also combined with a period of particularly severe major losses, with the recent explosion on the Piper Alpha platform being the most vivid and tragic example of the exposure which the market faces. It is impossible at the moment to quantify the final amount of claims that will result from this single event, but the current estimate in excess of US$1,300 million is certainly not exaggerated. This loss may well halt the slide in rates over wide areas of the market and there is every expectation that rates in the drilling sector will increase, with particular emphasis on the premiums charged for North Sea platforms. The reinsurance market will suffer the main effects of this catastrophe, and the inevitable consequences will be a reduction in capacity and a strong demand for increased premiums and retentions. It is perhaps worth considering that the platform itself was not of a particularly high value compared with its modern counterparts and that, leaving aside the dreadful loss of life that was involved, the effects of the claim would have been far worse had one of the more modern units been involved.

The casualties in the Gulf continue to be of considerable concern, with many syndicates now experiencing losses on their war accounts as a result. The escalation in hostilities has been significant, with a total of 47 vessels being attacked in 1985 excalating to 107 and 179 vessels in 1986 and 1987 respectively. The trend has continued in 1988, and the last year has seen the indiscriminate deployment of mines in navigation channels, which is a particularly worrying factor. At the time of writing the UN’s cease-fire had been announced and we would hope that this will be adhered to by the combatants thereby bringing stability to this important trading area.

I believe that the downturn in the cycle which we are facing might prove to be short-lived given the current spate of major losses. Nothing will remove excess capacity as efficiently as significant underwriting losses, and it might be hoped that a more rational climate will start to prevail in the near future. Furthermore, the shipping recession that has restricted our ability to grow on the back of an adequate account has started to lift. Freight and commodity markets are buoyant, values are rising, new buildings are commencing and, provided adequate financing is available, it might be anticipated that the 1990s will see a renaissance in shipping, with significant levels of re-equipping being undertaken by owners as realistic profits start to emerge.

I hope that the adverse cycle which we are now entering will force the marine insurance market, not only in London but throughout the world, to re-examine its approach to the fundamental need for profitable underwriting, responsible competition and appropriate levels of capacity. Failure to do this will mean that we will miss the opportunity which the uplift in the shipping market will present.

[The results as presented do not include Names’ Personal Expenses]

Non-Marine

Statement by Mr Michael Williams, Chairman, Lloyd’s Underwriters’ Non-Marine Association

The 1985 result is disappointingly a deterioration in 1984, showing an overall loss of £5. 3m equivalent to 0. 4% on an income of some £1,331m and an underwriting loss of £84.2m. The result includes the well-publicised Outhwaite syndicates 317/661 for the 1982 account in run-off, accounting for some £85. 4m of losses without which the 1985 results would have shown a profit. The 1985 figure, for the first time, includes overseas motor insurance. This accounts for £1. 7m of the £5. 3m overall loss.

A breakdown of the account shows that the property classes produced a substantially improved profit, despite a large number of natural catastrophes combining to depress the property result. In addition to the Mexico earthquake, there were five hurricanes affecting the United States, principally Elena and Gloria, making 1985 the second worst year for windstorms this century.

The accident and health classes have returned a reasonable profit on a reduced premium income and, on a much smaller scale, it is encouraging that the term assurance market has shown a record £1 million profit on a premium income base of £4 million.

The distinct improvement overall in the pure year results for 1985 are in part, attributable to the hardening market which started towards the end of 1984. Results have been depressed, however, by the need to bolster reserves against continuing outstanding liabilities in respect of U.S. casualty business written in the 1950’s, 1960’s and 1970’s. Underwriters are endeavouring to conduct U.S. business today in the framework of a difficult legal environment. Liberal juries continue to give awards based on the "deep pocket" theory; increasingly, strict liability is applied and compounded by wide judicial interpretations of coverage; new laws are frequently retroactive in effect; and lawyers operate on a contingency fee ("no win, no pay") basis, resulting in a proliferation of cases which are often tenuous and, because of the elapse of time, founded on unreliable and inadequate data, but which are nevertheless expensive to defend.

Our two main areas of difficulty are in asbestos-related claims and environmental impairment.

The rate of new asbestos-related claims rose steeply from an average 700 per month in 1985 to 2,000 per month in 1987, due largely to intensive publicity from the plaintiff bar and the seeking out of new industries with an "asbestos connection". There are, however, grounds for future optimism as the rate of increase has declined in recent months.

The second major factor in the development of back years is the incidence of environmental pollution claims in the U.S. Claims for clean-up costs of dump sites are being made for circumstances in which it was never the intention of the insurers or the expectations of the insured that should apply: in many cases insureds deliberately dumped waste knowing it to be harmful to the environment: in other cases dumping occurred at sites licensed for the purpose at the time. Depressing though this may sound, I should point out that underwriters are confident that there are excellent defences to these claims and they will oppose them with the utmost vigour.

Happily, as forecast by my predecessors, the 1986 year of account remains on course for being a very satisfactory one for the non-marine market, as rates continue to harden world-wide and the inevitable corrective measures in the U.S. liability classes in particular allowed underwriting on a sounder basis. Rates remained firm during 1987, although the eventual result will be adversely affected by the so-called "hurricane" in October (the world's largest insured loss) and the freeze of the preceding winter, both in the United Kingdom. With regard to the current year, I should sound a warning that there has been a softening in certain classes and areas, especially in US property classes.

Looking even further ahead, whilst it maybe hard to imagine that the US will not remain our largest market - albeit, it is to be hoped, in a more stable environment - one of the reasons for the growth of the non-marine market has been its willingness to develop and innovate in different areas of business and to expand into new territories. The advent of the single European market in 1992 - and, perhaps more importantly, the recent agreement of the EEC non-life services directive which will significantly liberalise cross-frontier insurance within Europe by mid-I 990 - will inevitably shift the focus more towards Europe. Beyond that, I look forward also to strengthening our direct business relationships with the Far East and Pacific Basin countries, where we have long-established reinsurance ties.

For a number of reasons, the downturn in the cycle which many feel we are now entering is likely to be of shorter duration than the last. In summary, therefore, looking beyond the open years, I feel we can meet the opportunities of the future with confidence and reasonable optimism.

[The results as presented do not include Names’ Personal Expenses]

Aviation

Statement by Mr John Tilling, Chairman, Lloyd’s Aviation Underwriters’ Association

The overall profit on the 1985 account of £61 million is satisfactory. The 1985 underwriting profit, also £61 million, compares favourably with the previous year’s £29 million, and the £12 million profit in 1983 and £5 million in 1982.

The result is particularly pleasing bearing in mind the adverse loss frequency affecting the 1985 account. The final outcome of the arbitration which found in favour of the hull all risks underwriters and against the war risks underwriters, in respect of the Air India Boeing 747 aircraft lost over the Atlantic, benefited the aviation market since the majority of the hull war risk was placed in other markets.

Last year, I said that it was too early to predict the outcome of the 1986 underwriting year of account. Twelve months later the signs remain encouraging and I trust that my successor will be able to report both an overall and underwriting profit. In contrast to the loss frequency of 1985, the 1986 year is one of the best that the market has ever enjoyed. There were, however, two significant losses. Firstly, an Aeromexico DC-9 which collided with a light aircraft over California resulting in substantial third party losses on the ground. Secondly, the loss of the space shuttle, Challenger, involved products underwriters. Thus the absence of many notable losses together with a higher rating basis than the 1985 year should produce a satisfactory result. It should, however; be borne in mind that underwriters carried significantly higher first loss retentions and were required to pay higher reinsurance costs.

The 1987 underwriting year was in direct contrast to the 1986 year; being second only to 1985 as the worst civil aviation year on record. Three substantial losses occurred in the United States involving significant liability claims, one of which, together with the hull, is likely to exceed US$200 million. These losses occurred during a period when the rating of aviation business had begun to deteriorate.

Last year I referred to the considerations of the aviation hull war and allied perils market. I regret to say that, in addition to the physical damage aspects, the number of acts of violence against passengers has been steadily increasing. Nevertheless, underwriters continue to respond to the requirements of operators in this volatile underwriting area, notwithstanding the geographical location and prevailing conditions. Lloyd’s underwriters play a very significant role in maintaining cover in this class and their record to provide continuity of cover has been exemplary.

It is anticipated that activity in the satellite market should begin to increase in the near future. Despite the absence of the United States’ shuttle, the prospect of the reintroduction of tried and tested United States-built expendable launch vehicles looks promising. This launch vehicle capacity, together with the European Ariane launch vehicle, should allow expansion in the activity of this sector of the market. Again, in this class of business, Lloyd’s underwriters enjoy a good record of providing cover in what continues to be a difficult area of business to underwrite. The underwriters look forward to accepting the challenges of the future in order to meet the requirements of clients.

In spite of the continuing reduction in the rating of aviation business I can report that at least three new specialist aviation syndicates will be operating during the year increasing aviation premium income capacity to more than £1,000 million. In 1985 there were 40 specialist syndicates, the total aviation market premium income capacity being £460 million. Aviation market capacity has continued to rise to £625 million in 1986, £843 million in 1987 and £993 million in 1988 with the number of specialist syndicates in each of these years being 38,40 and 43 respectively.

This steady growth reflects confidence in a market that has returned profits to underwriting members and whose security is highly sought after in a world market where solid security is of paramount and growing importance.

[The results as presented do not include Names’ Personal Expenses]

Motor

Statement by Mr Lionel Marchant, Chairman, Lloyd’s Motor Underwriters’ Association

I am pleased to be able to report that the motor market is heading for better times after a poor result in 1985. It is anticipated that there will be a progressive improvement in syndicate results from the year just closed to the 1988 account, the current year.

The 1985 account has been closed with an overall loss amounting to £36 million. This is worse than I anticipated last year and reflects the competitive pressures operating in our market in 1984 and 1985. Whilst competition still remains intense, the significant rating revisions that became available to us during 1986 and 1987 will begin to show through when those years are closed. Whilst 1988 has not attracted such large percentage premium increases as 1987 and 1986 we have, nevertheless, maintained a regular revision of rating levels.

In addition to premium revisions, many motor underwriters have been concerned at the frequency of claims for broken windscreens and, as a consequence, have required policyholders to bear the first part of this type of loss.

We are also concerned at the number of theft-related claims both of an insured vehicle and of the contents of the vehicle. Valuable possessions displayed in a motor vehicle are an invitation for theft, so too are motor vehicles left unlocked. Earlier this year it was revealed in Parliament that in 1987 notifiable offences of theft and unauthorised taking of motor vehicles in England and Wales amounted to 389,576. Recoveries effected by the relevant police force amounted to 273,063 - a recovery ratio of slightly more than 70 per cent. The police force with the highest recovery level was Humberside with a ratio of 86.5 per cent, the worst being Durham with a ratio of 24 per cent.

In my statement last year; I said that insofar as individual police authorities were concerned, the problem of theft was dealt with in varying degrees of interest and effectiveness, according to resources. It would seem that a renewed effort by some police forces would act to the benefit of policyholders generally in containing crime of this type. The Motor Insurance Anti Fraud and Theft Register, established last year, has been successful in detecting ~ number of fraudulent claims. Time will be needed, however; to accumulate sufficient data for a proper analysis to be made of the performance of the Register. Such success must be reinforced by the courts imposing penalties that will deter offenders.

Insurers must continue to be concerned with the problem of those who drive their vehicles without insurance. From January 1989, all motor policies issued for the insurance of motor vehicles in the United Kingdom. must by law provide cover for damage to property owned by a third party as well as personal injury cover. This will mean that those people who do not insure their vehicles will impose a new burden on those who do: again we must look to the courts to impose penalties of sufficient severity to provide an effective deterrent.

The majority of broker/intermediaries who provide business to Lloyd’s motor underwriters are now able to compare the rating structures offered by various insurers by using a computer quotation service. Whilst this type of computerisation in a broker/intermediary’s office is an aid in the selection of an insurer for a client, it nevertheless has drawbacks if the system is not used with the added advantage of professional knowledge which is gained over many years in a broker/intermediary’s office. This professional knowledge should also help to combat the trend by some insurance companies to seek their business directly from insureds rather than via a broker/intermediary. This is most important, as far as Lloyd’s is concerned, because the business attracted by the direct insurers tends to be the business that has long been regarded as good business.

It is unusual in the Lloyd’s motor market for any one event to be of sufficient merit to attract interest. However; the storm that occurred in October 1987 in England obviously had a combined effect upon the Lloyd’s motor underwriters to the extent that the total of claims notified to date is approximately £4.8 million.

Whilst claims costs will continue to rise, we shall need to ensure that competitive pressures do not persuade us to relax our attitude to rating structures. We must be determined to keep our rating structure under constant review as we approach a return to prosperous times. The temptation to cut rates to maintain market share must be avoided for the long term stability of the market.

The realisation of freedom of services within member countries of the European Economic Community will present fresh opportunities for expansion but, of course, we must expect new competition from other Community countries in the UK. Nevertheless, I am sure that Lloyd’s motor underwriters will respond to this new challenge as they have others in the past.

[The results as presented do not include Names’ Personal Expenses]

The analysis of profit for all classes combined discloses:-

Year of Account

 

Year of Account

1985

 

1984

£211,012,000

Post Tax profits

£ 278,758,000

The Notes to the Global Accounts disclose:-

2. Statement of Accounting Policies

B. Premiums

Gross premiums are accounted for after deducting commission and brokerage and include premiums in respect of inter-syndicate reinsurance.

C. Claims

Gross claims include claims settlement expenses and are accounted for after salvage recoveries but before reinsurance recoveries.

F. Syndicate Expenses

These include underwriting salaries charged to Names.

G. Basis of Currency Translation

Items expressed in United States and Canadian dollars are translated into sterling at the rates of exchange ruling at the year-end. items brought forward are therefore re-valued at those rates. Transactions during the year in other currencies are translated into sterling at the rates ruling at the time that transactions are processed through the Lloyd’s central accounting system.

H. Taxation

Syndicate results are allocated to individual members in proportion to their participations and any profits are subject to United Kingdom, United States and Canadian taxation as appropriate by assessment on each member as an individual.

Accordingly, other than the amounts which are deducted on behalf of Names in respect of basic rate United Kingdom taxation on the investment return, no provision is made in these accounts for taxation liabilities.

3. Reinsurance Premiums Paid to Close the Account

Reinsurance premiums paid to close the account relate primarily to the 1985 year of account and include amounts in respect of earlier run-off years of account which have closed at 31 December 1987. The amount disclosed of £3,951. 9 million (1984 year of account £3,975. 4 million) includes approximately £879. 9 (1984 year of account £1,007. 1 million) representing amounts retained to meet known and unknown outstanding liabilities in respect of years of account which are in run-off at the year end.

The total profit of £211.0 million (1984 year of account £278. 7 million) is arrived at after providing for losses of £180. 5 million (1984 year of account £72. 7 million) in respect of these run-off years of account.

5. Profit

This has been arrived at before deduction of profit commission which are normally charged by underwriting agents on the profits of closing years of account. The amount of such commissions charged in respect of the results determined in 1987 was £103 million (1984 £97 million).

7. PCW

As reported in the 1987 annual report and accounts of the Corporation of Lloyd’s, under the terms of the PCW settlement, £44 million was paid from Lloyd’s Central Fund to Lioncover Insurance Company Ltd. This sum together with the underwriting assets of assentors and contributions from assentors and other parties, was estimated at the time to be sufficient to meet future liabilities as they arose.

Financial Facts as at 31 December 1987

  1. The basis of preparation of the Security Document has been revised this year in order to show the assets of the Society of Lloyd’s in a format consistent with that adopted for the Statutory Statement of Business. In particular the Central Fund and the Corporation assets are included in total assets.
  2. For the purpose of the Security Document, premium income is arrived at after deducting inter-syndicate reinsurances which are estimated at £712 million.
  3. The average deduction for brokerage and commission across all markets has been estimated at 18. 2 per cent (1986 18.3 per cent).

Central Fund position as at:-

31 December

1987

1986

1985

 

£m

£m

£m

Fund Balance at 1 January

279.2

211.5

 

Contributions from Members

31.2

29.3

 

Investment Income and net appreciation

6.2

38.6

 

Payments to Lioncover, net of recoveries

(50.5)

   

Claims and Operating expenses

(1.0)

(0.4)

 

Taxation (incl. Prior year adjustments

(10.7)

0.2

 

Balance at year end before earmarking

254.4

279.2

 
       

Net assets of Central Fund after current taxation

Deferred taxation

269

(15)

301

( 22)

229

( 17)

Fund balance after taxation at 31 December 1986

254

279

212

Earmarkings.

Year

Solvency Test

Earmarking

PCW Names

1988 earmarking

at 31 December 1987

£ 12. 9 million

£ 8. 3 million

1987 earmarking

at 31 December 1986

£ 24. 0 million

£ 22. 2 million

1986 earmarking

at 31 December 1985

£237. 3 million

£235. 0 million

During the above years sums were earmarked in respect of Names’ underwriting deficiencies. Earmarked assets are available to discharge the underwriting liabilities of members should they become due in the event of default and these earmarkings lapse when a member discharges his liability to the Central Fund.

31 December

1987

1986

1985

1984

Year of Earmarking

1988

1987

1986

1985

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

Central Fund balance

 

332

260

 

Payable by Lloyd’s under PCW settlement *

 

43

   

Net assets after current taxation at date of earmarking

 

289

260

 

Earmarking

12. 9

24

237

65

During 1988, assets of £12. 9m (1987 - £24m) were earmarked, including £8. 3m (1987 - £22. 2m) in respect of PCW syndicates to cover underwriting deficiencies at the preceding 31 December.

The Global results as announced by Lloyd’s to the Press, Parliament and the General Public:-

Year of Account

 

Year of Account

1985

 

1984

£ 211,012,000

Declared post tax profits

£ 278,758,000

The excluded additional expenses, being agents’ profit commission, however, disclosed under Note 5 to the Accounts.

£102,769,000

Agents Profit Commission

£ 97,000,000

£108,243,000

Received by Names

£181,758,000

£ 12,900,000

Central Fund Earmarking

£ 24,000,000

(This excludes additional earmarkings of members unencumbered ‘Funds at Lloyd’s’ for Solvency Purposes.)

(The Lloyd's insurance market was developing plans which would enable its underwriters to seize the business opportunities of the next decade, declared Murray Lawrence in September at Lloyd's for the publication of the 1987 Lloyd's Global Report & Accounts. "In the regulatory area we have introduced a comprehensive body of legislation under the 1982 Act, including the re-registration of all agencies. Moreover, more than two thirds of the seventy Neill recommendations have been implemented and we are on track to complete the remainder within the time scale agreed with Government," he said.

Lawrence announced increases in the financial requirements for new members effective from the 1990 underwriting year and also in the amount of funds they would have to place with Lloyd's. The minimum financial means requirement was to be raised from £100,000 to £250,000 and the amount of funds held at Lloyd's would be raised from 20% to 30% of their gross premium underwriting limit (GPUL}.

The change in means requirements was one, among many issues, on which the Council had initiated reviews almost a year earlier which would affect the future direction of Lloyd's and the business of the market and which were being pursued vigorously.

"One of these is the possibility of a move from unlimited liability towards some form of limited liability. It has become apparent that any proposals in this area, although I must say I have yet to see any which appear attractive, would require Parliamentary legislation."

Referring to Lloyd's capacity he said: "Membership of Lloyd's should be seen as a long term commitment. Various factors, including the changes in market conditions and tax regime, have contributed to an increased number of resignations this year. It appears that the overall capacity for 1989, on present indications, will be not less than that of 1988 but will be provided by fewer members."

Lawrence emphasised the importance of the market's ability to return an underwriting profit in the future. The business was cyclical but the cycles did not always coincide, one area of business with another. It was therefore important for members to have a good spread of business across different classes which should produce a more even overall result.

Lawrence emphasised the importance of securing greater competitiveness. "An essential aspect of competitiveness is to be the lowest cost producer. The Corporation of Lloyd's is acting to halt the rising trend in the cost of the services it provides to the market by using the new management systems now available.")

88

Finance Act:

Under the provisions of the 1988 Finance Act, applicable to the 1986 and subsequent accounts, the managing agent is required to account to the Inland Revenue for an amount representing income tax at the basic rate on the result of aggregating the investment income and the taxable underwriting result as adjusted for income tax purposes.

Where the taxable underwriting result is a loss, an income tax credit is set against the income tax on the investment income to establish the amount of income tax payable by the underwriting agent.

Where a taxable underwriting loss exceeds the investment income, the income tax in respect of the balance of the loss is not repayable to the syndicate but will be available to the Names in personal assessments.

In previous years, basic rate income tax on investment income was accounted to the Inland Revenue.

Bond Washing

There is one matter concerning the taxation treatment of the syndicate’s results which has yet to be resolved. The Inland Revenue has notified the agency that it is seeking to tax as income an index linked capital uplift on certain United States and Canadian index linked bonds. These bonds had been purchased on the basis of statements made by the Inland Revenue which had led the agency’s investment advisers to believe that the capital uplift would be governed by the laws of capital taxation and would be subject to indexation relief. This agency in conjunction with other managing agents at Lloyd’s has been granted leave to appeal for judicial review of the Inland Revenue’s decision. Further, where assessments have been made in respect of the disputed amounts, the agency has appealed against these assessments.

Although leading Counsel has given positive advice on the prospects of success in these matters the syndicate accounts include a provision for income tax which would be deductible by the agency if, contrary to Counsel’s opinion, the Inland Revenue position is upheld.

As set out in the Managing Agent’s Report last year the Inland Revenue had notified the agency that it was seeking to tax as income an index-linked capital uplift on certain United States and Canadian index-linked bonds. These bonds had been purchased on the basis of statements made by the Inland Revenue which had led the agency’s investment advisers to believe that the capital uplift would be governed by the laws of capital taxation and would be subject to indexation relief. This agency in conjunction with other managing agents at Lloyd’s had applied to the High Court for judicial review of the Inland Revenue’s decision. Further, where assessments were made in respect of the disputed amounts, the agency had appealed against those assessments.

The application for a judicial review was not granted and it was recommended by legal advisers that no appeal be made against the High Court judgement. However, it was decided to make an appeal against actual tax assessments to the Special Commissioners using selected syndicates from the market as a test case. Since that decision was made there have been a number of meetings between representatives of Lloyd’s Underwriting Agents’ Association and the Inland Revenue in connection with the possible agreement of a compromise solution regarding the taxation treatment of these bonds. A market wide agreement has now been reached with the Inland Revenue.

The settlement arrangements provide that 23-3% of the indexed uplift on all indexed bonds will be treated as capital gains and 76-7% as income. The agreement applies to all income and gains arising from index-linked bonds with effect from 1 January 1986. We feel that the agreement reached with the Inland Revenue is satisfactory and will enable Names to finalise their tax affairs in respect of this matter.

7 Sep 88

Members’ Agents (Information) Byelaw (No. 7 of 1988, 7 September 1988)

As well as passing the byelaw the Council issued a code of practice, Know Your Principal - Guidelines for Members’ Agents at Lloyd’s. The two together are framed to accept recommendations 3, 4, 5, 6 and 39 of the Neill Report.

The main innovation to be introduced in 1989 by the byelaw is a Members’ Agents’ Information Report (MAIR), which is designed to give a Member full details of the agency, including performance statistics and some statements of policy. Details are also demanded of the extent of access to any particular syndicate with which the agency has connections.

The MAIR will have full disclosure of ownership of the agency and involvement through the principals with other agencies. The number of Members represented by the agent and details of the syndicates to which the Members has access are given.

As the aggregate capacity of the agency’s Members is recorded, then it follows that the average return can be easily worked out, and this figure is to be included in the MAIR. Eventually the statistics will build up and be published as a six-year record.

The agency will be obliged to make a statement regarding its policy on personal reserves and on stop-loss. It must also state its policy regarding Members who use more than one agent and what its policy is towards introductory commissions, although Lloyd’s is not yet finished with the latter, as introductory commissions are still being reviewed.

One continuing problem is only lightly touched on in the requirements of the MAIR, and that is the policy of the agent towards the offering of capacity on an agency’s own managed syndicates. The byelaw asks for a statement of policy on ‘the offering of capacity to underwriting Members on: (i) syndicates managed by a managing agent associated with the members’ agent; (ii) other syndicates’.

This covers the problem of ‘divorce’, whereby the members’ agency side of a combined agency might be over-committed towards the agency’s managed syndicates, both in terms of recommending them to Members and of disapproving a request for leaving the syndicate. ‘Divorce’ would be the compulsory separation of the functions of the members’ agency from a managed agency.

Recommendation 39 of the Neill Report, which dealt with ‘divorce’, said: "The Council should require all agents to include in their statements of agency policy a full appraisal of any factors, such as their status as combined agents and the priority they attach to filling their own managed syndicates, which might affect the objectivity of the advice they give to Names about syndicate membership." But the supporting argument was dismissive of the need for ‘divorce; culminating in the observation: "Provided that the Name can make an informed choice, we see nothing wrong with the concept of combined agents."

The Know Your Principal guidelines consist of suggestions about how to keep records of a principal’s financial status outside Lloyd’s, including the suggestion that an agent should: "Make a particular note in its principal’s records of any course of action pursued on his behalf against the members’ agent’s advice but at the principal’s request."

23 Sep 88

Mendes & Mount letter re: 1988 Year-End Reserve Report

This year-end for the first time, a separate Annual Report to the Market has been submitted with respect to Asbestos Building Claims. We refer Underwriters to this report dated August 1, 1988 for a detailed discussion of significant developments during the past year. With respect to asbestos-related property damage claims, it was decided to submit a separate report due to key developments during the past year with respect to the underlying claims, as well as additional information made available from U.S. Government studies which allow for a better appreciation of the enormity of the problem. Furthermore, it was felt that the complexity of reserving for property damage claims now requires separate treatment.

As previously indicated herein, our annual asbestos reserve meeting was recently held wherein all available historical, statistical, and claims information was reviewed. After thorough analysis and substantial discussion, agreement was reached as to the bases that were adopted for reserving asbestos accounts for both bodily injury claims and property damage claims. As stated before, a detailed explanation of the reserving methods are described in our Annual Reports to the Market. Year-end worksheets have been prepared for the asbestos accounts with regard to bodily injury claims. As in the past, these worksheets show allocation of ground-up loss, both indemnity and expenses, to each policy per assured per year. With regard to property damage claims, we call Underwriters’ attention to the fact that the list of seven original assureds which received reserves at last year-end has now been expanded to thirty-one original assureds. These thirty-one original assureds are as follows: AC&S, Armstrong World, ASARCO, Basic, Carey Canada, Celotex, Combustion Engineering, Dana, Eagle Picher, Fibreboard, Flintkote, GAF, Georgia Pacific, H. K. Porter, Johns-Manville, Kaiser, Keene, National Gypsum, Nicolet, Owens-Corning, Owens-Illinois, Pfizer, Pittsburgh, Proko, Raybestos Manhattan, Standard, Turner & Newall, U.S. Gypsum, U.S. Minerals, Vermont Asbestos, W.R. Grace.

As we have stated in each of our prior year-end reserve reports as well as all other reports involving asbestos claims, Underwriters should recognise that our reserve recommendations, both as to bodily injury and property damage, are based upon presently known claims and we have not attempted to suggest reserves for claims that may be made in the future. We believe it is impossible to predict how many claims may be made in the future. Indeed, we have received specific instructions from Underwriters to only make reserve recommendations based upon the presently known number of claims.

3 Oct 88

Technicon Electronics -v- American Home Assurance Co., 141 A.D. 2d 124, 533, N.Y.S. 2d 91, New York Appellate Division 2d Dep’t., 3 October 1988. Affirmed, 74 N.Y. 2d 66, 1989. Court held manufacturer’s discharge of toxic wastes over several years not "accidental".

0 Oct 88

In the autumn the Chairman, ( Murray Lawrence), accompanied by Mr Gordon Hutton, a senior member of the Council of Lloyd's, embarked on a tour of Australia and New Zealand.

The Chairman addressed the National Insurance Brokers' Association conference in Queensland and meetings of Names in Sydney, Queensland and Adelaide.

A courtesy call was paid on the Governor General of Australia, Sir Ninian Stephen.

In New Zealand the Chairman addressed Names in Wellington and met the Prime Minister, the Rt. Hon David Lange; the Leader of the Opposition, the Hon Jim Bolger; and the Minister of

Finance, the Hon Roger Douglas.

3 Oct 88

The Asbestos Claims Facility’s papers of dissolution filed in Delaware. Following the demise of the Asbestos Claims Facility in October 1988 (set up only in June 1985 under the "Agreement Concerning Asbestos-related Claims"), substantial sums of money were owed to tort plaintiffs on account of judgements or settlements entered into prior to 3 October 1988. Further substantial sums amounting to U.S.$99,865,000 were owed to the lawyers, who had been retained by the Facility and, understandably, these lawyers were becoming somewhat restive. (These monies appear to have been paid circa 1989 and would account for some of the losses announced by Lloyd’s for the 1989 account (closed calendar year 1992) and subsequent years). As of 11 August 1989, unpaid tort plaintiffs’ settlement and judgement claims totalled U.S.$14,100,000 of which the largest part U.S.$12,900,000 represented post-July 1989 payments to be made to certain Mississippi plaintiffs under a staggered settlement agreement. Of the 23,142 cases processed, the Facility has of 1 August 1988 made payment on less than 70% of that number. The disposition since inception (June 1985) and the per case average payment achieved for both claims involving payments and dismissals without prejudice, is as follows:-

Year

Number of Claims

Average Cost U.S.$

1985

1,150

62,546

1986

5,020

56,632

1987

3,388

60,710

 

15,811

 

Plus Texas

750

124,000

 

16,561

 

Green Cards

1,386

 

Pleural Registry

4,699

 

Dismissed without prejudice

496

 
 

23,142

 

Overall universe cases

80,003

 

Outstanding

56,861

 

When the Facility commenced operations in June 1985, its opening inventory consisted of approximately 25,000 outstanding claims which were then pending against the Producer membership (33 Producers and 22 Insurance Companies). At that time, the Rand Corporation estimated that producers and their insurers had spent approximately U.S. $1bn in compensation and legal expenses in the last ten years i.e. 1975 to 1985. Injured workers, however, received only 37 cents of every dollar. During the years prior to inception, the new filing pattern was remarkable steady at 500 claims per month. During 1985, an increase in plaintiff activity was experienced which gradually pushed the new monthly filings up to a 1,000 cases per month by the latter half of 1986. This accelerated pace continued during the first half of 1987 and reached a record level when well over 3,000 new claims were filed in the month of August 1987. Thereafter, new filings declined with the result that over the following ten months said filings have settled down to a rate of approximately 1,500 new suits per month. It was announced at the June 1987 board meeting of the Facility that a significant Producer, Owens Corning Fibreglass, gave the requisite 60 days notice of withdrawal from the Facility in respect of new filings. Owens-Illinois and Pittsburgh-Corning also withdrew from the Facility. Of equal if not greater significance has been the increased use of "Green Cards" and the adoption by more States of a "Pleural Registry". It will be recalled that these innovative methods deal with cases where the claimant’s present condition does not raise to the level of a compensation case. Their case is deferred and with the Court approval, the Statute of Limitation is tolled which will enable the claimant to return his case to an active status at some future date should his condition deteriorate due to his past exposure to asbestos. While claims in this category are not to be regarded as closed, it should be noted that by August 1988, out of some 6,085 Green Cards and Pleural Registry cases shown in the following table, only two cases subsequently developed into active claims. The position as at 1 September 1988:-

Pre A.C.F. closed claims (by June 1985)

6,000

A.C.F. Closed (June 1985 to 1 September 1988)

17,400

Green Cards

2,800

Pleural Registry

5,400

 

31,600

A.C.F. Pending at 3 October 1988

73,200

 

104,800

During its abbreviated life the Facility expended approximately U.S. $1-2bn in indemnity which averaged out to a cost of U.S.$60,000 per settled case involving some 20,264 closed cases, but excluding Green cards and pleural Registry. The Facility commenced with some 33 asbestos producers and 22 insurance companies and constituted some 12% of the asbestos industry. However, there soon existed a falling out between members over the apportionment of costs and, presumably, the payment of claims. Within a two year period, the Facility was at cross roads and short of a change of direction would founder as it did within a fourteen month period. Major Producers such as Owens Corning Fibreglass, Owens-Illinois, Pittsburgh Corning etc., resigned from the A.C.P, consequently the number of claims being administrated by the Facility and advised to the London Market as the "universe" or "projected universe" slowed down.

3 Oct 88

The Centre for Claims Resolution formed by 22 producer members. Membership consisted of 22 member asbestos producers and about 10 insurers, constituting some 12% of the asbestos industry and, representing some 18.8% of the former Asbestos Claims Facility. The Facility, constituting some 12% of the asbestos industry, therefore, was replaced by the Centre for Claims Resolutions (CCR), involving only Asbestos producers. Whereas the Facility’s monthly closings were approximately 500 cases per month, the CCR has achieved a settlement rate by May 1989 of some 2,050 cases per month. During the period 3 October 1988 to 31 May 1989, the CCR disposed of 16,401 cases at a total cost of U.S. $155,414,652, or at an average of U.S. $9,476. For year two (1990), the CCR projects that it will incur U.S. $180m in indemnity and U.S. $45m in allocated expenses. On the present producer membership, the London markets share of these amounts will be U.S. $43.298m (24.05%) and U.S. $22.597m (50.22%) respectively. The market’s involvement will be derived from Armstrong W I, GAF, Keene, National Gypsum, Turner & Newall and U.S. Gypsum. The CCR’s first year’s payment commitment to settlement dispositions is phased as follows:-

 

Year One

Year Two

Year Three

Amount in U.S.$

$170,000,000

$52,000,000

$400,000

No. of Claims

17,241

6,265

61

The position in August 1989:-

 

U.S.$ Amount

No. Of Claims

Paid to 6 January 1989

$ 78,000,000

6,887

To be paid

$ 92,000,000

10,354

Total for Year One

$170,000,000

17,241

Although the supporting insurers decided that it would be best for the CCR to be entirely producer effort and, therefore, did not as a group choose to join the CCR , they are not without voice for the governing body does include Mr Keith R Rayment (Sturge Non-Marine Claims director) as an ex officio insurer member. The market can be assured, therefore, that not only will the interests of supporting insurers be protected, but most certainly will be the market’s.

6 Oct 88

Shell Oil Co. -v- Accident & Casualty Insurance Co., No. 278953 (California Super. Court, San Mateo City, 6 October 1988. Court held no coverage if insured intentionally committed an act wherein it should have reasonably known of the high degree of certainty that damage to property of another would occur.

11 Oct 88

State of New York -v- Amnro Realty Corp., 697 F. Supp. 99, Northern District of New York, 11 October 1988. Court held insured failed to notify insurers promptly of "occurrence" — 4 year delay unreasonable.

12 Oct 88

Pursuant to AHERA, the EPA issued its final "Asbestos-Containing Materials in Schools" (ACM) rule, in October 1987, requiring public and private elementary and secondary schools to implement programs to control ACM in their buildings. The School Districts were given until 12 October 1988 to complete their management plans or to be subject to a $5,000 per day penalty. The implementation of these plans must begin no later than July 1989 and must be completed in a "timely fashion". The schools and School Districts were required to prepare a management plan for inspection, abatement and removal of ACM and to obtain State approval of their asbestos management. The rule applied to over 100,000 schools across the USA.

Oct 88

Business Insurance: Asbestos firms launched facility to settle claims... The former Asbestos Claims Facility was dissolved earlier this year after seven of the largest asbestos producers withdrew... Inflexibility was the main reason the Asbestos Claims Facility died, observers say... for example, under the Wellington Agreement the percentage of liability costs paid by each producer was based on historical data on claims paid until 1983 and could not be changed significantly. The Center for Claims Resolution has created a more flexible system for allocating liability costs. The Center’s liability formula is based on several time periods and different occupational categories to reflect the changing mix of asbestos cases...

Oct 88

The pre-eminent asbestos producer/defendant Johns-Manville emerges from Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Reorganisation Proceedings. The reorganisation included the establishment of separate claims handling entities to process asbestos bodily injury and building damage claims.

The Manville Personal Injury Settlement Trust has agreed to settle to date some 14,500 cases at an average of some $39-40,000 per case. The cases fall into two principal categories:

a)

Where Manville is liable to 80%-85%, they are spending some $74,000 per case;

b)

All other cases at $30-34,000 per case.

At the orated of settlement indicated above, the settlements will cost some $4.3 billion without any consideration for legal fees. The settlement proceeds will have to come from the multiple settlements with insurers and other income to be derived pursuant to the Plan of Rehabilitation.

Although Manville’s Plan of Reorganisation provided for the establishment of the aforedescribed claims handling entities the process is not just simply a pay out scheme, for Manville petitioned for and did secure a ruling from the Bankruptcy Judge, albeit from the bench, which permits Manville to dispute the product identification issues. Interestingly, in the first full trial against the Manville Personal Injury Settlement Trust, designated in the litigation as the Manville Corporation Asbestos Disease Compensation Fund, a Circuit Court jury in Bloomington, Illinois, awarded the plaintiff $385,000 in a case in which the exposure to asbestos fibres was a highly contested issue.

Despite the fact that the case involved the cancer death of a relatively young asbestos worker (49), Manville had contested the fact that the employee was exposed to any Manville asbestos while he was employed at the Bloomington, Union Asbestos & Rubber Co. plant from 1954 to 1962.

This case reinforces the underlying premise that where there is a definite asbestos-related disease process involved, juries will more often than not resolve disputed factual issues in the plaintiffs’ favour even where the evidence regarding product identification is weak.

14 Nov 88

Powers Chemco, Inc. -v- Federal Ins. Co., 533 N.Y.S. 2d 1010, New York Appellate Division 2d Dep’t., 14 November 1988. Court held relevant factor in applying "pollution exclusion" was whether toxic material was discharged into environment unexpectedly and unintentionally or knowingly and intentionally.

28 Nov 88

Tercentenary Celebrations

On 28 November, Lloyd’s Tercentenary Chorus gave a performance of Handel’s Messiah in the underwriting Room as the finale of the Tercentenary celebrations.

0 Dec 88

In December, 1988 a trial judge in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania in the case of General Refractories -v- Travelers Insurance Co., et al., which case involved a coverage dispute over cases containing allegations of both asbestosis and silicosis, ruled that the policies in effect during the entire disease process from initial exposure to manifestation were triggered and thus had an obligation to respond for both defence and indemnity without pro-ration. The court reasoned that since the policies in question defined bodily injury as "bodily injury, sickness or disease" and since asbestosis/silicosis involve a developing condition whereby lung tissue is damaged upon retention of fibres; that as this occurs a person is developing a sickness, although not as yet symptomatic; and that as this sickness progresses the person eventually manifests symptoms of a disease process, then each phase comes within the definition and as such any policy in effect during either phase is thereby triggered. The case is noteworthy because the court drew no distinction between the two diseases, however, the court did observe that since none of the parties raised a distinction, and indeed

"the insurers use[d] the term in the conjunctive ... [T]herefore, this Court takes judicial notice that asbestos and silica-related injury and disease are to be treated similarly for the purpose of insurance coverage".

7 Dec 88

Agency Agreements Byelaw (No. 8 of 1988, 7 December 1988).

7 Dec 88

The Central Fund (Amendment No. 2) Byelaw (No. 9 of 1988, 7 December 1988).

7 Dec 88

Council and Committee (Amendment No. 2) Byelaw (No. 10 of 1988, 7 December 1988).

18 Dec 88

Judgement given for the Insurers in the Shell "Rocky Mountain" Arsenal Case. Subsequently appealed , see January 1993.

22 Dec 88

The Serious Fraud Office issued a press notice stating that warrants had been issued for the arrest of Mr Dixon and Mr Cameron-Webb of PCW. The notice stated that both of them were currently resident in the United States, but due to certain restrictions they could not be extradited, as extradition from that country can only be obtained where the application is made within the limitation period of five years from the date of the offence. (Most of the matters covered by the PCW Inquiry occurred before the appointment of the DTI Inspectors in November 1982). The notice said that sufficient evidence to justify the issue of warrants did not come into the possession of the prosecuting authorities until after the expiry of the time limit The notice went on to say "Since 1982 the prosecuting authorities have been seeking evidence from Switzerland. The Swiss authorities have experienced difficulties in meeting requests for certain further important documentary evidence but with their co-operation during the ensuring years documents have been obtained and statements have been taken from a number of witnesses from that country which have enabled these warrants to be obtained". The press notice did not state whether steps had been taken to investigate possible criminal offences in connection with the Gibraltar Captive Scheme.

28 Dec 88

Lac D’Amiante du Quebec Ltee -v- American Home Assurance Co., 613 F. Supp. 1549 vacated on other grounds, 864 F.2d 1033, 3rd Circuit United States District Court of New Jersey. The Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit reversed District Court with instructions to dismiss this action, and ruled that the District Court should have abstained from exercising jurisdiction. The lower court decision was questioned in the Third Circuit Court of Appeals’ decision, but no conclusion was reached.

Dec 88

Gulf War.

31 Dec 88

R J R Keeling, a Murray Lawrence Underwriter, appointed a Director of Market Claims Services Ltd.

31 Dec 88

The Alexander Howden M J Harris Non-Marine Syndicate 947 - Run-off .

Year End

Paid Loss

Outstanding Loss

Incurred Loss

Paid in Year

31-12-86

$ 8,816,023

$12,454,922

$21,270,945

 

31-12-87

$10,386,900

$16,631,822

$27,018,722

$1,570,877

31-12-88

$12,864,026

$18,235,821

$31,099,847

$2,477,126

31 Dec 88

1988 Year End Reserves

As in previous years, we wish to emphasise that year end reserves derived from the above approach relate solely to the disposition of the pending case load of 81,661 outstanding claims. No allowance has been made for any Incurred But Not Reported, which we have always regarded as requiring the attention of individual insurers.

Reinsurance Considerations

A matter of concern to many London Reinsurers is the appropriate reserves to be carried, if any, under reinsurance contracts that lack aggregate extension clause wordings. Several London Reinsureds have requested reimbursement of their asbestos bodily injury claim costs paid on an aggregate basis but for which no aggregate recovery is indicated by the reinsurance contract wording.

We would propose to offer no reserve recommendation to Underwriters at year-end 1988 for those asbestos accounts under which an aggregate extension clause is absent from the London reinsurance contract wording.

We should advise, however, that this issue has not been presented to an American court for resolution as yet and thus we cannot forecast with any certainty the judicial treatment. That a particular reinsurance contract wording would receive. We recognise the possibility that certain common cause or batch clause wordings for example ultimately may be construed by a United States court as permitting recovery by a Reinsured on an aggregate basis despite the absence of an explicit aggregate extension clause in the contract. Because we cannot readily predict how a court would construe these various contract provisions we propose to advise Underwriters of their potential exposure in these instances. We believe that a potential exposure advice is warranted in recognition of the likelihood that certain Reinsureds without aggregate wordings in their contracts with Underwriters nonetheless eventually may pursue legal recourse to recover the substantial losses they have sustained with their asbestos assureds.

31 Dec 88

The Sedgwick Group Annual report 1988 discloses:-

1. Carol Mosselmans Chairman

2. Sedgwick is an International Insurance Broking Risk Management and Consulting Group in the Financial Services Industry. The Group’s goal is to provide its clients with the highest quality service whilst creating growing returns for its shareholders and providing awarding careers for those who work in the Group. .... Sedgwick aims to achieve excellence in all its activities. We have strengthened the central management of the Group during the past year by making senior appointments in finance, personnel and information technology. Those who entered the Group recently are conscious that they have joined an excellent team. The Group’s progress and prosperity in a changing world has been largely due to an unswerving commitment to our clients’ needs and our ability to provide them with an imaginative, skilful and competitive response, coupled with a service distinguishable by its integrity. The Board believes it is important for employees to be kept informed as fully as possible about matters which affect their employment and the performance of their own business and of the Group as a whole. This information is communicated in a variety of ways including management briefings, newsletters, company magazines and videos. In non-life business, however, the supply of those willing to underwrite business far outstrips demand for their products, leading to conditions where premium rates have been falling since early 1987. .... The last period of low property and casualty insurance rates, which lasted from 1979 to 1985, was followed by so sharp an increase in costs to clients, coupled with the unavailability of protection for certain liability risks in the United States that many purchasers of insurance protection sought alternative risk-financing solutions. This pattern has continued with tens of billions of dollars now by-passing the conventional market and being retained in a wide variety of self-insurance mutual and captive plans. Insurance Companies and Lloyd’s Underwriters have been changing their pattern of buying reinsurance, retaining more risk for their own account, reducing the volume of proportional reinsurance exchanges and relying on excess of loss protection.

3. James Group: During the year the company took steps to improve service to clients, business development and efficiency. A new organisation structure for retail offices was established under the control of .... Steps were also taken to improve the co-operation between James Productions Services Group, local James offices and the world-wide operations of Sedgwick Ltd in order to make the most of the international skills of the Group

4. Shareholders: Trans-America Corporation and its subsidiaries hold 24.95% of the company.

5. Sedgwick Lloyd’s Underwriting Agents Ltd: The importance attached to research was further emphasised during the year by the appointments made to the team responsible for monitoring syndicate performance. The income of our Lloyd’s Members’ Agency operations increased by 15% to £6.5m in 1988. This includes a contribution for profit commission for the 1985 year of account.

6. Company Underwriting: Mendip Insurance & Reinsurance Company Ltd, Bermuda.

Date

Major Individual Claims.

Estimated Cost

23 Apr 88

Enchova, Brazil, gas-platform explosion

US $330m

6 Jul 88

Pipa Alpha, oil platform,

U.S. $1-4bn

88

Distinguished Visitors

During the year the Council and Committee of Lloyd's entertained many distinguished visitors. They included

Lt Col Sir Martin Gilliat, GCVO, MBE

Private Secretary and Equerry to Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth The Queen Mother;

The Hon James R Thompson

Governor of Illinois;

Mr F A J George,

Executive Director, Bank of England;

The Rt. Hon Leon Brittan

 

Col Peter Gibbs

Private Secretary to Her Royal Highness The Princess Royal;

Members of the Southampton & Tulane Law Society

 

The Rt. Hon Lord Justice Staughton

Lord Justice of the Court of Appeal;

The Rt. Hon The Lord Mayor of London, Sir Greville Spratt, GBE, TD, DL, DLITT

 

Mr A M W Battishill

Chairman, Inland Revenue;

Sir Robin Butler, KCB, CVO

Cabinet Secretary and Head of the Home Civil Service;

The Rt. Hon The Lord Denham, PC

Government Chief Whip (House of Lords);

Admiral of the Fleet Sir John Fieldhouse, GCB, GBE

Chief of Defence Staff;

The Rt. Hon John Wakeham, JP, MP

Lord President of the Council and Leader of the House of Commons;

Sir Patrick Wright, KCMG

Permanent Under Secretary, Foreign and

Commonwealth Office;

The Rt. Hon The Viscount Whitelaw of Penrith, PC, CH, MC, DL;

 

Rear Admiral Sir Paul Greening, KCVO,

Master of Her Majesty's Household;

The Rt. Hon Lord Justice Glidewell

Lord Justice of Appeal;

The Marquess of Lansdowne, PC, JP

 

Mr Vladimir Petrovich Pletnev

Trade Representative of the USSR in the UK;

Field Marshal The Rt. Hon The Lord Bramall of Bushfield, GCB, OBE, MC, IP,

Her Majesty's Lord Lieutenant of Greater London;

Lieutenant-General Sir John Richards, KCB,

Her Majesty's Marshal of the Diplomatic Corps;

The Rt. Hon The Earl of Limerick, KBE

Chairman, British Invisible Exports Council.

The Ambassadors of

Belgium, China, Denmark, France, Greece, The Federal Republic of Germany, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Portugal and Spain were entertained at the Tercentenary Dinner.

The Ambassadors of

Austria, the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, Switzerland and the High Commissioners of Australia and Canada were also guests at Lloyd's in the course of the year .

Home - | - Q & A - | - Regulation - | - Litigation - | - News - | - Fraud
Reports - | - Message Board - | - Contact Truth About Lloyd's